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re: How does LSU break the 3 and gone trend?

Posted on 5/2/18 at 11:26 am to
Posted by Solo Cam
Member since Sep 2015
32628 posts
Posted on 5/2/18 at 11:26 am to
Win.

Kids don’t want to play in the citrus bowl. If we were playoff contenders some would stay.

We we’re preseason #4 going into ‘16 and got Tre White and Kendall Beckwith to come back.


Or could do what O’s current strategy is and load up on less talented kids so they won’t get drafted after 3 years.
Posted by GatorRaiderBait
Member since Oct 2017
582 posts
Posted on 5/2/18 at 11:27 am to
Hawkins I think should’ve come back. I think he has only played in like 2 NFL games anyway.

The way Kwon is playing it really doesn’t matter now. I’m sure he will get a major second contract.

Collins left early and went 2nd round which surprised me.
Posted by lsufball19
Franklin, TN
Member since Sep 2008
64511 posts
Posted on 5/2/18 at 11:31 am to
I'm not going to knock Ware. Our backfield was crowded with Hill the starter and he wasn't going to help his stock by returning. I also rarely fault RBs due to the wear and tear their bodies take and their already short shelf life in the NFL. Add to that the fact that his job was to run over, not around, people.

Godchaux also had a great rookie season. You also left off Trai Turner who many said was stupid to leave early and he has done very well for himself as well.

Simon also would have probably gone higher had he not been arrested for weed a day before the draft

The players that had no business leaving early were Tolliver, Weathersby, Dupre, Hawkins and Johnson
This post was edited on 5/2/18 at 11:32 am
Posted by Bert Macklin FBI
Quantico
Member since May 2013
8905 posts
Posted on 5/2/18 at 11:32 am to
I think you are correct in that winning is the only cure.

I think the near future of the program rests on this upcoming season. If we can win 10 games and compete with/beat at least one of Bama and UGA then we can get some of our juniors to stay. Obviously Lawrence, White, and Greedy are pretty much gone but if we can show we can compete for the playoffs, we can maybe keep one or two of those guys plus Fehoko and Alexander.

If O doesn’t have us competitive with those teams this year, he’ll be gone after the 2019 season.
This post was edited on 5/2/18 at 11:34 am
Posted by Clark W Griswold
THE USA
Member since Sep 2012
10509 posts
Posted on 5/2/18 at 11:38 am to
I think it’ll work itself out when our recruiting continues to slide.
Posted by Bert Macklin FBI
Quantico
Member since May 2013
8905 posts
Posted on 5/2/18 at 11:39 am to
I left off anyone who was drafted in the first 3 rounds.

And rookie success is great but you can’t predict it. When deciding to leave early, you only know your draft grade and whether or not you can improve it.

Every player thinks he can make it in the league, it’s about increasing your odds. Sure it worked out for Godchaux but he could have improved his technique and stock abd been a higher draft pick this past year.

We can go player by player abd reason everything out but the overall idea that I was portraying I that every year we lose a player or two that we shouldn’t and that hurts in the long run.

I don’t think we lose to MSU or Troy if Godchaux is on the team cuz our DL depth would have been that much better.
Posted by GatorRaiderBait
Member since Oct 2017
582 posts
Posted on 5/2/18 at 11:39 am to
It also doesn’t help that the Twitter account of LSU football markets that undrafted free agents as something big.

I mean I know you want to celebrate the former players but if you look on Twitter, the way they are marketing it it’s like all of the players who left got “drafted”
Posted by TiggerB8t
Member since Oct 2013
691 posts
Posted on 5/2/18 at 11:45 am to
Simple answer: Recruit the 3-star athletes and develop them into good/great players in their final two years. They don't see the field at age 18-19 unless they far exceed expectations over senior players.

Great players who develop and deliver eye-popping results on the field will get drafted - unless Mom and Dad are wealthy and the kid is interested in completing/earning a college degree, he's gone after 3 years.

I don't think there is a simple fix that will improve LSU's net results - Saban seems to be the only coach who is able to recruit multiple 4 and 5 star players and have them be satisfied sitting the bench for at least 1-2 years before they get to be starters. Quality depth wins NC's. Bama has it, few others do.

The 3 and Done is the great equalizer in CFB - smaller schools get 2 and 3 star recruits who may develop in 3-4 years into quality players who can compete with the 4 and 5 stars - occasionally, they outshine them. Wisconsin comes to mind as a program that develops its players well and generally keeps them for 4 years.
Posted by Bert Macklin FBI
Quantico
Member since May 2013
8905 posts
Posted on 5/2/18 at 11:49 am to
I Agee in the sense that recruiting higher rates players increases the odds that they go pro early.

I don’t think the issue is with the Devin Whites that live up to the hype abd show out for 3 years before leaving. I think the issue is with the highly rated guys that don’t live up to the hype abd still leave.

That’s LSU’s issue.
Posted by Chimlim
Baton Rouge, LA
Member since Jul 2005
17712 posts
Posted on 5/2/18 at 11:53 am to
quote:

How do we keep players who aren’t going to be drafted until the 4th-UDFA range from leaving school early?



We need to stop using this as a recruiting pitch. These players are coming here with the mindset to play 3 years and move onto the NFL. We have to change that mindset.
Posted by SammyTiger
Baton Rouge, LA
Member since Feb 2009
66415 posts
Posted on 5/2/18 at 11:55 am to
I mean You use that pitch but you have to then turn around and get people to be realistic and make the smart decision

We recruited White as a RB and then the right decision was made for him to move to LB. it’s the same thing.
This post was edited on 5/2/18 at 12:05 pm
Posted by lsufball19
Franklin, TN
Member since Sep 2008
64511 posts
Posted on 5/2/18 at 12:06 pm to
quote:

Simple answer: Recruit the 3-star athletes and develop them into good/great players in their final two years. They don't see the field at age 18-19 unless they far exceed expectations over senior players.

simple response: we aren't going to have the success our fans demand if we recruit a bunch of 3 star players
Posted by Pmtiger
Member since Dec 2014
837 posts
Posted on 5/2/18 at 12:33 pm to
“It’s all about getting to the second contract “

I understand this logic. But how many folks like clapp and weathersby get to a second contract. Serious question. If not many then the logic above is nonsense

. If you aren’t graded that high isn’t the reality that you are not going to make it to a second contract or even a first one
This post was edited on 5/2/18 at 12:37 pm
Posted by moneyg
Member since Jun 2006
56420 posts
Posted on 5/2/18 at 12:38 pm to
quote:

It's all about getting to that second contract if you aren't a first round pick.



This is the type of simplistic thinking that leads to bad decisions.

Every situation is different. For marginal guys (like the ones the OP is referring to), it would make a lot more sense to make a decision based on the likelihood of getting a first contract...rather than a 2nd.

Posted by GatorRaiderBait
Member since Oct 2017
582 posts
Posted on 5/2/18 at 12:41 pm to
Idk I think Clapp makes the roster and has a nice career

Weathersby I’m not sure if he makes the roster. I’m sure he will make the practice squad, and in the future will be signed to an NFL roster.
Posted by TiggerB8t
Member since Oct 2013
691 posts
Posted on 5/2/18 at 2:17 pm to
I agree that it's not necessarily a "fix" for LSU - thus, my additional comments from above....

I don't think there is a simple fix that will improve LSU's net results - Saban seems to be the only coach who is able to recruit multiple 4 and 5 star players and have them be satisfied sitting the bench for at least 1-2 years before they get to be starters. Quality depth wins NC's. Bama has it, few others do.
Posted by dgnx6
Baton Rouge
Member since Feb 2006
68467 posts
Posted on 5/2/18 at 2:27 pm to
Recruit less talented players?

Posted by dgnx6
Baton Rouge
Member since Feb 2006
68467 posts
Posted on 5/2/18 at 2:29 pm to
quote:

don't think there is a simple fix that will improve LSU's net results - Saban seems to be the only coach who is able to recruit multiple 4 and 5 star players and have them be satisfied sitting the bench for at least 1-2 years before they get to be starters. Quality depth wins NC's. Bama has it, few others do.


Nope, they have just as much if not more players transfer or get processed than LSU does. LSU saw big transfer movement with the coaching change.
Posted by dgnx6
Baton Rouge
Member since Feb 2006
68467 posts
Posted on 5/2/18 at 2:31 pm to
quote:

But how many folks like clapp and weathersby get to a second contract. Serious question. If not many then the logic above is nonsense



Clapp prob will. They like him at center, he doesn't have to start rt away. He can still get stronger and better now it's his career and not a part time gig.
Posted by Goldrush25
San Diego, CA
Member since Oct 2012
33794 posts
Posted on 5/2/18 at 2:52 pm to
quote:

How does LSU break the 3 and gone trend?


And still pull in top classes?

When you figure this out let me know how to sit and stand at the same time.

Recruiting better is the way you mitigate it. You recruit better, back up 5 stars with 5 stars, then those backups have to come back for their senior years to get exposure.

But if you're a JR and you're a first round pick, why would you come back? Sure you see examples of it here and there but that's no trend, those are anomalies and unable to be replicated.
This post was edited on 5/2/18 at 2:56 pm
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