re: LSU +3.5 is free money

Lol no it’s not. It could hit but it’s far from free money.

I use draft kings app. the line is +2.5

I do think Aggy’s only path is to eek out a close game against us against the backdrop of the 12th man giving LSU issues getting their calls in. Whereas, I could see us beating them by two scores plus with how we are playing right now.

I always place big money on the opposition of LSU. I can't handle if LSU loses a game a bunch of queers so I'll be placing a large bet on the aggies ML

quote:

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I do think Aggy’s only path is to eek out a close game against us against the backdrop of the 12th man giving LSU issues getting their calls in. Whereas, I could see us beating them by two scores plus with how we are playing right now.

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LSU won a game at South Carolina they very easily could have lost, and maybe should have lost but for SC deciding it was a good idea to bilndside Nuss to negate a pick 6 that likely would have put the game away.

In front of an electric Tiger Stadium LSU didn't lead for a single second vs. Ole Miss. They did enough to hang in the game and converted some clutch plays late.

Last week LSU moved the ball well, but continue to stall out and had to settle for FGs. Despite dominance on the stat line, it was a 16-10 game with 5:00 to go in the 3rd quarter. Week's terrific play changed the game. But it's not like LSU fully dominated from start to finish.

Is LSU playing is most complete ball of the season? Probably. But I don't think they have been so dominant to say "Aggy’s only path is to eek out a close game against us against the backdrop of the 12th man giving LSU issues getting their calls in". A&M is a good team too.

IMO, A&M's path to victory is this:

LSU is able to stop Moss on most plays, but he's still able to crease LSU for some big runs just like Arkansas and (to a lesser extent) Ole Miss did. LSU's safeties are still sub-par. That forces LSU to commit another guy to stopping the run. Wiegman is inconsistent, but he's able to hit a few big plays against LSU's very average secondary.

On defense, A&M easily handles LSU's run game with 3 or 4 man fronts. They play a lot of coverage like Ole Miss did and force Nussmeier to be patient and show discretion. He does that to some degree, but still looks to press the ball deep. He's inefficient on those throws and gives A&M 3-4 shots at an INT. They get at least one, maybe two. At home, it's enough to give A&M the win whereas Ole Miss couldn't close out LSU on the road.

I'm not saying that will happen, but there is a path besides LSU just not being able to get the calls in.

Who are the officials? This will play a huge roll in the outcome as well.

So LSU is the underdog in this game?

interesting

I do like the match ups, we are strong were they are weak.

Your analysis really makes me like the under for this game, which makes it sound like the Ole Miss game all over again. If that’s the case, it probably favors the Aggies at home. But I just have a feeling we have flipped a switch as a team. We’ll see.