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Predict LSUs passing run/pass ratio
Posted on 8/8/18 at 3:29 pm
Posted on 8/8/18 at 3:29 pm
I've seen some crazy prediction about how much we'll throw the ball this year...50%? 70%? Curious what everyone thinks.
For comparison sake there last 10 years...
YEAR - RUN/PASS% PASS PER GAME
2017 - 65/35- 23.1
2016 - 61/39 - 24.8
2015 - 64/36 - 23.2
2014 - 69/31 - 21.2
2013 - 62/38 - 25.1
2012 - 60/40 - 27.4
2011 - 68/32 - 19.9
2010 - 64/36 - 23.2
2009 - 57/43 - 25.8
2008 - 56/44 - 30.1
For comparison sake there last 10 years...
YEAR - RUN/PASS% PASS PER GAME
2017 - 65/35- 23.1
2016 - 61/39 - 24.8
2015 - 64/36 - 23.2
2014 - 69/31 - 21.2
2013 - 62/38 - 25.1
2012 - 60/40 - 27.4
2011 - 68/32 - 19.9
2010 - 64/36 - 23.2
2009 - 57/43 - 25.8
2008 - 56/44 - 30.1
This post was edited on 8/8/18 at 3:31 pm
Posted on 8/8/18 at 3:31 pm to SportTiger1
50/50 but it might be somewhat misleading bc of lot of quick throws out of the spread are really just extended handoffs.
Posted on 8/8/18 at 3:32 pm to SportTiger1
55/45 run/pass
32 passes a game
32 passes a game
This post was edited on 8/8/18 at 3:33 pm
Posted on 8/8/18 at 3:33 pm to SportTiger1
the last time LSU threw more than 50% of the time...
1999 - 44/56 36.8ppg
1999 - 44/56 36.8ppg
Posted on 8/8/18 at 3:35 pm to SportTiger1
quote:
the last time LSU threw more than 50% of the time...
1999 - 44/56 36.8ppg
Yeah, that tends to happen while losing 8 in a row.
Posted on 8/8/18 at 3:36 pm to SportTiger1
2017 Texas Tech - 46% rush / 54% Pass - 41.6ppg
Posted on 8/8/18 at 3:38 pm to SportTiger1
It will still be very close to 60/40 run to pass.
Posted on 8/8/18 at 3:43 pm to SportTiger1
Do we mean when the game is in question?
I mean...IF LSU has a multi-score lead on a team and CAN run the ball effectively, I'd want and expect them to do so. That kinda messes up the ratio a bit.
I'd guess: 50/50 for the "game is CONTESTED time"
I mean...IF LSU has a multi-score lead on a team and CAN run the ball effectively, I'd want and expect them to do so. That kinda messes up the ratio a bit.
I'd guess: 50/50 for the "game is CONTESTED time"
Posted on 8/8/18 at 3:43 pm to thunderbird1100
quote:
55/45 run/pass
This.
1. LSU doesn't have that bell-cow back they can just ride all game
2. They didn't go out and get a new QB just to run the ball 60+% of the time. If that was the plan, one of the guys already on the team could have handled throwing the ball 35% of the time.
3. The deepest position on the team is WR. Ensminger knows this and has recognized as much.
4. O got the job because he painted himself as the anti-Miles with regard to the offense. Every decision he makes is premised on what is the best strategy to allow him to remain the HC. He's not going back to what (is perceived to be) the reason Miles didn't win enough games and thus, was fired.
5. O's not very media-savvy. He can sometime be honest to a fault and he (and Ensminger) has talked ad nausem about LSU often running 3-4 WR sets. He's not trying to employ some misdirection there. That is what LSU plans to do.
Posted on 8/8/18 at 3:48 pm to BlackHelicopterPilot
quote:
I'd guess: 50/50 for the "game is CONTESTED time"
Shouldnt that tend to average out over an entire season? So, i'm asking "at year end, whats the ratio"
Posted on 8/8/18 at 3:48 pm to SportTiger1
Orgeron has already said publicly it will be 50/50.
Posted on 8/8/18 at 3:49 pm to SportTiger1
Only 3 SEC teams passed 50% or more in 2017. Everybody else was below 50%.
Vandy
Ole Miss
South Carolina
So if it's 50/50 we are in trouble.
ETA: Last year we actually passed more than Georgia, Alabama, and Mississippi St.
What you need to win in the SEC is an efficient passing game not a prolific one.
Vandy
Ole Miss
South Carolina
So if it's 50/50 we are in trouble.
ETA: Last year we actually passed more than Georgia, Alabama, and Mississippi St.
What you need to win in the SEC is an efficient passing game not a prolific one.
This post was edited on 8/8/18 at 4:03 pm
Posted on 8/8/18 at 3:52 pm to Alt26
quote:
4. O got the job because he painted himself as the anti-Miles with regard to the offense. Every decision he makes is premised on what is the best strategy to allow him to remain the HC. He's not going back to what (is perceived to be) the reason Miles didn't win enough games and thus, was fired.
5. O's not very media-savvy. He can sometime be honest to a fault and he (and Ensminger) has talked ad nausem about LSU often running 3-4 WR sets. He's not trying to employ some misdirection there. That is what LSU plans to do.
The problem with this is, he used the 50/50 moniker before last season started, and how'd that work out?
I honestly dont know, but 60/40 with 70 plays per game puts you at 28ppg, which i think is about right.
If SLINGER comes out throwing the ball 35+ times a game i will be very shocked.
Posted on 8/8/18 at 3:53 pm to Slim
quote:
Orgeron has already said publicly it will be 50/50.
Then it's definitely NOT going to be 50/50
Posted on 8/8/18 at 3:53 pm to SportTiger1
quote:
Shouldnt that tend to average out over an entire season? So, i'm asking "at year end, whats the ratio"
Fair question. But, I don't know if that is true.
Also, just for example, last year Ole Miss could not stop the run at all. It would be silly to not run on a team that isn't stopping it.
Again. I do believe it will be very balance (because WR is deeper and more talented). But, I'll not be "bothered" if the reason for a skewed Run portion is because of leads at end of games or success against weaker Ds.
I am excited to see the offense this season
Posted on 8/8/18 at 3:56 pm to thunderbird1100
quote:
55/45 run/pass 32 passes a game
I think that’s a good estimate, maybe a couple less throws.
Posted on 8/8/18 at 4:05 pm to SportTiger1
I predict closer to 60/40 run/pass due to running at the end of games we are leading by multiple scores.
Posted on 8/8/18 at 4:42 pm to SportTiger1
I say we run 42% we pass 68%.
This post was edited on 8/8/18 at 4:42 pm
Posted on 8/8/18 at 4:42 pm to SportTiger1
quote:
Predict LSUs passing run/pass ratio
"Tremendous"
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