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How does LSU go to the playoffs?

Posted on 11/19/18 at 11:35 am
Posted by jptiger2009
Baton Rouge
Member since Feb 2009
9616 posts
Posted on 11/19/18 at 11:35 am
Likely playoff rankings after last weekend:

1. Bama
2. Clemson
3. Notre Dame
4. Michigan

5. Georgia
6. OU
7. Washington State
8. LSU
9. Ohio State
10. UCF

How does LSU reach #4?

1. Bama - WINS OUT
2. Clemson - WINS OUT
3. Notre Dame - WINS OUT
4. Michigan - loses to OSU this weekend

5. Georgia - loses SEC Championship to Bama
6. OU - loses to WVU this weekend
7. Washington State - loses to Washington this weekend -or- loses PAC12 Championship to Utah
8. LSU - beats aTm
9. Ohio State - beats Michigan AND loses to NW in Big10 Championship
10. UCF - loses to USF or Houston/Memphis in AAC Championship


Folks, more had to happen in '07...


*Note: yes, ND can lose to SC, but LSU is not likely at all to jump them. It is a possibility though.
This post was edited on 11/19/18 at 11:44 am
Posted by Fun Bunch
New Orleans
Member since May 2008
115902 posts
Posted on 11/19/18 at 11:35 am to
I mean...they don't.

But its fun to fantasize.
Posted by jptiger2009
Baton Rouge
Member since Feb 2009
9616 posts
Posted on 11/19/18 at 11:37 am to
quote:

But its easy to fantasize
Posted by LouisianaLonghorn
Austin, Texas
Member since Jan 2006
14177 posts
Posted on 11/19/18 at 11:37 am to
quote:

I mean...they don't.


This is the correct answer.
Posted by GeauxTigerTM
Member since Sep 2006
30596 posts
Posted on 11/19/18 at 11:38 am to
quote:

8. LSU - beats aTm


Let's worry about this first...
Posted by Airpower
Member since Oct 2018
1101 posts
Posted on 11/19/18 at 11:38 am to
BUY TICKETS

BTW - #7 LSU IS ranked ahead of #8 WSU IN THE CFP !!

In fact you have the wrong poll!!LINK
This post was edited on 11/19/18 at 11:43 am
Posted by hsgeoboy
Panamá (but originally AR)
Member since Aug 2017
905 posts
Posted on 11/19/18 at 11:39 am to
Actually thank you for this, now I know who to root for!
Posted by LSU Patrick
Member since Jan 2009
73511 posts
Posted on 11/19/18 at 11:42 am to
Ohio State needs to beat Michigan. That may not do it by itself, but that would be a big part of the puzzle.
Posted by thanksjhester
Sonic
Member since Jun 2009
5411 posts
Posted on 11/19/18 at 11:42 am to
quote:

How does LSU go to the playoffs?
By beating a shitty Florida team when they should have.
Posted by Mr.Perfect
Louisiana
Member since Mar 2013
17438 posts
Posted on 11/19/18 at 11:47 am to
Ohio State is out even with a win over Michigan at this point.
Posted by jptiger2009
Baton Rouge
Member since Feb 2009
9616 posts
Posted on 11/19/18 at 11:48 am to
quote:

BTW - #7 LSU IS ranked ahead of #8 WSU IN THE CFP


hey guy, the poll isn't out until tomorrow. I used the term likely. This means that I think Wazzu will jump LSU after last weekend. Is that spelled out enough for you?
Posted by Who_Dat_Tiger
Member since Nov 2015
17452 posts
Posted on 11/19/18 at 11:49 am to
Would need the following to happen to have a shot at a playoff spot... Based off of FPI results below we have roughly a 5% chance of making the playoffs.


1. Alabama (11-0)
2. Clemson (11-0)
3. ND (11-0)
4. Michigan (10-1) must lose to OSU 45%
5. Georgia (10-1) must lose to UA 65%
6. Oklahoma (10-1) must lose to WVU 50%
7. LSU (9-2) must win @ A&M 45%
8. WSU (10-1) must lose to UW 55%
Posted by jptiger2009
Baton Rouge
Member since Feb 2009
9616 posts
Posted on 11/19/18 at 11:49 am to
quote:

Ohio State is out even with a win over Michigan at this point.


even with the +1 championship game? I disagree.
Posted by LSU Patrick
Member since Jan 2009
73511 posts
Posted on 11/19/18 at 11:50 am to
quote:

This means that I think Wazzu will jump LSU after last weekend.


No it doesn't. They could, but it depends on whether the committee thinks LSU is a better team than WSU or not.
Posted by jptiger2009
Baton Rouge
Member since Feb 2009
9616 posts
Posted on 11/19/18 at 11:50 am to
quote:

5% chance


Posted by sunnydaze
Member since Jan 2010
30016 posts
Posted on 11/19/18 at 11:50 am to
A 1 loss Ohio St will definitely be in
Posted by jptiger2009
Baton Rouge
Member since Feb 2009
9616 posts
Posted on 11/19/18 at 11:51 am to
quote:

They could


absolutely. I don't get a vote in the playoff; it's just what I think will happen.
Posted by LSU Patrick
Member since Jan 2009
73511 posts
Posted on 11/19/18 at 11:52 am to
I still think the committee compares the two teams and keeps LSU ahead.
Posted by jptiger2009
Baton Rouge
Member since Feb 2009
9616 posts
Posted on 11/19/18 at 11:53 am to
quote:

A 1-loss Big 10 Champion Ohio St will definitely be in


I'll bet the house that in this scenario, yes, Ohio State absolutely makes the playoff.
Posted by jptiger2009
Baton Rouge
Member since Feb 2009
9616 posts
Posted on 11/19/18 at 11:54 am to
quote:

I still think the committee compares the two teams and keeps LSU ahead


no reason not to think this considering we stayed @ #7 after Arkansas.
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