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Message
PREVIEW LSU @ Arkansas 5PM SEC Network
Posted on 1/11/19 at 8:06 pm
Posted on 1/11/19 at 8:06 pm
Hey Tiger Fans! As we anxiously await from our favorite son Devin White, the LSU basketball team takes the court again tomorrow on the road. The Tigers are coming off of a 9-point victory against a scrappy Alabama team.
About Arkansas:
Arkansas is the 83rd NET ranking, which has replaced the RPI in what the committee looks at to get into the Tourney. Arkansas has lost to teams of equal talent or better teams, and they've beat inferior opponents. They're coming off of a 2 point victory on the road against Texas A&M, and regardless of how impressive road SEC wins are, Texas A&M is hardly a good team. Most recently, they lost a tough game at home against Florida. Arkansas is a deep team that can score points and rebound well. However, the stats are always a little skewed when you beat up on lesser opponents.
Projected Lineups-
Arkansas:
F- Daniel Gafford- SO 6'11 233 16.4ppg, 9.6rpg, 2.2blks, 59% FT%, 65% FG%
G- Adrio Bailey- JR 6'6 222 6.6ppg, 3.9rpg
G- Mason Jones- SO 6'5 205 14.3ppg, 4.9rpg, 38.6% 3P%
G- Isaiah Joe- Fr 6'5 167 14.8ppg, 43.6% 3P%
G- Jalen Harris- JR 6'2 166 8.9ppg, 6.6 apg, 12% 3P%
BENCH:
Reggie Chaney- FR 6'8 222 5.6ppg, 4.1rpg
Desi Sills- FR 6'2 196 4.9ppg
2 others who are warm bodies
Arkansas is an interesting team. They have 1st team All-SEC guy inside in Daniel Gafford. He is easily one of the toughest interior matchups in the SEC...luckily, LSU has KBW. In the past few years, LSU would have been screwed in this matchup. However, with the way KBW plays D and the way he is playing lately, LSU has the ability to not HAVE to double team Gafford. Which is good because Freshman Isaiah Joe is one of the best 3-Point shooters in the country shooting around 44% and he has shot A LOT. Jones on the other wing is a good shooter too. After those guys, they have virtually nothing. Their PG Harris is an elite facilitator and has one of the best turnover to assist ratios in the league...the guy is ANEMIC shooting. That should really benefit Waters and create many weak side steals that Tremont feasts on.
Stats:
Arkansas-
Offensive-
PPG: 79ppg (51st nationally)
FG%: 44.3% (174th nationally))
3P%: 34% (173rd nationally)
2P%: 50.8% (175th nationally)
APG: 17.2apg (17th nationally)
FT%: 64.3% (317th nationally)
TOPG: 13.1 (145th nationally)
ORPG: 91.orpg (119th nationally)
Offensive Efficiency: 1.026 (140th nationally)
Defensive-
PPG: 69.4ppg (113th nationally)
RPG: 39.1 (41st nationally)
FG%: 38.4% (13th nationally)
3P%: 29.2% (22nd nationally)
2P%: 45.6% (37th nationally)
SPG: 8.0spg (39th nationally)
Opponent's Turnovers: 15.9 (38th nationally)
Defensive Efficiency: .901 (27th nationally)
What Do The Stats Say?
This will be a matchup of a great defense vs a great offense. LSU fans love to hate their owner and at times, LSU's offense can look stagnant, but statistically we have one of the best offenses in the country. Much of that reason is because we have elite athletes, we have a PG who is able to distribute, we are selfless, and our big men can pass.
The biggest matchup will be KBW vs Gafford. If Gafford is able to get KBW in foul trouble early, LSU could be in some trouble...however is Gafford picks up some fouls they will REALLY be in trouble.
The other massive key will be covering their 2 shooters, and mostly, FT shooting. Arkansas is one of the worst FT shooting teams in the country, and LSU can have a big advantage on the line if they focus and shoot.
As good as Arkansas is defensively, I believe LSU can score points on almost anybody because we have 5 guys that can get their own shot and create for others, many teams do not have that. If LSU can keep Gafford from going off and don't allow Joe to hit multiple 3's, LSU could potentially cruise to a double digit victory.
Prediction:
Arkansas is a solid team, but also one of the youngest in the country...even younger than LSU. They have a great facilitator, a great big man, and a great shooter....everyone else are just role players. Arkansas will need all 3 or 1 other to really step up in the hope to beat LSU. I think LSU's road/neutral games against FSU, OSU, and Houston will help the Tigers. LSU will struggle at times and it will be close, but I think the Cardiac Cats pull out a close one...
LSU- 74
Arky- 69
About Arkansas:
Arkansas is the 83rd NET ranking, which has replaced the RPI in what the committee looks at to get into the Tourney. Arkansas has lost to teams of equal talent or better teams, and they've beat inferior opponents. They're coming off of a 2 point victory on the road against Texas A&M, and regardless of how impressive road SEC wins are, Texas A&M is hardly a good team. Most recently, they lost a tough game at home against Florida. Arkansas is a deep team that can score points and rebound well. However, the stats are always a little skewed when you beat up on lesser opponents.
Projected Lineups-
Arkansas:
F- Daniel Gafford- SO 6'11 233 16.4ppg, 9.6rpg, 2.2blks, 59% FT%, 65% FG%
G- Adrio Bailey- JR 6'6 222 6.6ppg, 3.9rpg
G- Mason Jones- SO 6'5 205 14.3ppg, 4.9rpg, 38.6% 3P%
G- Isaiah Joe- Fr 6'5 167 14.8ppg, 43.6% 3P%
G- Jalen Harris- JR 6'2 166 8.9ppg, 6.6 apg, 12% 3P%
BENCH:
Reggie Chaney- FR 6'8 222 5.6ppg, 4.1rpg
Desi Sills- FR 6'2 196 4.9ppg
2 others who are warm bodies
Arkansas is an interesting team. They have 1st team All-SEC guy inside in Daniel Gafford. He is easily one of the toughest interior matchups in the SEC...luckily, LSU has KBW. In the past few years, LSU would have been screwed in this matchup. However, with the way KBW plays D and the way he is playing lately, LSU has the ability to not HAVE to double team Gafford. Which is good because Freshman Isaiah Joe is one of the best 3-Point shooters in the country shooting around 44% and he has shot A LOT. Jones on the other wing is a good shooter too. After those guys, they have virtually nothing. Their PG Harris is an elite facilitator and has one of the best turnover to assist ratios in the league...the guy is ANEMIC shooting. That should really benefit Waters and create many weak side steals that Tremont feasts on.
Stats:
Arkansas-
Offensive-
PPG: 79ppg (51st nationally)
FG%: 44.3% (174th nationally))
3P%: 34% (173rd nationally)
2P%: 50.8% (175th nationally)
APG: 17.2apg (17th nationally)
FT%: 64.3% (317th nationally)
TOPG: 13.1 (145th nationally)
ORPG: 91.orpg (119th nationally)
Offensive Efficiency: 1.026 (140th nationally)
Defensive-
PPG: 69.4ppg (113th nationally)
RPG: 39.1 (41st nationally)
FG%: 38.4% (13th nationally)
3P%: 29.2% (22nd nationally)
2P%: 45.6% (37th nationally)
SPG: 8.0spg (39th nationally)
Opponent's Turnovers: 15.9 (38th nationally)
Defensive Efficiency: .901 (27th nationally)
What Do The Stats Say?
This will be a matchup of a great defense vs a great offense. LSU fans love to hate their owner and at times, LSU's offense can look stagnant, but statistically we have one of the best offenses in the country. Much of that reason is because we have elite athletes, we have a PG who is able to distribute, we are selfless, and our big men can pass.
The biggest matchup will be KBW vs Gafford. If Gafford is able to get KBW in foul trouble early, LSU could be in some trouble...however is Gafford picks up some fouls they will REALLY be in trouble.
The other massive key will be covering their 2 shooters, and mostly, FT shooting. Arkansas is one of the worst FT shooting teams in the country, and LSU can have a big advantage on the line if they focus and shoot.
As good as Arkansas is defensively, I believe LSU can score points on almost anybody because we have 5 guys that can get their own shot and create for others, many teams do not have that. If LSU can keep Gafford from going off and don't allow Joe to hit multiple 3's, LSU could potentially cruise to a double digit victory.
Prediction:
Arkansas is a solid team, but also one of the youngest in the country...even younger than LSU. They have a great facilitator, a great big man, and a great shooter....everyone else are just role players. Arkansas will need all 3 or 1 other to really step up in the hope to beat LSU. I think LSU's road/neutral games against FSU, OSU, and Houston will help the Tigers. LSU will struggle at times and it will be close, but I think the Cardiac Cats pull out a close one...
LSU- 74
Arky- 69
Posted on 1/11/19 at 8:08 pm to LSUButt
Need this one bad, tough trip to Ole Myth Tuesday.
Posted on 1/11/19 at 8:44 pm to LSUButt
I think Arkansas is the best matchup for LSU. They certainly were last season.
Arkansas wants to play fast and LSU is happy to play that style of game. Teams that frustrate LSU are those that force the Tigers to grind out a half-court game. That’s not in Arkansas’s DNA.
Waters was the key last year and he will be the key this year. If he can control the tempo and not turn the ball over vs pressure then LSU should get a lot of good looks. If not, that plays right in to Arkansas’s hands.
Just like every game, I think LSU will score. The question remains: will they defend and rebound? Those two areas become even more important on the road
Arkansas wants to play fast and LSU is happy to play that style of game. Teams that frustrate LSU are those that force the Tigers to grind out a half-court game. That’s not in Arkansas’s DNA.
Waters was the key last year and he will be the key this year. If he can control the tempo and not turn the ball over vs pressure then LSU should get a lot of good looks. If not, that plays right in to Arkansas’s hands.
Just like every game, I think LSU will score. The question remains: will they defend and rebound? Those two areas become even more important on the road
Posted on 1/11/19 at 8:44 pm to LSUButt
Thanks for posting. Always look forward to your previews.
Posted on 1/11/19 at 9:31 pm to Jack Crevalle
Great preview as always.
Posted on 1/11/19 at 10:11 pm to GeorgeWest
Appreciate the love, fellas
Posted on 1/12/19 at 1:41 am to LSUButt
Tigers should win this game. I saw Arkansas play against florida and they don't look impressive at all. I will say...
LSU - 82
Arkansas - 70
LSU - 82
Arkansas - 70
Posted on 1/12/19 at 1:51 am to LSUButt
Great job as always, Tuesday we talked about Bigbys role and I see a lot of the same here but because of the other end of the floor this time. We will definitely need his defense to control Gafford who’s the most productive Big in the SEC. Gaffiord only took 4 or 5 shots vs Florida and Arkansas only scored 51 so look for them to make it a point to get him involved early and often. Again I believe Bigby playing the 5 leaves an opening for Naz to dominate his matchup at the 4 if he can avoid foul trouble. One matchup that I also believe is very important is Isaiah Joe who can be a bigtime scorer. Mays is going to have his work cut out for him here and this is the X factor matchup in my opinion. Jones was their most effective player vs Florida but I’m confident that Taylor can lock him down as he is becoming one of the best defensive wings in the SEC if not the county so the Mays/Joe matchup becomes the big one. If we can at least slow down Gafford and Joe I think we win this one going away.
Posted on 1/12/19 at 5:50 am to LSUButt
Thanks, good work. After seeing the line with lsu as 1 point dogs, im not feeling great about it. But hopefully we can sneak through this one
Posted on 1/12/19 at 10:40 am to LSUButt
We'll score against arky and if we shoot like we did against bama we'll be in business.
The keys are defending and rebounding. Suck the life out of their offense early and get the crowd of it like last year.
The keys are defending and rebounding. Suck the life out of their offense early and get the crowd of it like last year.
Posted on 1/12/19 at 11:34 am to Pnels08
Bump..
Big game that Tiger fans seem to be ho hum on
Big game that Tiger fans seem to be ho hum on
Posted on 1/12/19 at 12:06 pm to AZTiger7072
The Football Juniors have taken the splash out of the b-ball team
Posted on 1/12/19 at 12:12 pm to LSUButt
That’s not a bad thing....
Posted on 1/12/19 at 12:19 pm to LSUButt
quote:
The Football Juniors have taken the splash out of the b-ball team
Just wait until baseball starts. Unfortunately, basketball has to work harder to get attention.
Posted on 1/12/19 at 12:29 pm to josh336
The -1 is courtesy to Arky because its at Bud Walton. Mike Anderson is not a good X and O’s coach. We dominated them with much less twice last season. Not saying its guaranteed but I’m feeling pretty good.
BTW. Tennesee is -3 at Florida. They have won their two conference games by like a combined 70 points. Just shows how much emphasis vegas gives to home court
BTW. Tennesee is -3 at Florida. They have won their two conference games by like a combined 70 points. Just shows how much emphasis vegas gives to home court
Posted on 1/12/19 at 2:29 pm to WaydownSouth
quote:
The -1 is courtesy to Arky because its at Bud Walton.
Agree. Hopefully that road game at Houston has prepared us for tonight.
Posted on 1/12/19 at 3:18 pm to WaydownSouth
And strangely this season ppl are winning on the road. We’ll see if it evens out. Sec home teams have such an insane advantage
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