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So the LSU Ole Miss line has moved 7 points! -4, to +3
Posted on 12/17/20 at 1:09 pm
Posted on 12/17/20 at 1:09 pm
LINK
I know, I know this simply means more money being bet on Ole Miss, but 7 points, wow, seems like a lot. As if we have a lot of guys out that is not public yet...
I know, I know this simply means more money being bet on Ole Miss, but 7 points, wow, seems like a lot. As if we have a lot of guys out that is not public yet...
Posted on 12/17/20 at 1:14 pm to secfballfan
Teams who are double digit underdogs and win outright (LSU last week) fail to cover over 60% of the time the following week. The letdown effect.
Posted on 12/17/20 at 1:15 pm to secfballfan
Even Vegas overreacted to LSU's win over Florida with the opening line
Breaking news: LSU still isn't that good
Breaking news: LSU still isn't that good
Posted on 12/17/20 at 1:15 pm to Champs
quote:
vegas knows something
They do. They know that a vast majority of bets are on ole miss so they move the line until it evens out.
This post was edited on 12/17/20 at 1:16 pm
Posted on 12/17/20 at 1:18 pm to Champs
quote:
vegas knows something
Did the line move in .5s or 1s or a big jump?
Posted on 12/17/20 at 1:29 pm to secfballfan
Ole Miss has a very good offense. In fact, the only offense to really threaten Bama all season (aside from UGA for a half). Despite the win, LSU's defense still gave up a ton of yards and 34 points to UF. Even though Ole Miss has the worst defense in the country, LSU's isn't much better (ranked about 5 spots "better" than OM).
The bettors are probably looking at the "let down" effect noted by another poster. However, I don't think that will be in play here. Quite the opposite. LSU was as "down" emotionally as they have been all season. They had just been destroyed by Bama and had lost two straight. Guys were quitting and there was talk of a mutiny. From all outward indications it seemed the team was just packing it in for the year. But they didn't. They know this is the final game of the season (win or lose) so perhaps the motivation is one final kick before they shut it down.
The bigger concern is who will be available? Does LSU have more than 2 RB's. Is Johnson limited? Will LSU be down two starting DB's going against one of the top passing offenses in the SEC? That's what I'm sure the sharps are looking at
The bettors are probably looking at the "let down" effect noted by another poster. However, I don't think that will be in play here. Quite the opposite. LSU was as "down" emotionally as they have been all season. They had just been destroyed by Bama and had lost two straight. Guys were quitting and there was talk of a mutiny. From all outward indications it seemed the team was just packing it in for the year. But they didn't. They know this is the final game of the season (win or lose) so perhaps the motivation is one final kick before they shut it down.
The bigger concern is who will be available? Does LSU have more than 2 RB's. Is Johnson limited? Will LSU be down two starting DB's going against one of the top passing offenses in the SEC? That's what I'm sure the sharps are looking at
Posted on 12/17/20 at 2:53 pm to secfballfan
I think LSU needs 14 more points plus the 3 to make LSU worth betting on.
Posted on 12/17/20 at 2:58 pm to secfballfan
I think we'll run the ball and slow the game down. I dont want to get into a pissing match with Kiffin
Posted on 12/17/20 at 3:04 pm to The Boat
Breaking news that’s an old saying , every time LSU played someone, the haters would say well that team wasn’t good anyway
Posted on 12/17/20 at 3:10 pm to Champs
quote:
vegas knows something
just like they knew Florida would beat LSU by 23 points last Saturday
Posted on 12/17/20 at 4:07 pm to Ping Pong
I am not an handicapper but I would think that LSU would put forth a great effort on Saturday in order to have a non-losing season. Plus, this game is the last game. The game is at home. Leave it all on the field. Enjoy the holidays afterwards.
This post was edited on 12/17/20 at 4:10 pm
Posted on 12/17/20 at 4:09 pm to secfballfan
Too many unknowns with LSU right now which is why betting is like this. Seems pretty obvious.
Posted on 12/17/20 at 4:12 pm to NOSTRODAMUS
quote:
quote:
vegas knows something
quote:exactly. It astounds me how little this board knows about Vegas. They don't "know" anything more than we do. They just set, and then move, the line to try to get equal bets on each side and they pocket the vig.
They do. They know that a vast majority of bets are on ole miss so they move the line until it evens out.
They don't have some top-secret inside info that they're hiding from the public in the hopes that the betting will be unbalanced toward one team, and then Vegas will clean up on the other team. That's a sure recipe for bankruptcy.
Vegas books make their money off the vig.
This post was edited on 12/17/20 at 4:13 pm
Posted on 12/17/20 at 4:14 pm to secfballfan
I locked in a mizzou -2 LSU -1.5 parlay earlier this week, oops
Posted on 12/17/20 at 4:19 pm to secfballfan
Last game of the year. At home, Senior night, coming off the high of beating Florida. Ogeron wants Kiffin
I like LSU chances
I like LSU chances
Posted on 12/17/20 at 4:26 pm to secfballfan
We won last week and I am ecstatic about the win. Needed in worst way.
But without the timely turnovers we would have got beat bad. Gators had many explosive plays and we gave up almost 700 yards.
But without the timely turnovers we would have got beat bad. Gators had many explosive plays and we gave up almost 700 yards.
Posted on 12/17/20 at 4:32 pm to AzBayouBengal
Looks like Vegas found out about Elijah
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