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re: Ranking the BCS Controversies

Posted on 8/3/08 at 2:55 am to
Posted by DBG
vermont
Member since May 2004
72571 posts
Posted on 8/3/08 at 2:55 am to
come on now
Posted by coldhotwings
Mississippi
Member since Jan 2008
6497 posts
Posted on 8/3/08 at 3:09 am to
quote:

2004 USC > 2001 The U


and what supposedly was the best USC team ever lost to Texas
Posted by MJRuffalo
Huntington Beach
Member since May 2008
6619 posts
Posted on 8/3/08 at 5:41 am to
quote:

Maybe it is just me not paying attention, but I have not seen another team hobble across the end of the regular season only to be OMFG good for the bowl game like LSU.


Did you see Oregon last year?
Posted by LSUTANGERINE
Baton Rouge LA
Member since Sep 2006
36113 posts
Posted on 8/3/08 at 7:22 am to
quote:

playoffs > BCS > coaches poll > AP poll


BCS = coaches' poll. That is how the winner of the BCS CG is becomes national champion (coaches' votes)
This post was edited on 8/3/08 at 7:24 am
Posted by Volvagia
Fort Worth
Member since Mar 2006
51958 posts
Posted on 8/3/08 at 7:24 am to
quote:

playoffs > BCS


Link?
Posted by Volvagia
Fort Worth
Member since Mar 2006
51958 posts
Posted on 8/3/08 at 7:26 am to
quote:



BCS = coaches' poll. That is how the winner of the BCS CG is becomes national champion (coaches' votes)


They are contractually tied, but they are still two seperate bestowers to titles.
Posted by Ross
Member since Oct 2007
47824 posts
Posted on 8/3/08 at 10:16 am to
quote:

2004 USC > 2001 The U


Wrong. 2001 Miami is quite possibly the greatest team of all time, 2004 USC is not. I'm not even convinced 2004 USC was better than 2004 Auburn, but I guess that's all just sour grapes.

2001 Miami had one close game all year, against #14 Virginia Tech, which they won by two points. They blew everybody else out by an incredible margin.

2004 USC had close games against: A game they should have lost against Virginia Tech (10-3), a six point win over a good California team (10-2), an eight point win over a mediocre Oregon State(7-5), a game that they won by five points against a very bad UCLA team (6-6), and a three point win over a horrible Stanford (4-7).
This post was edited on 8/3/08 at 10:28 am
Posted by H-Town Tiger
Member since Nov 2003
59193 posts
Posted on 8/3/08 at 10:18 am to
quote:

I think that Math > Democracy when ranking college football teams. If the math says that Team A > Team B, I'll trust that over sportswriters' opinions.


Thanks, I needed that on a hungover Sunday morning.

So who created the formula that shows which football team is the best, Newton, Pythagoras? You do realize that democracy as you put it is 2/3 of the current BCS formula that determines who plays in the BCS CG.

According to Math wouldn't a team that won 92.3% of its games be better than a team that wins 85.7% of its games?

I'd prefer to see a 4 team playoff, but the BCS > an 8 team playoff because You are more likely to the best team as the champion rather than just the hottest team.
This post was edited on 8/3/08 at 10:19 am
Posted by xiv
Parody. #AdminsRule
Member since Feb 2004
39508 posts
Posted on 8/3/08 at 10:27 am to
quote:

So who created the formula that shows which football team is the best, Newton, Pythagoras?
Doesn't matter. If there is a transparent mathematical formula or series of formulae, from then on it's all on the field. Teams know whom they need to schedule, they know they don't need to "impress" anyone with "style points," and we'll never have to worry about bias for undeserving teams.
quote:

According to Math wouldn't a team that won 92.3% of its games be better than a team that wins 85.7% of its games?
I see that you have come up with a formula that takes the number of wins a team has and divides it by total number of games played. It is a very simple formula; some intelligent people put more thought and factors into it.
Posted by H-Town Tiger
Member since Nov 2003
59193 posts
Posted on 8/3/08 at 10:39 am to
quote:

without the BCS, USC would be the 2003 national champion.

Yep.
quote:

Without the BCS, USC would also be the 2007 national champion after beating the shite out of #1 Ohio State in the Rose Bowl.

Nope, the reason they didn't play tOSU in the BCS CG in Tempe is because they had 2 loses. Florida moved up to #2 in both polls, and Michigan with only was 1 loss was also ahead of USC. Good chance Michigan plays Florida in the Sugar Bowl under the old pre BCS/BA system. After USC beats tOSU in Rose Bowl at 3 CST, the winner of the Sugar Bowl would be the MNC.

USC would have been the MNC in 2005 without the BCS after skullfricking Penn State and denying CFB fans the greatest game of all time. Or course without that epic performance in the 2006 RB, maybe VY goes back to Texas and they win the 2006 MNC? Who the hell knows.

This post was edited on 8/3/08 at 12:00 pm
Posted by thetempleowl
dallas, tx
Member since Jul 2008
14928 posts
Posted on 8/3/08 at 10:55 am to
The only way to get rid of controversies will be a playoff.

The NCAA basketball tourny crowns a champ every year. The only controversies are perhaps a team may feel slighted. These slighted teams are not legit contenders and thus don't cause a controversy when it comes to the overall championship.
Posted by H-Town Tiger
Member since Nov 2003
59193 posts
Posted on 8/3/08 at 11:00 am to
quote:

I see that you have come up with a formula that takes the number of wins a team has and divides it by total number of games played. It is a very simple formula


Its still math, you said Math > democracy in CFB.

quote:

some intelligent people put more thought and factors into it.


Since its not a provable truth like the pythagorean theorem, they probably had multiple ideas that the decided (ie voted on) which one was the best. Also if you can creat a formula that determines the best team, you can use those same factors to base your votes on.
quote:

If there is a transparent mathematical formula or series of formulae, from then on it's all on the field. Teams know whom they need to schedule


wow, the formula gives team the ability to see into the future and know which teams will be good and which ones will suck 4-5 years down the line or do you think they will just start scheduling teams a few months before the season starts?

In the end the formulas rarely differ much from the traditional polls anyway. The only time it was a problem was 2003, when the humans #1 was the formulas #3 and vise versa.

Posted by H-Town Tiger
Member since Nov 2003
59193 posts
Posted on 8/3/08 at 11:10 am to
quote:

The only way to get rid of controversies will be a playoff.

a Playoff just creates a new set of problems. But its biggest flaw is it diminishes the regular season (see 2007 NFL). Looking at how teams play over the course 3-4 months and 12-16 games is more accurate at determining the best team, than how they play over 3-4 weeks and 3-4 games.
Posted by Ross
Member since Oct 2007
47824 posts
Posted on 8/3/08 at 11:13 am to
quote:


a Playoff just creates a new set of problems. But its biggest flaw is it diminishes the regular season (see 2007 NFL). Looking at how teams play over the course 3-4 months and 12-16 games is more accurate at determining the best team, than how they play over 3-4 weeks and 3-4 games.


How about a six team playoff, with the #1 and #2 getting a BYE week, then after that first week, its down to four, and you just continue from there.
This post was edited on 8/3/08 at 11:53 am
Posted by H-Town Tiger
Member since Nov 2003
59193 posts
Posted on 8/3/08 at 11:19 am to
quote:

Ross


I agree 2001 Miami > 2004 USC, but USC beat VT 24-13 in 2004, how do you figure they should have lost that game? In 2001 Miami beat VT 26-24, if I recall, they had a pick 6, late in the game to seal it.

As for the Oregon State game in 2004, that game was at OSU and played in some fog. OSU did finish 7-5, but remember they were several missed PAT's from winning at LSU, 6 days after that crushing defeat, they go killed at Boise, who did finish 12-1. That OSU team pretty good, they just had a brutal schedule.


Posted by H-Town Tiger
Member since Nov 2003
59193 posts
Posted on 8/3/08 at 11:39 am to
quote:

How about a six game playoff,


too many teams and unnecessary

The more teams in the playoff, the less important the regular season is.
Posted by Ross
Member since Oct 2007
47824 posts
Posted on 8/3/08 at 11:52 am to
quote:


I agree 2001 Miami > 2004 USC, but USC beat VT 24-13 in 2004, how do you figure they should have lost that game?


Well, as an Auburn fan, I am not technically allowed to complain about pass interference on this board, but if I recall that game correctly, Virginia Tech had that game close, until a bad pass interference call that led to a late USC touchdown near the end of the fourth quarter.
quote:

As for the Oregon State game in 2004, that game was at OSU and played in some fog. OSU did finish 7-5, but remember they were several missed PAT's from winning at LSU, 6 days after that crushing defeat, they go killed at Boise, who did finish 12-1. That OSU team pretty good, they just had a brutal schedule.




I might concede the Oregon State was a good team, but USC is played up like an invincible force from 2004, and they almost lost that game. And UCLA and Stanford that year were both terrible, and USC nearly lost to both of them.
This post was edited on 8/3/08 at 11:54 am
Posted by Ross
Member since Oct 2007
47824 posts
Posted on 8/3/08 at 11:53 am to
quote:

too many teams and unnecessary

The more teams in the playoff, the less important the regular season is.


That's why I said #1 and #2 could get a Bye week, I figured that might keep the regular season important.
Posted by thetempleowl
dallas, tx
Member since Jul 2008
14928 posts
Posted on 8/3/08 at 12:03 pm to
A playoff does not diminish the regular season. If you have to win the conference championship to get into the playoffs, it makes the regular season and the conference championship even more important.

One could say a playoff enhances the regular season. By having conference championships make the playoffs, some teams that might otherwise be excluded from the championship picture but are legit contenders will still be playing vitally important games at the end of the season.

The early games will likewise be important for the obvious need to get to the conference championship.

Extending the football season to more games diminish the importance of any singular game. Adding a playoff does not.


Posted by H-Town Tiger
Member since Nov 2003
59193 posts
Posted on 8/3/08 at 12:23 pm to
quote:

as an Auburn fan, I am not technically allowed to complain about pass interference on this board



quote:

Virginia Tech had that game close, until a bad pass interference call that led to a late USC touchdown near the end of the fourth quarter.


so that makes it 17-13 instead of 24-13? Still a USC win.

quote:

USC is played up like an invincible force from 2004,

There's always hyperbole, they did have some close scrapes, but it was still a great team. 2001 Miami and 95 Nebraska were better IMO.

quote:

That's why I said #1 and #2 could get a Bye week,
playing for seeding is not as important as playing for a spot in the playoffs. What diminishes the regular season is having weaker teams win the title, so the more teams you put in the playoff the greater the chance the best team in the regular does not win. I can think of several years besides 2004 (the worst case scenario) were there were 2-3 teams that could argue for being in the title game, but I can't think of any were it went 5 or 6 deep.
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