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Started By
Message
re: Does Vegas keep us favored by 3 pts worries anyone like it does me?
Posted on 8/31/22 at 8:49 pm to JONBURRIS1981
Posted on 8/31/22 at 8:49 pm to JONBURRIS1981
We’re favored though so why is that worrisome? I mean did you expect us to be some big favorite?
0
Posted on 8/31/22 at 9:12 pm to JONBURRIS1981
quote:
Vegas isn’t in the business of losing money. What do they know that we don’t know?
Vandy wasn’t favored by much yet Hawaii got smacked by 53 points. Nebraska lost as a favored team. Utah State was favored by 24 and had a tough time putting UConn away. Oddsmakers aren’t as dialed in the first game in college football. Lots of uncertainties with LSU that Vegas doesn’t know about. I think LSU -3 is about right and hopefully we pimp smack them by 30.
Posted on 9/1/22 at 6:36 am to Jebadeb
quote:
Wouldn't the line move if there was heavy betting on LSU to cover? It probably just means the betting on each side has been fairly equal.
The line would move if the $ on both sides is fairly equal. The % of bets can favor one side while the % of money can favor the other.
That would indicate the public is getting the opposite of the “sharps” or the big $ bettors.
Posted on 9/1/22 at 6:58 am to JONBURRIS1981
YES. Anyone that follows gambling knows that when there is a close line, but 'everyone' is picking one team then the other team usually wins.
When it seems too easy, it's probably a trap.
When it seems too easy, it's probably a trap.
Posted on 9/1/22 at 7:15 am to JONBURRIS1981
quote:
What do they know that we don’t know?
Vegas knows how to balance their bet sheets and make their 10% no matter which side wins. There's a reason all those casinos are so big. They know how to win no matter what.
Posted on 9/1/22 at 7:18 am to Zanzibaw
Money line moved from -152 to -165 over the past couple of weeks.
Is that a pretty insignificant move? I got LSU at -154.
Is that a pretty insignificant move? I got LSU at -154.
Posted on 9/1/22 at 7:23 am to LSUcam7
quote:
Money line moved from -152 to -165 over the past couple of weeks.
Is that a pretty insignificant move?
Yes thats pretty insignificant in betting terms. Line has also moved from 3 to 3.5.
Posted on 9/1/22 at 7:32 am to JONBURRIS1981
Take LSU & give 9 points...something tells me we dominate in the second half! 
Posted on 9/1/22 at 7:33 am to Zanzibaw
quote:
Line has also moved from 3 to 3.5.
mine has it as 2.5 now.
This post was edited on 9/1/22 at 7:33 am
Posted on 9/1/22 at 7:54 am to geauxdroddz
Posted on 9/1/22 at 9:26 am to dallastiger55
quote:
The spread will be 5ish by gametime.
No it won’t
Posted on 9/1/22 at 9:27 am to JONBURRIS1981
NO
Posted on 9/1/22 at 11:23 am to JONBURRIS1981
quote:
Vegas isn’t in the business of losing money
then dont bet if you cant afford to lose...
Posted on 9/1/22 at 1:06 pm to JONBURRIS1981
They want all that lazy FSU money line action to come in to balance the Sharps knowing LSU will win easily.
Posted on 9/1/22 at 1:16 pm to Geaux62
I will be betting a hundred on Tigers when I get to Vegas tomorrow. Be scouting for USC game in 24.
Posted on 9/1/22 at 1:44 pm to Zanzibaw
quote:correct. Vegas doesn't make money picking winners. They try to get equal dollars bet on each side and pocket the vig.
Vegas knows how to balance their bet sheets and make their 10% no matter which side wins. There's a reason all those casinos are so big. They know how to win no matter what.
Too many people don't understand what Vegas sports books are all about.
Posted on 9/1/22 at 1:59 pm to JONBURRIS1981
Vegas doesn't always get it right.....check the historical Super Bowl lines......there are a lot of "misses".....LSU could win by 10 or lose by 10......who knows ????
Posted on 9/1/22 at 2:49 pm to JONBURRIS1981
I have lost opening game bets taking lsu the last two years . I think we in for a treat this year . I’m going all in on lsu -3 .
Posted on 9/1/22 at 3:05 pm to TigerbaitTigerbait
Vegas knows more than we do right now but if you’re gonna pop them, you better get them early. They don’t make a lot of mistakes after 3-4 weeks.
Posted on 9/1/22 at 3:05 pm to NorthshoreTiger76
quote:
This will be a close game. LSU will not blow out FSU mark it down
bookmarked...
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