re: Conference Tournament Week - (Bid Stealer Tracker)

USC beats Cal to advance to the Pac 12 finals. Cal is probably out with a RPI around 60. USC would obviously be a stolen bid.

Speaking of USC, amazing stat I read earlier. This is the first time they've had back to back 30 wins seasons since 2001-2002.

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Wofford probably will win the autobid in the southern tournament but eyeing them their RPI is up to 51 Also Indiana in a good position to win the autobid but their RPI is up to 52. That was my one bubble team other than Arizona St that D1 Baseball did not really mention in their pre tournament projections.

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I think for Wofford to get into at-large position, they would have to earn the auto-bid anyway. I think Indiana is another story. I feel like the committee was going to give the Big 10 3 bids as long as Indiana didn’t go 0-2. As long as Michigan doesn’t earn the auto-bid, I think they’re in.

I agree with the west coast verdict but I could see instead of the pac 12 getting 4 they just count towards the UC Irvine and UC Santa Barbara conference as representation for the west. San Diego as well, so idk if the pac 12 will get 4 bids it’ll be interesting to see.

I remember last year, UC Irvine was the team talked about getting screwed over.

I think the playoff field is starting to firm up at this point. I started with 19 bubble teams for 13 spots.

In: LSU, Vandy, SC, UCF, TCU, CAA tournament champ (Charleston/UNCW), Big East tournament champ (St John’s/Georgetown)

Out: Cincinnati, Louisville, Troy, Xavier

That leaves 8 teams for 6 spots minus any additional bid thieves.

Probable: Cal/PAC-12 auto-bid, Indiana/Big 10 auto-bid.

Contenders (6 for 4 spots minus bid thieves):

Florida 28-27 (13-17) RPI: #28
Coastal Carolina: 34-23 (16-14) RPI: #36
Charleston/UNCW loser (currently #40/#44)
James Madison: 33-22 (17-13) RPI: #43
Kansas St: 32-24 (15-15) RPI: #46
Georgia Tech: 31-23 (15-15) RPI: #48

Potential additional bid steals: C-USA, MVC, AAC

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Florida 28-27 (13-17) RPI: #28
Coastal Carolina: 34-23 (16-14) RPI: #36
Charleston/UNCW loser (currently #40/#44)
James Madison: 33-22 (17-13) RPI: #43
Kansas St: 32-24 (15-15) RPI: #46
Georgia Tech: 31-23 (15-15) RPI: #48

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I’m leaning
Kansas St. Out
Georgia Tech out

In but will be next out:
Coastal Carolina

In
James Madison

Florida will just depend on the committee they are either out or way in idk how they will judge them.

Charleston / UNCW loser I think will be in for now.

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I’m leaning Kansas St. Out Georgia Tech out In but will be next out: Coastal Carolina In James Madison Florida will just depend on the committee they are either out or way in idk how they will judge them. Charleston / UNCW loser I think will be in for now.

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We’re very much on the same page on each of those points. JMU made a big jump in RPI with their win today. That surprised me. I still don’t think they should be in ahead of Coastal but they probably will be now. I’m not at all sure how they’ll handle Florida.

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East Carolina wins game 1 and have to play Wichita St again at 3:00

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If ECU wins, who do they have to get past in the AAC Championship game?

Looking like the AAC will get Wichita st or Tulane as the autobid and ECU will be an at large.

Wichita St is up 9-2 over East Carolina in the 5th

There will be a stolen bid in the AAC, ECU loses 12-2 to Wichita St.

Tulane vs Wichita St for the Ship

Arizona vs USC is now 3-3


Georgia Southern beating JMU 6-0 but I think JMU is in.
(Unless Georgia Southern got the autobid then they may be left out)


Louisiana tech beats Liberty