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Another Hal Hughes post

Posted on 6/6/19 at 1:40 pm
Posted by CalRipkenJr
Denham Springs
Member since Jan 2007
1576 posts
Posted on 6/6/19 at 1:40 pm
I decided with all of the "Bench Hughes" posts I'd do something foreign to the rant and actually run the numbers.
If LSU was to bench Hughes you would have to move Reid to 3B, Beloso to 1B and DH either Mathis, Bianco, Willis, Dugas, or DiGiacomo. Based on the numbers below, the ONLY option is DiGiacomo (who is yet ANOTHER lefty and actually strikes out WAY more often than Hughes). So if you bench Hughes and DH Gio you have to decide if whatever increased offensive production you expect to get from Gio over Hal is worth having 6 LH hitters and 3 RH hitters and downgrading your left-side defense from Hughes to Reid. I personally don't think the juice is worth the squeeze!

Plus in the above scenario you eliminate your best late game pinch run option by starting DiGiacomo...that's my take, let the roasting and downvotes begin but I say keep the lineup as is!


Posted by TheDrunkenTigah
Baton Rouge
Member since Aug 2011
17316 posts
Posted on 6/6/19 at 1:42 pm to
You don’t fricked up now A-a-Ron
Posted by thunderbird1100
GSU Eagles fan
Member since Oct 2007
68313 posts
Posted on 6/6/19 at 1:42 pm to
Dont think it's that fair a comparison to compare an every day player's stats vs. guys who just get inserted time to time mostly (Bianco, Willis, Dugas).

IT's different as a hitter when you're starting and seeing pitchers multiple times over vs. getting asked to get inserted for 1 or 2 AB in a game.
Posted by CalRipkenJr
Denham Springs
Member since Jan 2007
1576 posts
Posted on 6/6/19 at 1:43 pm to
quote:

You don’t fricked up now A-a-Ron


I knew I did before posting it...one should never bring facts to a rant discussion!
Posted by RB10
Member since Nov 2010
43811 posts
Posted on 6/6/19 at 1:44 pm to
The fact that Gio strikes out nearly twice as often and still has an On base percentage that is 100 points higher is quite alarming.
Posted by CalRipkenJr
Denham Springs
Member since Jan 2007
1576 posts
Posted on 6/6/19 at 1:46 pm to
quote:

Dont think it's that fair a comparison to compare an every day player's stats vs. guys who just get inserted time to time mostly (Bianco, Willis, Dugas).

IT's different as a hitter when you're starting and seeing pitchers multiple times over vs. getting asked to get inserted for 1 or 2 AB in a game.


I get what you're saying as far as Dugas but you honestly mean to tell me that you think Bianco or Willis would strike out less than 4 or 3 times in their next 79 or 95 at bats respectively???
Posted by TeddyPadillac
Member since Dec 2010
25513 posts
Posted on 6/6/19 at 1:46 pm to
quote:

IT's different as a hitter when you're starting and seeing pitchers multiple times over vs. getting asked to get inserted for 1 or 2 AB in a game.



what's your point here?
Posted by Philippines4LSU
Member since May 2018
8789 posts
Posted on 6/6/19 at 1:49 pm to
quote:

If LSU was to bench Hughes you would have to move Reid to 3B, Beloso to 1B and DH either Mathis, Bianco, Willis, Dugas, or DiGiacomo.




ETA:

This post was edited on 6/6/19 at 3:26 pm
Posted by CalRipkenJr
Denham Springs
Member since Jan 2007
1576 posts
Posted on 6/6/19 at 1:50 pm to
quote:

The fact that Gio strikes out nearly twice as often and still has an On base percentage that is 100 points higher is quite alarming.



without the advanced stats I would assume it's because he's getting out on FC by being so fast...which isn't necessarily a productive out but I can't be sure.
Posted by jimbeam
University of LSU
Member since Oct 2011
75703 posts
Posted on 6/6/19 at 1:50 pm to
quote:

eliminate your best late game pinch run option by starting DiGiacomo.
So if he hits and runs better, put him in the whole damn game....let Hal pinch run
Posted by RB10
Member since Nov 2010
43811 posts
Posted on 6/6/19 at 1:52 pm to
quote:

without the advanced stats I would assume it's because he's getting out on FC by being so fast...which isn't necessarily a productive out but I can't be sure.


It's much more productive that Hughes. Hughes also has 0 sacrifice flies on the season. That's actually difficult to do to be honest.
Posted by thunderbird1100
GSU Eagles fan
Member since Oct 2007
68313 posts
Posted on 6/6/19 at 1:53 pm to
quote:

I get what you're saying as far as Dugas but you honestly mean to tell me that you think Bianco or Willis would strike out less than 4 or 3 times in their next 79 or 95 at bats respectively???



All I'm saying is it's very different and not an apples to apples comparison. Going in and out of a lineup is different than staying there all the time. Strikeout rates for sure could be impacted in terms of starting vs. being inserted, yes.
This post was edited on 6/6/19 at 1:55 pm
Posted by CalRipkenJr
Denham Springs
Member since Jan 2007
1576 posts
Posted on 6/6/19 at 1:53 pm to
quote:

So if he hits and runs better, put him in the whole damn game....let Hal pinch run



that's what I said in the OP... you have to decide what is worth more...better defense and a RH hitter or whatever increase in offensive production you expect from Gio
Posted by CalRipkenJr
Denham Springs
Member since Jan 2007
1576 posts
Posted on 6/6/19 at 1:54 pm to
quote:

That's actually difficult to do to be honest


not really, that's only 1 less than Duplantis!
Posted by Ponchy Tiger
Ponchatoula
Member since Aug 2004
45114 posts
Posted on 6/6/19 at 1:55 pm to
Hughes has the worst average for a starter in over 20 years of LSU baseball
Posted by RB10
Member since Nov 2010
43811 posts
Posted on 6/6/19 at 1:56 pm to
quote:

not really, that's only 1 less than Duplantis!


Duplantis actually gets hits with RISP.
Posted by bugafor6
Member since Feb 2016
4200 posts
Posted on 6/6/19 at 1:58 pm to
Dugas was given up on way too quick. He’s absolutely capable of a big game and that’s not going to ever happen from sitting on the bench.
Posted by doubleb
Baton Rouge
Member since Aug 2006
36016 posts
Posted on 6/6/19 at 2:06 pm to
Joey Gallo went several seasons with the Rangers before he hit s Sac Fly.
Posted by doubleb
Baton Rouge
Member since Aug 2006
36016 posts
Posted on 6/6/19 at 2:07 pm to
List SEC stats and you get s better picture.
Posted by RB10
Member since Nov 2010
43811 posts
Posted on 6/6/19 at 2:11 pm to
quote:

Joey Gallo went several seasons with the Rangers before he hit s Sac Fly.


His average WAR in those seasons was barely above 1.0, which is a scrub.

That definitely falls in line here, doesn't it?
This post was edited on 6/6/19 at 2:12 pm
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