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re: I'm really not understanding the 6-6 projections

Posted on 7/12/22 at 9:32 pm to
Posted by memphis tiger
Memphis, TN
Member since Feb 2006
20720 posts
Posted on 7/12/22 at 9:32 pm to
quote:

Last year coaches cost us Bama,


This is just flat wrong.

That was easily the best coached game all season. We lost because Max Johnson was wildly inaccurate. The game winning TD pass was there, Johnson made an awful throw.
And there was his terrible int before halftime.

With just a little better QB play we beat them 21-20.

This post was edited on 7/12/22 at 9:35 pm
Posted by Bjorn Cyborg
Member since Sep 2016
32067 posts
Posted on 7/12/22 at 9:40 pm to
quote:

Who’s saying we’re going to go 6-6?


The Vegas O/U for regular season wins is 7.

I just bet a grand on the over. May bet more later.
Posted by ffishstik
Baton Rouge
Member since Dec 2007
4139 posts
Posted on 7/12/22 at 11:26 pm to
Truth is, nobody has a clue. We could go 6-6, but could just as easily go 10-2. It's really a matter of how much you believe in Kelly as a coach and how quickly this team can pull together and play well. I'm highly optimistic.
Posted by eddieray
Lafayette
Member since Mar 2006
18656 posts
Posted on 7/13/22 at 6:08 am to
quote:

I'm really not understanding the 6-6 projections


I’ll explain it. We’re not the only program recruiting at a high level, and the other programs had a really big jump on us due to our depleted roster.

If you’re not close to the program, predicting 6-6 isn’t all that unreasonable. With that said, I think we’ll do better than 6-6, especially if we get decent QB play.
Posted by turnpiketiger
Lone Star State
Member since May 2020
11250 posts
Posted on 7/13/22 at 6:10 am to
People don’t realize how bad we were last season. Roster depth wise. It was very bad down the stretch. There’s only so much repairing Kelly can do year 1. 7 wins and 8 with a bowl is more than fair.
Posted by LCTFAN
New Iberia
Member since Mar 2013
2826 posts
Posted on 7/13/22 at 6:15 am to
quote:

Myles has a proven accurate arm, lets hope he stays healthy
quote:

we're going to go with the 23/24 year old here
quote:

charminultra


I am not understanding projections either

Let's not project who the starting QB is until after fall practice.

None of the QB's on the roster have proven they can win at LSU.
Posted by Frogman93
Member since Jul 2021
1569 posts
Posted on 7/13/22 at 6:27 am to
quote:

3 scholarship players


I swear you reduce that number every post you make
Posted by theliontamer
Baton Rouge
Member since Nov 2015
1398 posts
Posted on 7/13/22 at 7:12 am to
I have faith too.

But, we went 6-6 last year, finished last in the division, and had 10 guys drafted. Throw in the rising competition, game against a desperate FSU team, unproven playmakers in line, and new coaching staff, and I can understand the national perception of 6-6 to 7-5.
Posted by wrongRob
Tampa FL
Member since Oct 2017
1053 posts
Posted on 7/13/22 at 7:39 am to
quote:

OL is an unknown. Center is a huge question mark and starting a true freshman at left tackle doesn’t usually bode well in the SEC.
No true TE
No proven RB
Great depth at QB, but no proven guy
Really good wr group.
DL has loads of potential, but haven’t proven much. Roy, Smith and Gaye were very inconsistent last year.
LBers look average.
Secondary with 3-4 new starters.
New system being installed and lots of coaches that have never coached together.
Too many unknowns to guarantee anything better than 6 wins.
Personally I think 7-5 with lots of improvement from game 1 to game 12. Problem is our schedule gets tougher as the season goes into December.

^^^^^All of this!
Especially this
quote:

OL is an unknown. Center is a huge question mark and starting a true freshman at left tackle doesn’t usually bode well in the SEC.

However like someone else posted we have no idea what to expect. Hard to temper expectations right now based on the experience of HC CBK and the staff he's put together. The 20/21 teams looked spoiled and "me first." What we believe to be fact concerning accountability and CBK brining in culture change has a lot of us thinking this will also equate to wins. I don't disagree & hope it does but if the O-line sucks again this season 6-6 doesn't seem unrealistic.
Posted by bearhc
Member since Sep 2009
5273 posts
Posted on 7/13/22 at 7:50 am to
I think Kelly's impact is not being taken into account. This team will be in much better physical condition, and they will be well-coached. Matt House will be running a physically talented defense; you will not be looking at players who are at a disadvantage due to poor coaching.
Posted by charminultra
Member since Jan 2020
2737 posts
Posted on 7/13/22 at 7:58 am to
I'm in Texas so I dont have a sportsbook :(
Posted by maddenmadden
Member since Sep 2018
29 posts
Posted on 7/13/22 at 8:29 am to
Max transferred dude. Get over it
Posted by andrew2000
Zachary
Member since Oct 2018
527 posts
Posted on 7/13/22 at 1:34 pm to
I already did. Got lsu regular season win total over 6.5 at -115
Posted by kkv75
Member since Sep 2017
4890 posts
Posted on 7/13/22 at 2:50 pm to
quote:

7 yo 8,


Don't try this. You don't have the balls to pull it off. Stick to white guy talk.
Posted by OutOfNames
Member since Dec 2019
916 posts
Posted on 7/13/22 at 5:55 pm to
Me, I have been saying 6-6. But then again, I actually looked through the schedule, last year's schedules for all opponents, returning players for Lsu amd all opponents, and am realistic about what coaching changes entail. I actually came up with 5-7, but I'm hoping Lsu can steal one.
Posted by Turf Taint
New Orleans
Member since Jun 2021
6010 posts
Posted on 7/13/22 at 6:22 pm to
New HC
Complete turnover of coaching staff minus 1
New coordinators and playbooks, 3rd in 3 years
New QB
New S&C
New transfer portal roster
No more all American CBs

Explain why NOT 6-6.


Posted by TutHillTiger
Mississippi Alabama
Member since Sep 2010
46075 posts
Posted on 7/13/22 at 6:50 pm to
College preseason is a complete joke there are years when they barely get 1 or 2 of the final top ten correct.
Posted by Hamma1122
Member since Sep 2016
21171 posts
Posted on 7/13/22 at 8:04 pm to
Proven accurate arm. I’m his 3 starts. Lol get a clue
Posted by PapaG01
Member since Nov 2021
184 posts
Posted on 7/13/22 at 9:04 pm to
If MB starts we win the Bama game, he’s not gonna over throw his WR with a clean pocket and the game on the line, say what you want about him but he’s got an arm
Posted by tarzana
TX Hwy 6-- the Brazos River Valley
Member since Sep 2015
29397 posts
Posted on 7/13/22 at 9:36 pm to
Other than Phil Steele, who factors in arcane things like bye-week advantage, last year's turnover ratio, and last year's YAC factor, who projected LSU to go 6-6?
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