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re: Crowton, Misreading Statistics

Posted on 8/14/08 at 9:02 am to
Posted by eelsuee
2B+!2B
Member since Oct 2004
4538 posts
Posted on 8/14/08 at 9:02 am to
quote:

KW took it to the house more with fewer touches.
You are comparing a homerun hitter with a guy who bats 400. Hester moved the chains better than nearly every back in school history.
Posted by rtgr
New Orleans/Jackson Wyoming
Member since Nov 2005
2528 posts
Posted on 8/14/08 at 9:22 am to
[quote]It was a horrible article, very confusing.


How so? Example please.

One of the worst I have read in the Advocate in months. He contradicted himself like 3 times in that article.

Once again, please give us an example. If you cannot, you are simply another loudmouth kid playing with your mommy's computer.
Posted by SlowFlowPro
With populists, expect populism
Member since Jan 2004
465134 posts
Posted on 8/14/08 at 9:35 am to
wait

who was our goal line back against MSU?
Posted by SlowFlowPro
With populists, expect populism
Member since Jan 2004
465134 posts
Posted on 8/14/08 at 9:36 am to
quote:

Hester moved the chains better than nearly every back in school history.

holy shite when will the superlatives stop?
Posted by SlowFlowPro
With populists, expect populism
Member since Jan 2004
465134 posts
Posted on 8/14/08 at 9:41 am to
it wasn't confusing as much as just simplistic, but he tries to analyze stats and doesn't even really analyze them

he just makes assumptions like how hester's insane # of carries inside the opponent's 5 yard line will be a big enough % of his total # of carries to drop his ypc way down. where is the evidence?

why doesn't he go through all of hester's carries and KWs carries, take out all carries inside the opponent's 5-10 yardline, and then see what their average ypc is? oh yeah, he doesn't because that would take work

there is a lot more analysis that can be done on this issue, but he just wrote your average blue collar article for a blue collar audience. i expect nothing less than a newspaper that is scared to death of having LSU mad at them
Posted by Maximus
Member since Feb 2004
81407 posts
Posted on 8/14/08 at 10:18 am to
quote:

You are comparing a homerun hitter with a guy who bats 400.


Jacob Hester = Ted Williams
Posted by Tiger_n_ATL
Atlanta
Member since Jul 2005
33179 posts
Posted on 8/14/08 at 10:24 am to
quote:

How so? Example please.

"Scott’s average will drop this year. Why? He’ll get far more short-yardage calls." WTF? Who says?
"Now he just has to explain why punter Patrick Fisher didn’t pass more in 2007. He completed 100 percent of his passes for an average of 9 yards per attempt." Dumb.
"His one and only attempt." Brilliant.

Posted by apacheba
Member since Feb 2007
870 posts
Posted on 8/14/08 at 10:31 am to
quote:

... a guy who bats 400. Hester ...

.330 tops more like Wade Boggs

Posted by Johnny_Dangerously
Baton Rouge
Member since Apr 2005
623 posts
Posted on 8/14/08 at 12:28 pm to
You'd think anyone who watched LSU closely last season wouldn't need statistical evidence that:

-- Hester was clearly the short-yardage back.
-- Scott is the only one of the four (Scott, Holliday, Williams, Murphy) with the body type and makeup to be the lead short-yardage back.
-- You can't gain 7 yards from inside the 2.

Crowton pretty much said all three on that video from Media Day someone posted here. Seems pretty cut and dried. I don't think the column was meant to counter every ranter argument as to why Hester shouldn't have had the ball so much last year. I think it was only to show that yards-per-carry stats can be misleading.
Posted by eelsuee
2B+!2B
Member since Oct 2004
4538 posts
Posted on 8/14/08 at 1:38 pm to
quote:

holy shite when will the superlatives stop?
He was the best skill player on the national championship team which was also the highest scoring(and ypg) offense in school history. The coaches who lead the highest scoring offense in school history obviously thought he was the best RB, or he wouldn't have started and gotten more carries than the other guys. By the end of the season, you could argue that Byrd was the best skill player, but over the whole season Hester was much better. The best skill player on the best offense in school history obviously excelled at something despite you insisting that the coaches didn't know who their best RB was.
Posted by Louie T
Houston, TX
Member since Dec 2006
36584 posts
Posted on 8/14/08 at 1:39 pm to
quote:

He was the best skill player


While I agree he was the best and most complete RB, he wasn't the best skill player.
Posted by eelsuee
2B+!2B
Member since Oct 2004
4538 posts
Posted on 8/14/08 at 1:41 pm to
quote:

While I agree he was the best and most complete RB, he wasn't the best skill player.
One example please?
Posted by roygu
Member since Jan 2004
11718 posts
Posted on 8/14/08 at 1:53 pm to
quote:

While I agree he was the best and most complete RB, he wasn't the best skill player.


Would you call having the ability to change direction when the hole is plugged, swivel your shoulders and plow through a narrow gap, then hit the weakest area and in addition possess the strength and body lean to maximize forward progress a skill or talent.
Hester consistently did it all season long and apparently is making the same plays with San Diego.
Posted by eelsuee
2B+!2B
Member since Oct 2004
4538 posts
Posted on 8/14/08 at 5:56 pm to
SFP, Louie T?

No example of which skill player did more to make last year the highest scoring offense in LSU history?
Posted by SlowFlowPro
With populists, expect populism
Member since Jan 2004
465134 posts
Posted on 8/14/08 at 6:00 pm to
quote:

One example please?

keiland williams
charles scott
d byrd
b lafell
r dickson
flynn
RP
This post was edited on 8/14/08 at 6:01 pm
Posted by Palm Beach Tiger
Orlando, Florida
Member since Jan 2007
30064 posts
Posted on 8/14/08 at 6:03 pm to
I agree with you on most things. I think KW is a great back and will be in the NFL. I just don't see the need to downplay anything Hester did to combat Rantarded bullshite about Keiland or even JR. I was fine with Hester playing.
Posted by SlowFlowPro
With populists, expect populism
Member since Jan 2004
465134 posts
Posted on 8/14/08 at 6:03 pm to
saying somebody is better than hester is not downplaying anything hester did

and saying KW was our goaline back against MSU = fact
Posted by Palm Beach Tiger
Orlando, Florida
Member since Jan 2007
30064 posts
Posted on 8/14/08 at 6:05 pm to
quote:

saying somebody is better than hester is not downplaying anything hester did

and saying KW was our goaline back against MSU = fact


I'm not referring to that statement in particular. You guys always shite on that guy while arguing in KW's defense.
Posted by amiznit
Missouri City
Member since Apr 2005
1855 posts
Posted on 8/14/08 at 9:11 pm to
I'd put Hester above Flynn.
Posted by eelsuee
2B+!2B
Member since Oct 2004
4538 posts
Posted on 8/14/08 at 9:14 pm to
You don't understand the difference between "most talented" and "best". In the 2007 season, nobody you mentioned was better than Hester. You even listed two of his backups

quote:

keiland williams
charles scott
These were backups to Hester, and you failing to recognize that Miles/Crowton made them backups demonstrates your knowledge.
quote:

d byrd
b lafell
Two talented guys and Byrd was good by the end of the season, but both of these guys only made solid contributions for about half the season. Byrd in the second half and Lafell in the first few games and the last few games.
quote:

r dickson
A good TE but with 375 yards on the season he mostly kept defenses honest.
quote:

flynn
You could make an argument, but when you lose a #1 overall QB and two first round WR's and your offense improves maybe you should take a look at the running game.
quote:

RP
Young talent, possibly could have been better, but in 2007 it wasn't even close.

Once again list ONE skill player that was better than Hester in 2007, and this time at least try to backup your claim.
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