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re: Marceaux Starting against Gonzaga, Gio will be back
Posted on 6/1/21 at 12:53 pm to josh336
Posted on 6/1/21 at 12:53 pm to josh336
If Gio is good to go then only question is DH.
I don't have the runners left on base stats and batting avg with runners in scoring position stats, but they should be fairly close to the plate appearances and RBI stats.
In SEC play:
Arnold 8 RBI in 49 PA = 1 RBI per 6.1 PA
Drost 5 RBI in 31 PA = 1 per 6.2 PA
Beloso 9 RBI in 88 PA = 1 per 9.8 PA
Sanford 3 RBI in 30 PA = 1 per 10 PA
In all games:
Arnold 25 RBI in 144 PA = 1 per 5.8 PA
Beloso 28 RBI in 189 PA = 1 per 6.8 PA
Sanford 11 RBI in 76 PA = 1 per 6.9 PA
Drost 12 RBI in 90 PA = 1 per 7.5 PA
The total PA numbers are AB + BB + HBP + sacrifices and may not be 100% accurate if there were a very few unusual results like interference.
If you go strictly by producing runs Arnold has outperformed the others. Drost produced better in SEC games than he did in all games. Beloso and Sanford did not produce very often in SEC games.
There are many variables like quality of pitching faced, how many runners in scoring position when they batted, etc. that factor into this, but they all had a shot.
I don't have the runners left on base stats and batting avg with runners in scoring position stats, but they should be fairly close to the plate appearances and RBI stats.
In SEC play:
Arnold 8 RBI in 49 PA = 1 RBI per 6.1 PA
Drost 5 RBI in 31 PA = 1 per 6.2 PA
Beloso 9 RBI in 88 PA = 1 per 9.8 PA
Sanford 3 RBI in 30 PA = 1 per 10 PA
In all games:
Arnold 25 RBI in 144 PA = 1 per 5.8 PA
Beloso 28 RBI in 189 PA = 1 per 6.8 PA
Sanford 11 RBI in 76 PA = 1 per 6.9 PA
Drost 12 RBI in 90 PA = 1 per 7.5 PA
The total PA numbers are AB + BB + HBP + sacrifices and may not be 100% accurate if there were a very few unusual results like interference.
If you go strictly by producing runs Arnold has outperformed the others. Drost produced better in SEC games than he did in all games. Beloso and Sanford did not produce very often in SEC games.
There are many variables like quality of pitching faced, how many runners in scoring position when they batted, etc. that factor into this, but they all had a shot.
This post was edited on 6/1/21 at 1:01 pm
1
Posted on 6/1/21 at 12:53 pm to doubleb
That’s what I said, I was responding to someone putting up all their averages without pointing out the difference in ABs. I would absolutely not change now. It’s to late
And for what it’s worth I hope Beloso and/or Bianco come up with big hits to help them advance.
And for what it’s worth I hope Beloso and/or Bianco come up with big hits to help them advance.
This post was edited on 6/1/21 at 12:58 pm
Posted on 6/1/21 at 1:00 pm to PlaylikeJeter
Sounds like yall should prepare for safford to be in over bianco and beloso over arnold on friday
Posted on 6/1/21 at 1:03 pm to UpToPar
quote:
I think people undervalue the momentum and mental aspect of winning the first game, especially at an unfamiliar ball park.
Put me in that category with respect to this conversation. I don’t think winning game 1 gives us an extra advantage in game 2 that would make choosing your pitcher differently than you would otherwise.
quote:
If Marceau gives us 7 quality innings, I really like our chances on saturday with Hillard and our full pen.
I’m not saying you shouldn’t like this matchup. If you think Hilliard vs Oregon is not significantly different than Marceaux ok. Of course, if that’s the case, I’d assume you would feel the same way for Gonzaga.
Posted on 6/1/21 at 1:35 pm to josh336
It’s somewhere around almost .300 for lefties and .100 for righties
Posted on 6/1/21 at 1:36 pm to ell_13
I kinda agree with you on Sanford
Posted on 6/1/21 at 1:40 pm to NorthEndZone
RBIs are a terrible barometer when you have hitters batting around 0.100 around the lineup. Unless you think crews should be benched too right?
This post was edited on 6/1/21 at 1:41 pm
Posted on 6/1/21 at 1:43 pm to Naptime
Hmm. That is a big enough gap to make me think twice, too.
Posted on 6/1/21 at 1:46 pm to ell_13
quote:
RBIs are a terrible barometer when you have hitters batting around 0.100 around the lineup
Understood and I thought about that.
But the guys I was comparing all batted in the 5 through 8 spots for the most part throughout the season.
I really wanted to see the BA with RISP stats to see how well they correlated to RBI production.
Regardless, Arnold is the only right handed batting DH option if Bianco plays in the field. The other three left handed batters are all equally questionable at this point. Drost probably has the most potential since Beloso seems to have lost what he once had.
Posted on 6/1/21 at 3:11 pm to Naptime
quote:
It’s somewhere around almost .300 for lefties and .100 for righties
Holy cow, thats crazy. I can understand it now
Posted on 6/1/21 at 3:12 pm to NorthEndZone
quote:
I really wanted to see the BA with RISP stats to see how well they correlated to RBI production.
Why? That stat doesnt correlate to skill
Posted on 6/1/21 at 3:34 pm to josh336
We're going to win this regional and I wouldn't count us out of a super win given the lack of SEC alignment.
I have been critical of the kids at times and Paul most of the time but this is LSU and this is how the story is supposed to end for an LSU baseball coach ... on the field in Omaha.
I have been critical of the kids at times and Paul most of the time but this is LSU and this is how the story is supposed to end for an LSU baseball coach ... on the field in Omaha.
Posted on 6/1/21 at 5:07 pm to josh336
Ok then I admit I’m not sure how to determine the best hitter at winning a game without having all the advanced stats available. What would you use?
Posted on 6/1/21 at 6:22 pm to NorthEndZone
Ops
Posted on 6/1/21 at 6:34 pm to UpToPar
quote:uhhhmmm someone on the staff should be
Do you think LSU is preparing for all three teams’ top 3 starters right now?
Posted on 6/2/21 at 1:34 am to Ellssu
I say forget Gonzaga's starter and start the lineup drock listed...our 9 best players.
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