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NCAA Baseball Field Projecitons

Posted on 5/12/21 at 10:52 am
Posted by MeanStreak
Member since Nov 2015
295 posts
Posted on 5/12/21 at 10:52 am
Links of where all fields sit below.

College Sports Madness

D1

Baseball America

What's interesting to see is what the committee will do with the Big 10. They decided in January to have baseball remain a conference only sport. Thus far no teams have stood out in the standings or performance.

Big 10 Standings

Now I think most here would agree with me saying if you refuse to play out of conference, you get a champion in and that's it. Something tells me with the NCAA dying to get the sport more balanced with northern teams in the last 10 years, they will give the Big 10 a pass, even though most of the time they haven't been deserving.

Doesn't make much sense to me, because when the SEC was bad at basketball we weren't given passes. We had to reinvest into the sport on our own. I just don't know how you legitimately compare teams with no common games. At least in one of these projections, they leave all but on Big 10 team out of the field. Will be interesting.

This post was edited on 5/12/21 at 10:54 am
Posted by Who_Dat_Tiger
Member since Nov 2015
17441 posts
Posted on 5/12/21 at 10:54 am to
Wrote all that text but couldn’t summarize where each outlet had us in the field?
Posted by MeanStreak
Member since Nov 2015
295 posts
Posted on 5/12/21 at 10:55 am to
This is more about bids for the Big 10, much less about where we currently sit.
Posted by burdman
Louisiana
Member since Aug 2007
20685 posts
Posted on 5/12/21 at 10:56 am to
For people who don't want to search the links

quote:

College Sports Madness


Has LSU in the Tech regional

quote:

D1


Has LSU in the first 5 out

quote:

Baseball America


Has LSU in the Next Four out
This post was edited on 5/12/21 at 10:57 am
Posted by ell_13
Member since Apr 2013
85033 posts
Posted on 5/12/21 at 10:56 am to
This is why the analytics are going to be ignored this year. RPI, as bad as it usually is, is now even worse because you have a few conferences that refused (laughably so) to only play in conference. You have no idea where they should or would fall had they played a different schedule. Fairfield and the Big 10 are examples of this going in opposite directions. Either way, when I noticed RPIs jumping 12+ spots after one game in mid-May, I realized how useless RPI is this year. That doesn't ever happen this late. The committee is going to have to rely on what they see for once. And you can certainly trust them to frick that up because most of them don't watch games outside of their own teams.
Posted by Who_Dat_Tiger
Member since Nov 2015
17441 posts
Posted on 5/12/21 at 10:57 am to
quote:

This is more about bids for the Big 10, much less about where we currently sit.

more sports board
Posted by MeanStreak
Member since Nov 2015
295 posts
Posted on 5/12/21 at 11:00 am to
Except it directly affects us, we don't know the relevance of our position without understanding this issue. If they decide to limit the seeds for the B10, we will most likely be in no problem.
This post was edited on 5/12/21 at 11:01 am
Posted by Who_Dat_Tiger
Member since Nov 2015
17441 posts
Posted on 5/12/21 at 11:01 am to
quote:

Has LSU in the Tech regional

That would be best case scenario for us

quote:

Ruston Regional
16 Louisiana Tech
LSU
Tulane
Southeastern Louisiana
Posted by DRock88
Member since Aug 2015
9471 posts
Posted on 5/12/21 at 11:03 am to
I've watched alot of baseball this year, and most of the projections on the sites above are absolutely awful. I sure hope the committee doesn't make the post season as miserable as those projections would.
Posted by Alt26
Member since Mar 2010
28344 posts
Posted on 5/12/21 at 11:03 am to
quote:

Baseball America


Not in the field


Technically they have LSU as the EIGHT team out of the tournament (bottom of the "Next Four Out" category).

As for the Big 10, I wouldn't expect them to be "penalized" for playing only conf. games. They clearly weren't penalized in football when OSU reached the playoffs despite only playing 6 games. Just like with EVERYTHING since March 2020 the "panicdemic" is the ultimately excuse to justify any decision you want to make...even if objectivity and logic suggests it is a poor or unjust decision.
Posted by burdman
Louisiana
Member since Aug 2007
20685 posts
Posted on 5/12/21 at 11:04 am to
Yeah, I missed that in the first run through.
Posted by TravisBRTiger
Member since Nov 2020
2167 posts
Posted on 5/12/21 at 11:04 am to
What it comes down to is, we have our destiny in our own hands. If we get to 14 pre tourney, we're in. If not we will need to make a run. If we play to our potential, we are capable.

Let's see how we look this weekend.
Posted by Hester Carries
Member since Sep 2012
22424 posts
Posted on 5/12/21 at 11:06 am to
quote:

Except it directly affects us,


Yet you didnt show that lol
Posted by ell_13
Member since Apr 2013
85033 posts
Posted on 5/12/21 at 11:06 am to
I've watched mostly SEC and Big12 with a few ACC games trickled in.

1) The SEC is stacked. It obviously benefited most from a short draft.

2) We will see some crazy Regional game 1s because every good team has a front line starter. Look at how good Marceaux is and then his record. It's a microcosm of the NCAA right now.

3) If Vandy loses one of their first 2 games in any round, they are fricked.
Posted by nicholastiger
Member since Jan 2004
42565 posts
Posted on 5/12/21 at 11:06 am to
The argument that LSU would be in the tourney in any other conference is mute

Bottom line - LSU to compete for national titles and omaha should be good enough to make it out of the SEC every season

LSU is not an elite team this year. Making the tourney or just missing it doesn't change that. They have not been up to task all season against the top tier teams. I don't see that changing if LSU were to make a regional.
Posted by Lickitty Split
Inside
Member since Apr 2017
3911 posts
Posted on 5/12/21 at 11:09 am to
They just beat Tech.
Posted by Hester Carries
Member since Sep 2012
22424 posts
Posted on 5/12/21 at 11:14 am to
quote:

Making the tourney or just missing it doesn't change that. They have not been up to task all season against the top tier teams. I don't see that changing if LSU were to make a regional.


This is retarded.

LSU would be considerably benefited NEXT SEASON by making the tourney THIS SEASON.

Posted by Nutriaitch
Montegut
Member since Apr 2008
7524 posts
Posted on 5/12/21 at 11:15 am to
quote:

Now I think most here would agree with me saying if you refuse to play out of conference, you get a champion in and that's it.


guess that depends on how you look at it.

they're playing 44 conference games, SEC plays 30.

that's 14 more games vs "Power 5" schools than we're going to play this year.
Posted by Meauxjeaux
98836 posts including my alters
Member since Jun 2005
39947 posts
Posted on 5/12/21 at 11:18 am to
quote:

They have not been up to task all season against the top tier teams.


We've been outclassed by two teams this year - Vanderbilt and Arkansas.

Outside of that, we have underperformed, mostly due to coaching. Shoulda/Coulda had 2/3 at State. Shoulda/Coulda had 3/3 with OM. Shoulda/Coulda had 3/3 with SCar... all those losses were heavy CPM-induced.
Posted by 3rdPart Tiger
Member since Oct 2007
6201 posts
Posted on 5/12/21 at 11:18 am to
quote:

3) If Vandy loses one of their first 2 games in any round, they are fricked.


Is the drop off that bad?
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