re: LSU is at No.34 in RPI, there are 33 at-large spots in NCAA Tourney...

They have to get to 13 wins in SEC regular season play to have a chance. Period.

In 2011, LSU had an RPI of 23 and a SEC record of 13-17 and missed the cut.

An RPI of 33 and a 12-18 SEC record gets them squarely out of the regionals.

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it was and still is horseshite they didn't get a bid in 2011

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Agree 100%.

Point is.. if that team with a much better RPI and a better regular season SEC record didn’t make it, this team at a 33 RPI and 12-18 record certainly isn’t making it.

Plus… never in history has a SEC team made the NCAA’s with a 12-18 SEC record.

Bottom line:Gotta sweep Ole Miss to have any chance at all to get in.

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Bottom line:Gotta sweep Ole Miss to have any chance at all to get in.

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Or win SECT, thats the other option

I don’t know how NCAA softball works, but based on that, the SEC could get 12 teams in, although not likely. All 13 teams from the SEC got in a regional for softball (Vandy doesn’t field a team).

It actually depends. They COULD get in with 12 conference wins if we take 2/3 from Ole Miss and Florida gets swept. That would put us at 10th place in the SEC. It would also DQ Florida from the NCAAT with a losing record. 10 SEC teams are getting in the tournament this year regardless of which way you cut it

Their body of work? Other than the A&M series, it's unimpressive.

I actually do think they’re going to get swept this weekend on the road at Georgia. Georgia is arguably the hottest team in the entire country, with the best hitter in the country. Regardless, I would just love for us to sweep Ole Miss, get us to a minimum of 11th place, potentially even jump Florida if they go 1/3 this weekend and get to 10th place. Then go get a Tuesday morning SEC W against likely South Carolina/Vandy depending on what happens this weekend with the standings

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Do you think LSU is not one of the top 64 teams in D1 baseball? If you think they are, then deserve to be in the tournament. If you don't think so then no one should trust anything you say about college baseball.

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I do, but the sting of missing the regional may light a fire under their asses. They have been lollygagging all season and need to learn how to be winners and not just expect to win without putting in the effort.

Just added this edit to the opening post...

13 conferences currently have at least 1 team with an RPI of 33 of higher.

SEC (11) - 1 Kentucky, 2 Texas A&M, 3 Georgia, 4 Arkansas, 6 Tennessee, 11 Alabama, 16 Miss State, 19 S. Carolina, 24 Ole Miss, 28 Vandy, 29 Florida
ACC (7) - 5 UNC, 7 Clemson, 8 Florida State, 9 Wake Forest, 13 Virginia, 20 NC State, 22 Duke
Big 12 (2) - 15 Oklahoma, 17 Oklahoma State
Big West (2) - 18 UC Santa Barbara, 23 UC Irvine
Pac 12 (2) - 14 Oregon State, 26 Arizona
Conference USA (2) - 21 DBU, 32 LaTech
Missouri Valley (1) - 10 Indiana State
American Athletic (1) - 12 East Carolina
West Coast (1) - 25 San Diego
Big East (1) - 27 Xavier
Big Ten (1) - 30 Nebraska
Coastal Athletic (1) - 31 Northwestern
Sunbelt (1) - 33 Southern Miss

There will be upsets, many upsets in conference tournaments. However, it would not be a stretch to say that anywhere from 5-7 of the 31 conference champions will have an RPI of 33 or higher.

If it is 5, then that would mean that teams with an RPI of 38 or higher have a better shot of being selected as an at-large team than teams with an RPI of 39 or lower.

If it is 7, then teams with an RPI of 40 or higher have a better chance than teams with an RPI of 41 or lower.

LSU is currently sitting at No.34, while Ole Miss is at No.24. Hypothetically, if LSU wins 2 out of 3, their RPI could climb up to around No.28 or 29.

This is the strongest year in history for the SEC. It is possible to see 12 teams getting in. I don't buy into the theory that a team from the SEC with an RPI around 28 would be excluded with a conference record of 12-18.

Based on history, at a minimum, you would need to have a record of 13-17, but this year is unprecedented. In 2024, 12-18 with an RPI of 28 may be enough to get in.

If just 5 conference champions have an RPI of 33 or higher than that means that teams with an RPI of 38 or higher have a shot to be selected as an at-large team.

If we can crack the Top 30 with a series win over Ole Miss, then the door is open. Win a couple in Hoover and our RPI could rise to around No.25. If this happens, it will be very hard for the Committee to keep last year's National Champs out.

Geaux Tigers!

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If we can crack the Top 30 with a series win over Ole Miss, then the door is open. Win a couple in Hoover and our RPI could rise to around No.25. If this happens, it will be very hard for the Committee to keep last year's National Champs out.

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LSU finished the 2011 season with an RPI of 28. They were two years from a National Championship, yet they were left out. And they were 13-17 in the SEC. We would have to sweep Ole Miss to get to 13.

IMO, they will be left out of the tournament even if they sweep Ole Miss, unless they also go deep in the SEC tournament. If the beat Ole Miss 2-1, then I think they have to win the SEC tournament to have an outside chance.