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Comparing LSU and Bama vs like opponents
Posted on 10/29/26 at 8:23 am
Posted on 10/29/26 at 8:23 am
I didn't look at the whole season, but both teams played UK, State and A&M.
The most significant difference in those games was turnovers.
LSU was -1. 3 forced and 4 given up
Bama was +4. 10 forced and 6 given up.
Even more glaring was in all 3 games Bama had a pick 6. They are extremely aggressive and jump routes, specifically boundary throws. Leavitt is going to have to be very careful because this is the most opportunistic defense we'll play all season. But, as others have pointed out they are susceptible to giving up big plays while being overly aggressive.
The most significant difference in those games was turnovers.
LSU was -1. 3 forced and 4 given up
Bama was +4. 10 forced and 6 given up.
Even more glaring was in all 3 games Bama had a pick 6. They are extremely aggressive and jump routes, specifically boundary throws. Leavitt is going to have to be very careful because this is the most opportunistic defense we'll play all season. But, as others have pointed out they are susceptible to giving up big plays while being overly aggressive.
Posted on 10/29/26 at 8:27 am to BayouCowboy
I mean that is all fine to look at, compare, discuss. Ultimately it doesn't mean a single thing though. Look at what is happening on the field this year. There is parity, and it changes game to game. The transitive property never applies, but it has never been more true than this year.
This post was edited on 10/29/26 at 8:28 am
Posted on 10/29/26 at 8:33 am to Hold That Tiger 10
quote:
The transitive property never applies
He didn’t really do that.
Did you read his post?
Posted on 10/29/26 at 8:39 am to moneyg
quote:
He didn’t really do that.
Did you read his post?
Comparing like opponents is somewhat using transitive property. Otherwise, he would’ve just used all games.
Posted on 10/29/26 at 8:43 am to Hold That Tiger 10
quote:
Look at what is happening on the field this year
This^^^^^
It's been a crazy year. Teams beat down top 10 opponents then proceed to to get a beat down of their own the following week
This post was edited on 10/29/26 at 8:45 am
Posted on 10/29/26 at 8:43 am to LSBoosie
quote:
Comparing like opponents is somewhat using transitive property. Otherwise, he would’ve just used all games.
Comparing like opponents to determine who will win is using the transitive property. He didn't do that.
He's comparing like opponents to get a subset of games and then evaluating many different aspects of the game to make a point about Bama's aggressive style.
That's not the transitive property. I think you guys read the title.
Posted on 10/29/26 at 8:53 am to moneyg
Why is he only using like opponents if he is not suggesting that they are related? Also, he’s comparing turnover margin, not necessarily “many different aspects of the game”
Posted on 10/29/26 at 8:54 am to Hold That Tiger 10
quote:
mean that is all fine to look at, compare, discuss. Ultimately it doesn't mean a single thing though. Look at what is happening on the field this year. There is parity, and it changes game to game. The transitive property never applies, but it has never been more true than this year.
I agree with the transitive property argument, but that doesn’t mean comparing common opponents is meaningless. Coaches study film on every opponent, and common opponents can provide valuable insight when developing a game plan, identifying tendencies, finding weaknesses to exploit, and recognizing what to avoid. That doesn’t mean the outcome will be the same, but it certainly doesn’t make the comparison irrelevant.
Posted on 10/29/26 at 8:54 am to Hold That Tiger 10
All of this means nothing
Posted on 10/29/26 at 8:57 am to LSBoosie
quote:
Comparing like opponents is somewhat using transitive property. Otherwise, he would’ve just used all games.
It’s a way to compare matchups and how they may apply to each other which isn’t an exact science, but can be done. Transitive property would be saying Bama best Kentucky by 20 something points and LSU lost by 1 so Bama will therefore blow LSU out. Which would be a bad comparison as you pointed out.

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