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re: 9 and 3 seems more realistic...i started the season with 7 5 ceiling
Posted on 9/14/22 at 10:37 am to Tigaux6661
Posted on 9/14/22 at 10:37 am to Tigaux6661
quote:
AND the other SEC teams are not as good as anticipated especially Bama,tamu, and even Vols.
The Vols? They look great. As does Arkansas. Mississippi State is pretty damn good too. If we beat them—and we really need to as it’s at home—it would be a really, really nice win. I don’t think you can make any kind of realistic prediction of the rest of our season until we see how we look—and if we win—this weekend.
0
Posted on 9/14/22 at 10:39 am to charminultra
Similar to my inital prediction...now i think we get 2 more in SEC.
Saban was complaining a lot about his second stringers during camp...i dont think he was bluffing
Saban was complaining a lot about his second stringers during camp...i dont think he was bluffing
Posted on 9/14/22 at 10:40 am to Eagle23
quote:
Auburn………L (maybe win here)
Tennessee…L
Florida………L
Ole Miss……L (maybe win here)
Bama……….L
Arkansas…W (maybe win here)
UAB…………W
Tex AM……..L
If we lose to A&M, Auburn and Florida, no way we beat Ole Miss and Arkansas.
If we win this week, it probably means we have a better chance at goin 7-5 or better regular season. Predicating this on a win vs Moo State and the team improving every week, this is my prediction (may actually be more hope than expectation, if I'm completely honest) for the season
FSU…………..L
Southern…..W
Miss St……..W
New Mex…..W
Auburn………W
Tennessee…L (possible W here since it is at LSU)
Florida………W
Ole Miss……L (maybe win here)
Bama……….L
Arkansas…W (maybe lose here, depends on tackling where Jeferson is concerned)
UAB…………W
Tex AM……..W
Bowl game depends on opponent but I think the team is gelled and ready to make a statement about next year.
Posted on 9/14/22 at 10:42 am to Damone
quote:
lmao at predicting Ls to UF and A&M
Florida beat #7 Utah (probably overrated) at home then played a damn good Kentucky team close. We all know what we did. It is a given that (at this point in the season) we would be an underdog on the road against Florida.
This post was edited on 9/14/22 at 10:44 am
Posted on 9/14/22 at 10:43 am to Tigaux6661
Where do you people come from? 7-5 is best case scenario if every single thing falls in our favor (that never happens)
I think we should all expect a 5-6 win season.
I think we should all expect a 5-6 win season.
Posted on 9/14/22 at 10:44 am to atltiger6487
quote:Where in the OP is Southern even mentioned, yet along mentioned that because they beat Southern is why he believes 9-3 is more realistic?
because we beat Southern? Good grief, man.
People can't frickin read!
Posted on 9/14/22 at 10:44 am to SulphursFinest
quote:
abysmal first game
People seem to be overstating this somewhat. There were definitely issues and reasons for concern. But it's not like we lost 48-3, or lost on our home field to a Group of Five opponent (like A&M, Notre Dame, and Nebraska did). We lost by one point in the opener against a solid (not spectacular) Power 5 opponent, in a game where we muffed two punts and missed an extra point and a short field goal. Was it disappointing? Yes. Catastrophic? No. The jury is still out, I think, on where between 6-6 and 9-3 this team is likely to end up.
Posted on 9/14/22 at 10:45 am to Tigaux6661
We’ll know where we are after this Saturday. Can’t take too much from the Southern game
Posted on 9/14/22 at 10:49 am to mdomingue
quote:
If we lose to A&M, Auburn and Florida, no way we beat Ole Miss and Arkansas.
Actually, with a team like this, in a rebuilding year, crazy shite like that wouldn't be that weird, especially with those three predicted losses being road games. The one thing I can guarantee is we will both win and lose a game we had no business doing either.
Posted on 9/14/22 at 10:50 am to Tigaux6661
quote:
Im actually basing my improved prediction based on how we have played in both games...especially FSU AND, like i stated first, how others are playing.
While I appreciate your analysis and optimism, I remain of the opinion that 7-5 is somewhat more likely than 9-3, at this point. A dominant performance over MSU might change my analysis, but we're just not there yet.
Just looking down the list of the 10 games remaining a collapse isn't out of the question and this team could end up being .500 (with the record perhaps understating the quality). While I'm not that pessimistic yet, the realist in me says this isn't a SEC contender, isn't a 9-win team and perhaps a scrappy 8-4 is exactly what we need to go into 2023. And I don't think that's loserism - that's sobering reality.
This post was edited on 9/14/22 at 10:51 am
Posted on 9/14/22 at 11:01 am to Tigaux6661
Started out 6-6. Still there, but maybe we steal one and get to 7-5. 4 more losses. Bama, Arkansas, Tennessee & Ole Miss. if we lose to MST 6-6. However, there have been flashes. If the defense plays better we could do much better.
Posted on 9/14/22 at 11:05 am to Eagle23
I suppose none of yall have ever seen a team improve week after week?
2019 barely beat Texas in week 1 with an absolutely abysmal looking defense. This team is obviously NOT 2019, but god damn -- have some perspective.
If we win this week... great. Why are we even trying to predict what happens in October and November? So many variables that can't be accounted for week to week.
2019 barely beat Texas in week 1 with an absolutely abysmal looking defense. This team is obviously NOT 2019, but god damn -- have some perspective.
If we win this week... great. Why are we even trying to predict what happens in October and November? So many variables that can't be accounted for week to week.
Posted on 9/14/22 at 11:14 am to Tigaux6661
Sigh
The natural state of our fans.
Lose a game we should have won... season is over.
Win a game we should win.... we goin to the natty!
The natural state of our fans.
Lose a game we should have won... season is over.
Win a game we should win.... we goin to the natty!
Posted on 9/14/22 at 11:19 am to jcaz
I started 7-5. Now I'm thinking 6-6. Maybe.
Posted on 9/14/22 at 11:25 am to bloupe2
Only because of how bad we played the first game. To be honest I don’t think you can make an honest judge of how bad or how good we are till after this week. We lose to State at home and start 1-2 on the year we will be lucky to win 6 games. We win vs state and start 2-1 and play disciplined it would totally change possibilities. Looking forward to seeing if we can piece together a more disciplined game against a worthy opponent, would like to see improvement. Long as we are improving every week I don’t think anyone can be mad about how the year goes
Posted on 9/14/22 at 11:28 am to Tigaux6661
9-3 is a pipe dream. It ain’t happening, but if it does, queue up the CBK for coach of the year award talk.
7-5 is the likely bet so we can put this hell behind us and roll into 2023 with the wind at our backs.
7-5 is the likely bet so we can put this hell behind us and roll into 2023 with the wind at our backs.
Posted on 9/14/22 at 11:28 am to Tigaux6661
so you had FSU as a loss in you 7-5 ceiling prediction? just wondering how we have impressed you with a loss to FSU and win over Su enough to change your prediction 
Posted on 9/14/22 at 11:34 am to Tigaux6661
Avg to below avg roster =
Avg results 7 wins or less.
If they can be coached up, that might get us to 8.
Avg results 7 wins or less.
If they can be coached up, that might get us to 8.
Posted on 9/14/22 at 11:35 am to Eagle23
FSU…………..L
Southern…..W
Miss St……..W
New Mex…..W
Auburn……… W
Tennessee…L
Florida………L
Ole Miss……W
Bama……….L
Arkansas…L
UAB…………W
Tex AM……W
Best I can do is 7-5
Southern…..W
Miss St……..W
New Mex…..W
Auburn……… W
Tennessee…L
Florida………L
Ole Miss……W
Bama……….L
Arkansas…L
UAB…………W
Tex AM……W
Best I can do is 7-5
Posted on 9/14/22 at 11:37 am to profwilson
quote:
People seem to be overstating this somewhat. There were definitely issues and reasons for concern. But it's not like we lost 48-3, or lost on our home field to a Group of Five opponent (like A&M, Notre Dame, and Nebraska did). We lost by one point in the opener against a solid (not spectacular) Power 5 opponent, in a game where we muffed two punts and missed an extra point and a short field goal. Was it disappointing? Yes. Catastrophic? No. The jury is still out, I think, on where between 6-6 and 9-3 this team is likely to end up.
To me, it’s not how we looked in the loss as much as we just simply lost. It gives us less room for error. I said this before the season, and nothing I’ve seen has changed my mind: obviously, we won’t lose all of our SEC games, but, individually, we could lose any of them. Alternatively, we’re not gonna win all of our SEC games, but I think, individually, could win any of them. But to look at that schedule right now and predict we go 6-2 to finish 9-3 is more than a little optimistic.
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