re: Predict MBB NCAA Tourney Seed

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6
7
7
8

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I think this is optimistic.

Ceiling 6, Floor 10 imo.

I'd go:

6/7 - winning USCe/AU/UK
7/8 - winning USCe/AU - lose UK
8/9 - winning Q - lose Sat
8/9/10 - lose Fri

Very insightful and well thought out predictions

1) 6 if it includes the highest seeds available to beat - SC, Auburn, Kentucky
2) 7
3) 8/9 doesn't matter really it's a very tight group right there
4) 10

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Wow a few people are really bad at this. Anybody that thinks we would be an 8 after winning the tournament shouldn’t have posted in this thread. 3 quality wins would put us at a 7 at absolutely worst and very likely a 6. 2 wins which would put us in the finals would almost assuredly put us a lot a 7. Go 1-1 and we are most likely staying at an 8 but it wouldn’t be insane to see us at a 9. Lose our first game and we are a 9 unless things really break against us and we would be a 10 which most people would prefer anyway. So another question is would y’all rather win 1 and be an 8 or lose the first game and possibly be a 10?

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It really would depend on who LSU played. The comittee doesn't care how far you advanced in the tournament. So look at is as an opportunity to play 1-3 more individual games to build your overall resume. For instance, if upsets happen and LSU ends up playing Vandy and Mizzou, that doesn't do ANYTHING to help their resume...even if it provides an "easier" path to the finals.

The one negative on LSU's resume is a 4-8 record in Q1 games. If LSU could bump that up to 6 Q1 wins, then that would start to close that hole in the resume. You look at teams LSU would (likely) be competing with for a 6 seed (Illinois, Iowa, Penn St., Michigan, Colorado, West Virginia, etc) and they all have at least 6 Q1 wins. So if you are looking for the best possible opponents, then a three game stretch vs. Arkansas, Auburn and Kentucky would be the most ideal resume builder.

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So another question is would y’all rather win 1 and be an 8 or lose the first game and possibly be a 10?

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Historically, 8 seeds are as or more likely to make the Final Four than 6,7, 9, 10 seeds. Yes, you have to play a #1 on the first weekend. But that might give you a little bit better shot to beat them since they will only have 1 day of prep/rest. And if you can slay that dragon early, you're playing no better than a #4 in the Sweet 16

We'll be higher than 7 if we win it. If we beat Arkansas, Auburn and Kentucky we could get to a 4 if everything else went our way.

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We'll be higher than 7 if we win it. If we beat Arkansas, Auburn and Kentucky we could get to a 4 if everything else went our way.

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Yeah there's no chance we jump up to a 4 seed. Very outside shot of a 5 maybe if things really fall our way, but we're a solid 8 seed right now.

At this point I think like 90% of our outcomes are anywhere from a 7-10 seed, which isn't a whole lot of difference, honestly. If we beat Kentucky in the final we're probably a 6.

I agree somewhat but I think even beating Vandy and mizzou would get us to a 7. Beating Georgia moved us from a 9 up to an 8 in lunardi’s bracket. And that is the absolute worst case scenario for opponents and probably has less than a 20% chance of being our matchups.