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re: Saban went 8-5 in third season

Posted on 12/1/24 at 11:08 pm to
Posted by Tiger1988
Houston
Member since May 2016
29625 posts
Posted on 12/1/24 at 11:08 pm to
quote:

Losing Mauck may have caused LSU to lose games they would have won comfortably in 2002,
Saban’s fault for not having a back-up ready. He was here since 1999 by then. He won with that talent pool Dinardo left him his first year. He wasn’t who he was until he started cheating at LSU. That is a fact. Fisher said as much.
This post was edited on 12/2/24 at 6:49 pm
Posted by prplhze2000
Parts Unknown
Member since Jan 2007
56878 posts
Posted on 12/1/24 at 11:30 pm to
Dinardo recruited well but his last two classes suffered much attrition. However, there were players on the roster who later got drafted when Saban arrived.

However, Saban's 2001 class was next level recruiting. This was the first time LSU was recruiting in the top five with the big boys as we did. Just look at the class: Spears, Wilkerson, Clayton, Hill, Whitworth, and others.

As for 02, Mauck played rough until the Florida game. Hell, his passing was so bad in MSU game that they ran the ball the entire second half. However, the light bulb came on against Florida, then he got hurt.

SO he was stuck with Marcus Randall and Clausen. They played like crap. Randall was an athlete playing qb who all too often did not make good decisions. He should have been converted to a DB but they needed qbs on the roster.

If Mauck remains healthy, we beat Auburn and give Bama a run for its money in that game as well. We probably beat Arkansas and don't need the Hail Mary at Kentucky.

Saban wouldn't get caught in that trap again at LSU. He needed qbs so he signed JR and Flynn in same year. Robert Lane tried to make it exclusive to him but Saban said not again and told him to get lost.
Posted by AlwysATgr
Member since Apr 2008
20098 posts
Posted on 12/1/24 at 11:54 pm to
quote:

Did he start in a better position talent wise? What about recruiting advantage he had then here? Dinardo recruited well for Mr Saban. Kelly had to rebuild from scratch. It was as bad as it could get.


IMO, this is overblown. I think Saban did start with a better roster in 2000 than BK did in 2022, but not by some glaring difference.

From the roster Saban inherited from Gerry, we had:
2000 - 3 players drafted
2001 - 5 players drafted
2002 - 4 players drafted

Of those, only 1 was drafted above the 4th rd, Josh Reed in the 2nd.

From the roster, BK inherited from Ed, we had:
2022 - 6 players drafted of which 5 were Ed's recruits
2023 - 6 players drafted of which 3 were Ed's recruits (of which 2 were 1st rd)
2024 - TBD but other than Dellinger and Savion not sure that any of Ed's recruits will get drafted.

Saban didn't have the gaping roster holes to fill that BK did (mostly OL and DBs), but neither did he inherit an uber talented roster.

And since we're going down this rabbit hole, we had had 3 winning seasons ('95-'97) in the preceding eleven pre-Saban. Pre-BK, we had only 1 season with less than 8 wins (I don't count '20; only Ba*ma* does) in the preceding 21 seasons.

And I have no idea what recruiting advantage you think Saban had that BK doesn't.

And once again, Saban had 6 years of HC experience when hired here. BK had 31.
Posted by AlwysATgr
Member since Apr 2008
20098 posts
Posted on 12/2/24 at 12:01 am to
quote:

he signed JR and Flynn in same year. Robert Lane tried to make it exclusive to him but Saban said not again and told him to get lost.


When Lane committed, it was Flynn and him. Apparently, he was told we would not recruit another QB. But we did (JaMarcus). IDK the timeline of events, but at some point Lane bailed when Russell committed.

The hero of all that is Matt Flynn. He didn't waiver, stuck it out, and won a natty.
Posted by mortis381
Member since Sep 2024
163 posts
Posted on 12/2/24 at 12:30 am to
quote:

Saban inherited shite. Kelly inherited a top tier program.


Saban inherited a team that had the following players:
Rohan Davey
Labrandon Toefield
Devery Henderson
Josh Reed
Robert Royal
Stephen Peterman
Jarvis Green
Chad Lavalais
Trev Faulk
Bradie James
Ryan Clark

He didn't inherit shite. He inherited a really good roster that was poorly coached in a time when the SEC wasn't producing national champions.

Kelly inherited a program that was heading south quickly. We were 11-12 over a 2-year stretch and we were begging for an adult to get in there and get the program back to respectability because it was tanking fast in Coach O's last 2 years.

I'm not saying Kelly is on Saban's level. No one is. However, let's not pretend that Kelly walked into a national championship program. He didn't. In year 1, he had to go to the portal to get a QB (Jayden), CB (Brooks and Bernard-Converse), DL (Wingo), WR (Lacy), LB (Weeks), OL (Frazier), and S (Foucha) all of who ended up starting or playing a lot of reps and helped us get to the SECCG.
Posted by SportsGuyNOLA
New Orleans, LA
Member since May 2014
20733 posts
Posted on 12/2/24 at 12:33 am to
quote:

Has Kelly won the SEC? Will he win the NC next year?


He has never and will never do either
Posted by AlwysATgr
Member since Apr 2008
20098 posts
Posted on 12/2/24 at 12:45 am to
quote:

The question is the marginal impact it made on the specific teams, not some generic average impact. Losing Mauck may have caused LSU to lose games they would have won comfortably in 2002, while losing Dellinger caused LSU to lose games that would have been closer. The net affect on the W-L record was the same.


Not sure what you're saying here. I think most of us believe had we not lost Mauck during the UF game, we would've certainly beat Arky, likely Auburn, and very possibly Bama. Moreover, that would put us in Atlanta vs UGA.

OTOH, I don't think having Dellinger changes the outcome of either Aggy or Bama. Maybe UF. But recall, we ran the ball pretty good vs UF without Dellinger and UF picked up on one of Nuss's tendencies which they exploited.
Posted by Lsutigerturner
Member since Dec 2016
7168 posts
Posted on 12/2/24 at 12:48 am to
I forgot about Robert lane
Posted by AlwysATgr
Member since Apr 2008
20098 posts
Posted on 12/2/24 at 12:58 am to
quote:

Saban inherited a team that had the following players:
Rohan Davey
Labrandon Toefield
Devery Henderson
Josh Reed
Robert Royal
Stephen Peterman
Jarvis Green
Chad Lavalais
Trev Faulk
Bradie James
Ryan Clark


You are partially correct. Devery and Peterman were Saban's recruits. Chad's path is a little more interesting but he never played for Gerry.

Of the players Saban inherited from Gerry, only one, Josh Reed, was above a 3rd rd pick.
Posted by Mayhawman
Somewhere in the middle of SEC West
Member since Dec 2009
10454 posts
Posted on 12/2/24 at 1:04 am to
*3L title from the detractors (no downvote here)
Posted by AlwysATgr
Member since Apr 2008
20098 posts
Posted on 12/2/24 at 1:05 am to
quote:

He inherited a really good roster that was poorly coached in a time when the SEC wasn't producing national champions.


UF played for it in '95 and won the natty in '96. UTenn in '98. And until we derailed their plans, the UF-UTenn '01 winner was on their way to the national championship game.
Posted by Rickdaddy4188
Murfreesboro,TN
Member since Aug 2011
48015 posts
Posted on 12/2/24 at 1:13 am to
quote:

Different era. No longer the same game.


Kelly inherited a worse roster than Saban did in 2000 and it's not close. Kelly didn't even have a full 2 deep roster on scholly.
It's almost unbelievable how bad O managed the roster and recruiting classes after 2019.
Posted by mortis381
Member since Sep 2024
163 posts
Posted on 12/2/24 at 1:24 am to
quote:

UF played for it in '95 and won the natty in '96. UTenn in '98. And until we derailed their plans, the UF-UTenn '01 winner was on their way to the national championship game.


The SEC has won 13 of the last 18 national championships. While there was a national champion contender every few years from the conference prior to this stretch, the reign of dominance started in 2006 with Florida's title.

The point being made was that the SEC was not the dominant conference in cfb back in 2000 when Saban took over. Now it is.
Posted by AlwysATgr
Member since Apr 2008
20098 posts
Posted on 12/2/24 at 1:34 am to
quote:

Kelly inherited a worse roster than Saban did in 2000 and it's not close.


It is not as different as some would have us think. Saban didn't inherit a stocked pantry either nor did he have the portal available. By their respective game 1 KOs, it could be argued that BK had a more talented team than did Saban.

And it was Saban's 7th year as a HC and BK's 32nd.

After the Bama debacle, I'll criticize BK at every chance. He has yet to demonstrate that he knows how to manage a roster in this era or how to navigate an SEC schedule.
Posted by AlwysATgr
Member since Apr 2008
20098 posts
Posted on 12/2/24 at 2:16 am to
quote:

The point being made was that the SEC was not the dominant conference in cfb back in 2000 when Saban took over. Now it is.


I agree that the SEC was stronger in '22 than in '00. But again, it's not some glaring difference.

In the five seasons ('95-'99) preceding Saban's arrival, the SEC won 2 and played for a third. The conference was dominated by UF and UTenn. In the final '00 AP Poll there were 6 SEC teams ranked in the top-25 but none in the top-10 (UF was ranked #11) . We played four of the six SEC ranked teams. We were not ranked.

In the five seasons ('16-'19 and '21) preceding BK's arrival, the SEC won 3 and played in all five (no need to sanction '20; only Bama does that). The conference was dominated by UGA and Bama. In the final '22 AP Poll there were 6 SEC teams ranked in the top-25 with 3 in the top-10. We played four of the six SEC ranked teams. We were ranked #17.

So yes, the conference was stronger but it wasn't some night-n-day difference.
Posted by RedFoxx
New Orleans, LA
Member since Jan 2009
6612 posts
Posted on 12/2/24 at 2:16 am to
Paul dietzel went 5-5 in year 3, then went 11-0 the next year in 1958.

These comparisons are apples to oranges. Different game in 1958, 2003, and today.

BK is regressing and making a lot more money (adjusted) than those guys.
Posted by prplhze2000
Parts Unknown
Member since Jan 2007
56878 posts
Posted on 12/2/24 at 6:12 am to
Lane specifically said don't recruit Jamarcus
Posted by themunch
bottom of the list
Member since Jan 2007
71326 posts
Posted on 12/2/24 at 6:15 am to
that inferior coaches

what a shitty take
Posted by Contender54
the Enn Oh
Member since Jan 2009
1103 posts
Posted on 12/2/24 at 6:53 am to
quote:

You are partially correct. Devery and Peterman were Saban's recruits.


Peterman graduated HS in '00 so I guess Saban gets the credit in this discussion, but DiNardo started his recruiting process. DiNardo made a trip to St. Stanislaus (Peterman's high school) during Peterman's junior year.
Posted by ATLTiger
#TreyBiletnikoffs
Member since Sep 2003
46058 posts
Posted on 12/2/24 at 6:55 am to
quote:

We're likely in Atlanta 3 years in a row if he doesn't.


We’re in Atlanta 3 years in a row if we could’ve stopped Matt Jones late vs Arky. Still a crazy sequence, dude hadn’t hit many passes at all that day. Tough way to lose the West.
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