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LSU vs the rest of the top 25

Posted on 10/27/26 at 8:01 am
Posted by MilkJug
Member since Nov 2025
490 posts
Posted on 10/27/26 at 8:01 am
Don't take this literally. This is a probabilistic model. As noted on the graphic, LSU would be expected to win 17.5 of these games - not all of them. They would just be favored in all of them.

This post was edited on 10/27/26 at 8:03 am
Posted by Pedropatterstine
Member since Aug 2026
1656 posts
Posted on 10/27/26 at 8:05 am to
That's been my point with these guys on here. LSU is probably the most balanced team in college football, and the offense is really starting to click, along with a stingy defense. Ohio State is getting a lot of credit but they don't have a QB or an offense. Same with Texas. Miami hasn't played ANYBODY yet. LSU is one of the best teams in the country. This is why the media and the SEC in particular is hating Kiffin at LSU.
Posted by guttata
prairieville
Member since Feb 2006
22665 posts
Posted on 10/27/26 at 8:07 am to
LSU has played two top 25 teams and lost both of them.
Posted by The Pirate King
Pangu
Member since May 2014
71070 posts
Posted on 10/27/26 at 8:09 am to
quote:

LSU has played two top 25 teams and lost both of them.

Miss state counts as a top 25 win, as much as people will try to deny that.
Posted by LSBoosie
Member since Jun 2020
20752 posts
Posted on 10/27/26 at 8:10 am to
MilkJug is very proud of his model
Posted by Pedropatterstine
Member since Aug 2026
1656 posts
Posted on 10/27/26 at 8:11 am to
I'm not even going to waste my time on debating with someone like you on here. If you can't see the progression of this team, which started with an almost entirely new team and coaches, then no one on this site can help you. Yes, they lost against two top 12 teams, on the road, early in the year. Look around college football. That isn't just LSU related. The only teams that haven't are the ones that don't even play legit top 25 teams. This team has destroyed EVERYONE at home...complete dominance. They will very possibly have two top 10 teams coming to town, and one on the road to go. Let's see how they do now. I know it kills you that LSU is favored in all these games, but it is what it is. They have turned into a damn good football team, and a statement is coming against Bama....and Bama knows it, at least some of their real fans.
Posted by BlacknGold
He Hate Me
Member since Mar 2009
12540 posts
Posted on 10/27/26 at 8:12 am to
quote:

Miss state counts as a top 25 win, as much as people will try to deny that.


sure, when they have their starting QB. when they dont, they arent a top team.
Posted by LSBoosie
Member since Jun 2020
20752 posts
Posted on 10/27/26 at 8:13 am to
quote:

Miss state counts as a top 25 win, as much as people will try to deny that.

Yep. And people still forget that Oklahoma State has a win over the #6 team in the country
Posted by MilkJug
Member since Nov 2025
490 posts
Posted on 10/27/26 at 8:14 am to
quote:


LSU has played two top 25 teams and lost both of them.

LSU was favored in those games. And they would be favored in the rematches.
Posted by MilkJug
Member since Nov 2025
490 posts
Posted on 10/27/26 at 8:15 am to
quote:

MilkJug is very proud of his model

I just like the outcry from posting it.
Posted by The Pirate King
Pangu
Member since May 2014
71070 posts
Posted on 10/27/26 at 8:15 am to
quote:

sure, when they have their starting QB. when they dont, they arent a top team.

Irrelevant to their ranking. It counts for LSU as a top 25 win.
Posted by LSBoosie
Member since Jun 2020
20752 posts
Posted on 10/27/26 at 8:17 am to
quote:

I just like the outcry from posting it.

What’s the outcry? You get a bunch of upvotes every time you post about it on the Rant
Posted by LSBoosie
Member since Jun 2020
20752 posts
Posted on 10/27/26 at 8:19 am to
quote:

Irrelevant to their ranking. It counts for LSU as a top 25 win.

For some people it might be irrelevant. For others it might be very relevant.
Posted by PUB
New Orleans
Member since Sep 2017
21748 posts
Posted on 10/27/26 at 8:19 am to
Reality is LK choked in 2 big games and we need to win out.
LSU is not getting any breaks or sympathy.
Posted by lowhound
Effie
Member since Aug 2014
11440 posts
Posted on 10/27/26 at 8:20 am to
There's no way Ohio State is going to remain in the top 10 soon with their QB out. I like our chances at greater than 80% in that one. All the rest of the matchups look about right. I like us.
Posted by LincolnGold
Member since Jan 2021
164 posts
Posted on 10/27/26 at 8:21 am to
quote:

LSU has played two top 25 teams and lost both of them.

Ok, we'll meet them again in the CFP.
Posted by MilkJug
Member since Nov 2025
490 posts
Posted on 10/27/26 at 8:26 am to
quote:

What’s the outcry? You get a bunch of upvotes every time you post about it on the Rant

Lol no. Go check out the SECRant. That's where I post most of my model's stuff. They hate it over there - and yall would too if it was down on LSU this year, to be honest.
Posted by Pedropatterstine
Member since Aug 2026
1656 posts
Posted on 10/27/26 at 8:27 am to
and that's why they beat them by 100 points....you people are disgusting in your hatred toward LSU success.
Posted by LSBoosie
Member since Jun 2020
20752 posts
Posted on 10/27/26 at 9:24 am to
quote:

Lol no. Go check out the SECRant. That's where I post most of my model's stuff. They hate it over there - and yall would too if it was down on LSU this year, to be honest.

You post it on both. And yeah, of course the SEC Rant is going to downvote your model saying that LSU would theoretically be favored over all these other teams. Idk who “y’all” is. I don’t like or hate your model. Sometimes it’s right, sometimes it way off. I don’t take anything from it.
Posted by Who_Dat_Tiger
Member since Nov 2015
26681 posts
Posted on 10/27/26 at 9:26 am to
Are you sure there’s no bias in your model? Just curious cuz a lot of those Vegas and computer models have us ranked between 4-7 so I’d expect at least a few teams would be favored over us on a neutral field
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