Posted by
Message
IPALover
LSU Fan
New Orleans, LA
Member since Nov 2018
10 posts

LSU (-11.5) @ Arkansas
Line opened at LSU (-14). Pinnacle & Nitrogen now have LSU -11.5, while a couple other sites, i.e. BetOnline are showing -12. It is interesting because 75% of public bets placed are on LSU -14, yet the line has dropped rather significantly in the past day or so. It is possible there is some heavy "sharp" money coming in on the other side forcing books to shift the line in a bit.

This is purely an informational post. Not attempting to cause worry or anything like that. I personally think LSU -11.5 is pretty good value.

EDIT: Will be interesting to see how this holds up in the next 24 hours when more public money starts to roll in.

This post was edited on 11/9 at 12:27 pm


Bestbank Tiger
Tulane Fan
The Landmass
Member since Jan 2005
43033 posts

re: LSU (-11.5) @ Arkansas
Sharps like to fade double digit road favorites in conference games.


Replies (0)
Replies (0)
60
Ingeniero
LSU Fan
Baton Rouge
Member since Dec 2013
5587 posts

re: LSU (-11.5) @ Arkansas
Pinnacle is a juggernaut. Whatever line they have is right, because the sharps on there will hammer thousands on something that's just the tiniest bit out of line.


Replies (0)
Replies (0)
30
LSUStar
LSU Fan
Medellin
Member since Sep 2009
3349 posts

re: LSU (-11.5) @ Arkansas
I have a really baaaaad feeling about this game.


Bestbank Tiger
Tulane Fan
The Landmass
Member since Jan 2005
43033 posts

re: LSU (-11.5) @ Arkansas
quote:

have a really baaaaad feeling about this game.


R-Kansas is turrible.

It's just that all the common trends say they'll cover.

What I mentioned earlier, plus ranked team coming off a loss, and team coming off a top ten opponent. All three of those indicators say Arky should cover.


Replies (0)
Replies (0)
40
burdman
New Orleans Pelicans Fan
Louisiana
Member since Aug 2007
12870 posts
 Online 

re: LSU (-11.5) @ Arkansas
Reverse line movement is always a mind frick for me.


geauxtigers33
LSU Fan
Baton Rouge
Member since Jan 2014
3324 posts

re: LSU (-11.5) @ Arkansas
quote:

I have a really baaaaad feeling about this game.


Willing to bet you are one of the ones that had a bad feeling going into the Ole Miss and Mississippi State games as well. O has shown that he can get his team ready to play after losses.


lsutiger2
LSU Fan
Baton Rouge
Member since Oct 2008
2593 posts

re: LSU (-11.5) @ Arkansas
Im taking LSU at 11.5 all day. Arkansas is the worst team in the league. The Bama is game is an outlier. LSU is not as bad as bama made them look.


Replies (0)
Replies (0)
11
Lonnie4LSU
LSU Fan
Baton Rouge
Member since Aug 2008
8062 posts

re: LSU (-11.5) @ Arkansas
“ I have a bad feeling”

We should win easy and our offensive numbers should get a good boost. Arkansas is not a good team.

If we dont, a lot of gloves are going to come off.



Replies (0)
Replies (0)
90
GoldenBoy
Georgia Fan
Winning!
Member since Nov 2004
39570 posts

re: LSU (-11.5) @ Arkansas
quote:

I have a really baaaaad feeling about this game.





I love when fans say stuff like this. Same goes for the ones that feel really good about a game, too.


Replies (0)
Replies (0)
11
TD SponsorTD Fan
USA
Member since 2001
Thank you for supporting our sponsors
Advertisement
alessic7
Franklin, TN
Member since Aug 2018
150 posts

re: LSU (-11.5) @ Arkansas
Geez -11.5 is a lock. Vegas taking our shutout against Bama too far, we should all be jumping on this.


Replies (0)
Replies (0)
01
rattlebucket
LSU Fan
SELA
Member since Feb 2009
7038 posts

re: LSU (-11.5) @ Arkansas
If you have a bad feeling about Arkansas then you must be terrified of aTm. Wouldn't be surprised if we lose to aTm.


dandan
Member since Nov 2007
2026 posts

re: LSU (-11.5) @ Arkansas
Honestly think LSU will bounce back and take out some frustration on arkansas. Orgeron has been good at getting the team to step up after a letdown.


Replies (0)
Replies (0)
01
tigger42day
LSU Fan
Just south of Mizery
Member since Oct 2004
5391 posts

re: LSU (-11.5) @ Arkansas
It's just the last time Arkansas had a long winless streak and we played them in FYV after a discouraging loss to Alabama and they had a bye week before plus cold weather during the game we lost 17-0 to a really BAD Arkansas team.


lsutiger2
LSU Fan
Baton Rouge
Member since Oct 2008
2593 posts

re: LSU (-11.5) @ Arkansas
quote:

It's just the last time Arkansas had a long winless streak and we played them in FYV after a discouraging loss to Alabama and they had a bye week before plus cold weather during the game we lost 17-0 to a really BAD Arkansas team.

This Arkansas team is worse than that Arkansas team. And this LSU team is better than that LSU team


Replies (0)
Replies (0)
10
Goldrush25
Washington Fan
San Diego, CA
Member since Oct 2012
22064 posts

re: LSU (-11.5) @ Arkansas
I'd be interested to know how past LSU teams have performed in cold weather.


Replies (0)
Replies (0)
00
scott8811
LSU Fan
Shreveport
Member since Oct 2014
2954 posts
 Online 

re: LSU (-11.5) @ Arkansas
I'm going back and forth because I remember that game...but also this is a different scenario. As bad as THAT arky team was, they would probably beat this arky team by double digits. Also O's LSU vs arky and Mile's LSU vs arky are two different scenarios.

Either way I think we will know early on. I remember I knew in 5 minutes we were going to lose that game. The team didn't give two shits about being there....they were sipping hot chocolate FFS


KC Tiger
LSU Fan
Member since Sep 2006
2132 posts

re: LSU (-11.5) @ Arkansas
Bovada opened at 13.5 and it's now 13.


Replies (0)
Replies (0)
00
tigger42day
LSU Fan
Just south of Mizery
Member since Oct 2004
5391 posts

re: LSU (-11.5) @ Arkansas
That's what concerns me. I agree we're better under O but a lack of desire is the great equalizer.


Replies (0)
Replies (0)
01
MOT
Houston Astros Fan
Member since Jul 2006
18552 posts
 Online 

re: LSU (-11.5) @ Arkansas
That Arkansas team actually wasn’t bad at all. They were bad when the streak started, but that particular season they lost a bunch of close games. They lost in OT to A&M, to Alabama by 1, to State by 7. Then they beat us, beat the shite out of top 10 Ole Miss the week after 30-0, before losing another one score game to Missouri to close. Then annihilated Texas in a bowl game.


Replies (0)
Replies (0)
10
first pageprev pagePage 1 of 2next pagelast page

Back to top

logoFollow TigerDroppings for LSU Football News
Follow us on Twitter, Facebook and Instagram to get the latest updates on LSU Football and Recruiting.

FacebookTwitterInstagram