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re: From here on out what makes the season: successful, on par or a failure

Posted on 10/2/23 at 4:28 pm to
Posted by ibleedprplngld
Lafayette, LA
Member since Jan 2012
4304 posts
Posted on 10/2/23 at 4:28 pm to
10 wins should still be the standard.

Hell, winning the west is still on the table at this point.
Posted by MetArl15
Washington, DC
Member since Apr 2007
9483 posts
Posted on 10/2/23 at 4:33 pm to
Saban:
Year two at LSU: 10-3, wins SEC and Sugar Bowl
Year two at Bama: 12-2, undefeated regular season, loses SECCG to UF national championship team before lackluster performance in Sugar Bowl vs Utah.

Smart:
Year two at UGA: 13-2, Wins SEC, wins CFB playoff semifinal, loses NCG to Bama

Kelly:
So far he’s 3-2 and gave up 700+ yards and 50+ points to Ole Miss.

Kelly is not an elite coach.
Posted by RogerTheShrubber
Juneau, AK
Member since Jan 2009
260947 posts
Posted on 10/2/23 at 4:35 pm to
A strong back half of the season. Like running off 5-6 in a row.
Posted by Tesla
the Laurentian Abyss
Member since Dec 2011
7975 posts
Posted on 10/2/23 at 4:38 pm to
Successful: SEC Championship (1% prob)
On par: Citrus Bowl win (4% prob)
Failure: anything else (95% prob)
Posted by CalTiger53
California
Member since Oct 2011
9040 posts
Posted on 10/2/23 at 4:45 pm to
(no message)
This post was edited on 10/2/23 at 5:04 pm
Posted by MetArl15
Washington, DC
Member since Apr 2007
9483 posts
Posted on 10/2/23 at 4:46 pm to
Yes.

On D, be aggressive as hell and try to force turnovers. It cannot be worse than what it is currently.
Posted by NorthEndZone
Member since Dec 2008
11369 posts
Posted on 10/2/23 at 4:49 pm to
A good coaching staff should beat teams that have less talent than their team does.

Bama and (arguably)A&M are the only remaining opponents that are more talented.

That means 9-4 is the worst acceptable record since 8-4 will get a bowl opponent that is less talented.

9 wins is possible but will obviously require big improvement on defense.
Posted by Alt26
Member since Mar 2010
28402 posts
Posted on 10/2/23 at 5:02 pm to
quote:

You people are ridiculous. LOL. So the team overachieves last year after BK taking over a team with 39 scholarship players and a bowl game where the WR played QB. Could have easily gone 7-5 or 8-4 but got lucky in a few games then loses most of it's veteran defensive players and you think 9-3 is a failure.


Each season is judged on its own merits and the variables in effect at that time.

Last year was year 1 of an (almost) completely new coaching staff. There were also several new players (including true freshmen) who were forced to play key positions. Most notably QB, LT, RT, TE. In addition, the competition faced was better. I don't think anyone (unless they just want to be disingenuous) would disagree that, at least, Alabama and Tennessee were better last year than they are this season. Most anticipated it was going to take a bit of time for all of the changes to be navigated.

This season much of the "new" was no longer there. The players had been in Kelly's program for a full season. Virtually the entire coaching staff returned. LSU brought back essentially an entire starting offense. Only this time the LT, RT, and TE were true freshmen playing in their first games. They were experienced players. The QB had now been in the system for a year. 4 of your top 5 receivers returned.

On defense you brought back an All SEC DT in Wingo. Smith, who was thought of as LSU's best defensive prospect returned. Harold Perkins, one of the most disruptive players in the SEC returned. You brought in an All Pac-12 LB in Speights. Yes, there were more questions on offense than defense. But most thought the group could at least be decent. However, more than that, the schedule was favorable. Auburn had a new HC and was rebuilding. Alabama was looked at as having the most questions they've had in a long time. Mississippi State had a new HC with new approach that may not work. Tennessee was off the schedule. Expectations for Florida were very low. And you got Auburn, A&M, and Florida (three of the tougher road venues) at home.

There was a reason LSU was ranked 5th to start the season with many, many people picking them to win the west and possibly reach the CFP. There was a reason they had one of the highest odds to win the NC. It wasn't because of delusion. It was because many of the variables that weren't favorable last season were favorable THIS season.

"Rebuilds" don't always occur in a linear fashion. But by your logic, the apparently do. So despite the fact LSU will likely lose many of their big playmakers on offense this season (Daniels, Nabers, possible Thomas); may have a new defensive staff next season with, again, multiple new players, and will have games AT Florida, A&M, and Arkansas, to go along with home games vs Alabama and Oklahoma, plus a neutral site game against USC, and dropping a G6 opponent for UCLA, next year's team should at least be 10-2 right? Georgia has won back to back national championships. By your linear logic this should be their best team ever. But its not...because the variables of this season aren't as favorable for them at the last seasons.

The pieces for a run were in place THIS season. And frankly, if LSU could just put together an AVERAGE defense (which doesn't seem like a monumental task), they would be 4-1 with 4 double-digit wins and in the discussion for the CFP.

Instead, they are likely to waste the second best offense in school history because they may have the worst defense in school history. All at a time when many of their historically good opponents may be at their weakest points in a while (Alabama, Florida, Auburn just to name a few.

So yes, 9-3 would be a disappointment relative to THIS season, whereas 9-3 may not be a disappointment at all relative to last season or even next season.
Posted by Alt26
Member since Mar 2010
28402 posts
Posted on 10/2/23 at 5:08 pm to
quote:

Saban:
Year two at LSU: 10-3, wins SEC and Sugar Bowl


Year three at LSU: 8-5 (losers of 4 of their last 6)

Year five: 9-3. ONE win over a ranked team all season. Needed a TD in the final 2:00 to beat a 3-3 Troy team.

People forget that Saban wasn't close to as good as he's been at Alabama when he was at LSU.
Posted by mdomingue
Lafayette, LA
Member since Nov 2010
30407 posts
Posted on 10/2/23 at 5:13 pm to
quote:

12-0 or 11-1 is a success

10-2 or 9-3 is on par

But with how weak the SEC is 9-3 is a failure to me now.



Last season far outpaced expectations and maybe set us up for unrealistic expectations and disappointment.

I see 8 or 9 regular season wins being on par, as in on target for where this coaching staff started. Regardless of a weak or not SEC. There were challenges with this team that needed addressing over multiple year (2-3).

10 or more regular season wins is another successful season to me.

quote:

Bama and Georgia are the weakest they've been in years.


Both are still really good and have significantly better talent, particularly at the rotational positions and in depth.

quote:

Auburn, Tennessee and Florida are rebuilding


True but Freeze is an ace at doing more with less. Auburn does concern me a little.

A&M seems to be trending up but Jimbo can crap the bed with the best of them so we will see.

quote:

This was a perfect year to make a run even after getting your arse kicked by FSU


yeah, and so this is disappointing right now but we can still win the West on paper, what the team does from here on out will determine that.



Posted by IM_4_LSU
Augusta, GA
Member since Mar 2014
8998 posts
Posted on 10/2/23 at 5:36 pm to
quote:

But with how weak the SEC is 9-3 is a failure to me now.


This is a fair assessment. But to be fair there is still a chance we could end up in Atlanta. And I'm not going to ever call a season where we end up in Atlanta a failure. Now obviously if we finish 9-3 and don't make it to Atlanta then I would say it was a bit of a disappointing season.
Posted by Solo Cam
Member since Sep 2015
32654 posts
Posted on 10/3/23 at 5:37 am to
I love the posters that now say we should be happy with 8-4 and 9-3.

I'm sure when lsu was ranked top 5 on every single list this year snd Jayden had the 2nd best heisman odds that all you guys were saying we were overrated and that lsu would be lucky to go 9-3


Don't move the goal post now
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