Started By
Message

re: If LSU loses the series vs UGA, there’s no guarantee they host a regional.

Posted on 5/17/23 at 8:56 am to
Posted by MetryMojo
Metairie, LA
Member since Jul 2012
2575 posts
Posted on 5/17/23 at 8:56 am to
IDIOT!!!!
Posted by MikeTheTiger71
Member since Dec 2021
3769 posts
Posted on 5/17/23 at 8:57 am to
quote:

Lowly Georgia just got swept by the 3rd to last place SEC this past weekend.


Lowly Georgia is terrible on the road and pretty good at home. They are 7-5 at home against all teams at the top of the conference standings with a sweep of Arkansas and series wins over Kentucky and Tennessee (the weekend before losing 3 at Missouri).
This post was edited on 5/17/23 at 8:58 am
Posted by Tiger79
Zachary
Member since Apr 2009
7522 posts
Posted on 5/17/23 at 8:57 am to
We will definitely host a regional. The problem after Skenes in game 3-4 we might not win said regional.

refer to Houston 2014 we pitched Nola started 2-0 houston had a better Bull pen and beat us twice in row.
Posted by BigDickRick16
Tennessee
Member since Mar 2023
2522 posts
Posted on 5/17/23 at 9:05 am to
quote:

They can go 1-2 and likely get a top 8 seed.

If you go 1-2, you will not be a top 8 seed. You wall fall somewhere between 10-12. If LSU losses this weekend, LSU would be 3-6 over its last 9 SEC games, 3-2 over its last 5 midweek games, and have lost 3 straight series to end the season. You would have to win a couple games in Hoover to be a top 8 seed if you lose this weekend.
Posted by MikeTheTiger71
Member since Dec 2021
3769 posts
Posted on 5/17/23 at 9:24 am to
quote:

If you go 1-2, you will not be a top 8 seed. You wall fall somewhere between 10-12.


Behind what teams?
Posted by KamaCausey_LSU
Member since Apr 2013
16012 posts
Posted on 5/17/23 at 9:40 am to
And IF Vandy takes 2/3 vs Arkansas, LSU sweeps Georgia, and Kentucky wins 1 vs Florida. LSU will win the SEC.

Lots of "IF"s left to play out.

LSU Sweeps: 20-9 (yeah, yeah, I know, never gonna happen)
#1 seed if UK takes 1+ vs Florida; Vandy wins series vs Arkansas.
#2 seed; SEC West Champs if Florida sweeps; Vandy wins series vs Arkansas.
#3 seed; Arkansas wins series vs Vandy

LSU wins 2-1; 19-10
#1 seed; Can't happen. Arkansas or Vanderbilt will finish with 20 wins.
#2 seed; SEC West Champs if Vandy sweeps Arkansas

Too much noise for #3 and #4. But a 1st round bye is guaranteed with a 2-1 record this weekend.

LSU loses 2-1; 18-11
#1 seed, N/A
#2 seed, N/A
#3 seed, Arkansas wins series vs Vandy or Florida swept by UK
#4 seed, Vandy wins series vs Arkansas and Florida wins
#5 seed, N/A.

LSU loses 0-3; 17-12
#1 seed, N/A
#2 seed, N/A
#3 seed, Vandy swept by Arkansas, USCe does not sweep Tenn, Kentucky does not sweep Florida
#4 seed, Vandy wins 1, USCe does not sweep, Kentucky does not sweep. Or Vandy gets swept and 1 of the other 2 happen.
#5 Vandy wins 1, and either USCe or Kentucky sweep
#6 Vandy wins 1, USCe and Kentucky sweep
#7 N/A

I'm sure I missed some. But there are the situations that seem most likely. The magic number is 1 win this weekend for the bye.
This post was edited on 5/17/23 at 10:14 am
Posted by BigDickRick16
Tennessee
Member since Mar 2023
2522 posts
Posted on 5/17/23 at 3:16 pm to
quote:

Behind what teams?

Wake Forest
Arkansas
Stanford
Clemson
UConn
Oregon State
Coastal Carolina
Vandy
West Virginia
Miami

No particular order. That’s if all these teams win their series this weekend. If all them win and LSU drop this weekend series, I could see LSU somewhere around #10 going into Hoover. How if they have a good showing at Hoover, I believe they move back into the top 8 discussion.

Posted by MikeTheTiger71
Member since Dec 2021
3769 posts
Posted on 5/17/23 at 3:36 pm to
quote:

Wake Forest Arkansas Stanford Clemson UConn Oregon State Coastal Carolina Vandy West Virginia Miami


- Connecticut is #25 in RPI. They aren’t getting a Top 8 seed.

- Oregon St is #27 in RPI and finished with an 18-12 conference record in a weaker conference. They aren’t passing LSU.

- Miami is #18 in RPI and is only 10-12 against Quad I. They also need a sweep of a good Duke team to finish with a better conference record if LSU is 18-11. There’s very little chance they get a higher seed than LSU.

- Vandy would need to win the series against Arkansas, but if they do then it would probably come down to who performed better in Hoover. They have lost 3 of their last 4 series so they are limping home too.

- Coastal Carolina is #10 in RPI and won’t move into the Top 8. Their overall record is worse than LSU, including 10 non-Q1 losses. The committee wasn’t very kind to mid-majors last year in seeding. I doubt they’ll pass LSU in this scenario, but it’s possible.

Based on that list, LSU is at worst #8 and possibly #5 or #6 depending on Clemson’s series result.
Posted by Fububutsy
Lake Charles, LA
Member since Jan 2007
4076 posts
Posted on 5/17/23 at 7:54 pm to
quote:

00 Tech Grad


I thought Tech had higher standards than this.
Posted by Lige
Member since Nov 2015
1661 posts
Posted on 5/17/23 at 8:49 pm to
Do you follow College baseball at all?
Posted by im4LSU
Hattiesburg, MS
Member since Aug 2004
33542 posts
Posted on 5/17/23 at 8:53 pm to
quote:

- Connecticut is #25 in RPI. They aren’t getting a Top 8 seed.

- Oregon St is #27 in RPI and finished with an 18-12 conference record in a weaker conference. They aren’t passing LSU.

- Miami is #18 in RPI and is only 10-12 against Quad I. They also need a sweep of a good Duke team to finish with a better conference record if LSU is 18-11. There’s very little chance they get a higher seed than LSU.

- Vandy would need to win the series against Arkansas, but if they do then it would probably come down to who performed better in Hoover. They have lost 3 of their last 4 series so they are limping home too.

- Coastal Carolina is #10 in RPI and won’t move into the Top 8. Their overall record is worse than LSU, including 10 non-Q1 losses. The committee wasn’t very kind to mid-majors last year in seeding. I doubt they’ll pass LSU in this scenario, but it’s possible.

Based on that list, LSU is at worst #8 and possibly #5 or #6 depending on Clemson’s series result.



I appreciate the effort here and you're 100% correct. But don't hold your breath on that tool bag coming back in here and accepting the facts as you have laid out.

He's a shitty troll and talks out of his arse.
Posted by R11
Member since Aug 2017
4312 posts
Posted on 5/17/23 at 9:34 pm to
Eat
A
Dick
Posted by la_birdman
Northern GA via Lake Charles
Member since Feb 2005
31564 posts
Posted on 5/17/23 at 9:49 pm to
quote:

We’re not getting a National seed with 3 straight series losses and no SECt wins


Geez
Posted by beachdude
FL
Member since Nov 2008
6100 posts
Posted on 5/17/23 at 9:49 pm to
LSU will sweep this series.
Posted by moneyg
Member since Jun 2006
59380 posts
Posted on 5/18/23 at 7:50 am to
quote:

This is a must win series


Posted by TDFreak
Coast to Coast - L.A. to Chicago
Member since Dec 2009
8181 posts
Posted on 5/18/23 at 7:58 am to
Alex Box is a massive revenue generator for the NCAA. Pedigree helps too. If LSU is anywhere within spitting distance of a Top 8 seed, they will get the nod ahead of another program.
Posted by Big4SALTbro
Member since Jun 2019
21008 posts
Posted on 5/18/23 at 8:03 am to
Wrong we could get swept and lose the opening tourny game and still host.

We need the series for a top 8 seed
Posted by MikeTheTiger71
Member since Dec 2021
3769 posts
Posted on 5/18/23 at 8:55 am to
quote:

We need the series for a top 8 seed


People keep saying this without providing any evidence to support that position. Based on overall body of work, there are not 8 teams that can match LSU even if they lose the series. I am open to the argument that a weak finish to the season could be overweighted by the committee, but l’d want to see examples of that happening to other teams in the past. I just don’t see 8 teams with a legitimate argument ahead of LSU even with the late season slide.
first pageprev pagePage 3 of 3Next pagelast page
refresh

Back to top
logoFollow TigerDroppings for LSU Football News
Follow us on X, Facebook and Instagram to get the latest updates on LSU Football and Recruiting.

FacebookXInstagram