- My Forums
- Tiger Rant
- LSU Recruiting
- SEC Rant
- Saints Talk
- Pelicans Talk
- More Sports Board
- Fantasy Sports
- Golf Board
- Soccer Board
- O-T Lounge
- Tech Board
- Home/Garden Board
- Outdoor Board
- Health/Fitness Board
- Movie/TV Board
- Book Board
- Music Board
- Political Talk
- Money Talk
- Fark Board
- Gaming Board
- Travel Board
- Food/Drink Board
- Ticket Exchange
- TD Help Board
Customize My Forums- View All Forums
- Show Left Links
- Topic Sort Options
- Trending Topics
- Recent Topics
- Active Topics
Started By
Message
re: Star rankings for NFL draft Rd.1
Posted on 4/29/22 at 12:12 pm to LuzianaFootball
Posted on 4/29/22 at 12:12 pm to LuzianaFootball
quote:
Just goes to show the ranking systems are sht actually. Only 9? The way they swear by their rankings that's low as hell.
It means that the rating company has roughly a 30% accuracy clip on projections 3-5 years out from the draft. Considering the amount of things that can go wrong in 3-5 years, I'd say that's pretty good.
0
Posted on 4/29/22 at 12:24 pm to pxrona
quote:
looks like 13- 4* vs 9- 5*. You might want to read again.
If you don't know the difference between percent and total I can't help you.
Posted on 4/29/22 at 1:08 pm to TheAstroTiger
You right, so went to 247 site and we can conclude this.
Every year they only allow/rank 33 5-star players, and 214-4 star
So by percentage it =
5-star 27%
4-star .06%
This 1st round only.HUGE difference.
Every year they only allow/rank 33 5-star players, and 214-4 star
So by percentage it =
5-star 27%
4-star .06%
This 1st round only.HUGE difference.
This post was edited on 4/29/22 at 1:10 pm
Posted on 4/29/22 at 1:15 pm to IotaTiger
quote:
On3 has it broke down.
5 star -9
4 star -13
3 star -6
2 star -1
Not rated -3
9 out of 32 annual 5 stars 1st rounders. Just thought was interesting.
Ok so lets look at stats I found online with a quick search.
https://www.sbnation.com/college-football-recruiting/2019/1/30/18202661/recruiting-stars-rankings-high-school-football
310,000 plus HS seniors playing football
30 5* (0.01% of class)
380 4* (0.13% of class)
1,328 3* (0.44% of class)
1,859 2* (0.62% of class)
296,403 unrated (98.88% of class)
Ok so lets make a few assumption. Lets say that the ratios remain pretty consistent for 3*-5* player exiting via the draft. I'll assume that all the 3, 4, & 5* players were signed by a college team.
30 5* = 1.73%
380 4* = 21.86%
1,328 3* = 76.41%
Of this draft
5* =28.13% of first round picks equating to 30.% of the total 5*s available
5* =40.63% of first round picks equating to 3.42% of the total 4*s available
3* =18.75% of first round picks equating to 0.45% of the total 3*s available
As has been discussed over and over again on this board, the recruiting ranking systems seem to be a fairly good predicter of outcome, even if it is not perfect.
Posted on 4/29/22 at 1:28 pm to LuzianaFootball
quote:
Just goes to show the ranking systems are sht actually. Only 9? The way they swear by their rankings that's low as hell.
WHat an idiot. This shows exactly the opposite.
Posted on 4/29/22 at 1:29 pm to VermilionTiger
quote:
What are there, 100+ 4*s?
Nearly 400 actually
Posted on 4/29/22 at 1:31 pm to JTA1985
9/30 >> 13/380. 
Posted on 4/29/22 at 1:38 pm to JTA1985
Lol. You tried.
Posted on 4/29/22 at 2:31 pm to VermilionTiger
I think depending on the site but normally like 300+
Posted on 4/29/22 at 3:21 pm to IotaTiger
I would love to see a study on pro bowlers in relation to their high school recruiting that be pretty interesting.Also one thing I have looked at before is the ridiculous amount of NFL talent in the south compared to anywhere else in the country.I think there is prolly a difference between a 4 stars from different parts of the country as well.You definitely in recruiting want to load up on 4 and 5 stars as many as you can get and they have a good chance of working out.Obviously if you can sign 25 5stars that be the ticket but realistically 3 5 stars with a bunch of 4 and 3 stars over a 3 year period should land you a good bit of NFL caliber players
Posted on 4/30/22 at 4:31 pm to IotaTiger
quote:
So by percentage it =
5-star 27%
4-star 6%
5-stars are 4.5x more likely to be drafted in the 1st rd
Posted on 4/30/22 at 4:55 pm to deuce985
quote:
It just reinforces that 4* and 5* rankings get it right a lot because they have far less in recruiting rankings. That means the probability is much higher to have success with 5* and 4* recruits. Also shows how their limited resources are when lots fall through the cracks and develop. It's not rocket science here.
The 4 and 5 star guys usually are the biggest and fastest.
NFL mainly drafts off traits.
The few 2 and 3 star guys that get drafted are just good football players who might run 4.6
Posted on 5/1/22 at 4:56 pm to IotaTiger
What happened to Christopher Allen and Slade Bolden
Gumps from da Boot undrafted
I respecked their decision.
Gumps from da Boot undrafted
I respecked their decision.
Posted on 5/1/22 at 5:06 pm to Scars of Old
quote:
13/300>9/30
Posted on 5/1/22 at 6:33 pm to pxrona
quote:
looks like 13- 4* vs 9- 5*. You might want to read again.
Gotta be trolling.
Posted on 5/1/22 at 7:30 pm to IotaTiger
Hit rate on 1st round is terrible only about half end up getting their 5th year option taken, it’s bust or boom the meat of the NFL comes from 2nd to 4th rounds, i think the 2 or 3rd round has best chance of being in the league for 5 years or more
Posted on 5/2/22 at 8:25 pm to mdomingue
quote:
Just goes to show the ranking systems are sht actually. Only 9? The way they swear by their rankings that's low as hell.
Good God, I may be too smart for this board. I’ve never said that before about anything.
They only have 33 5stars per class and to get 9 of 33 drafted is extremely good.
It shows that in a vacuum it’s fairly easy to determine who is gonna be really good.
I said I may be too smart for this board, that’s not true, but we’ve got some people in here that make the group as a whole seem stupid
Posted on 5/3/22 at 10:24 am to Scars of Old
quote:
So 4 stars are the best bet
Take a basic math class, I am fricking begging you.
Page 2 of 2
Popular
Back to top
Follow TigerDroppings for LSU Football News