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re: Will lumber prices go down by years end?

Posted on 5/10/21 at 1:35 pm to
Posted by BlackPot
Member since Oct 2016
2064 posts
Posted on 5/10/21 at 1:35 pm to
They are not. Houses will still be built. Build your home.
Posted by Drunken Crawfish
Member since Apr 2017
3823 posts
Posted on 5/10/21 at 2:09 pm to
Is that from a big box store or local building materials dealer?
Posted by Art Vandelay
LOUISIANA
Member since Sep 2005
10702 posts
Posted on 5/10/21 at 3:36 pm to
Local.
Posted by jchamil
Member since Nov 2009
16511 posts
Posted on 5/10/21 at 3:50 pm to
I need to replace a decent amount of wood on the exterior of my house. Thinking of replacing it all with 7/8 inch concrete siding. Anyone used that?
Posted by FowlGuy
Member since Nov 2015
1350 posts
Posted on 5/10/21 at 4:16 pm to
Everyone needs to stop building them it will come down. There’s no reason for them to lower the prices If people are buying it.
Posted by Art Vandelay
LOUISIANA
Member since Sep 2005
10702 posts
Posted on 5/10/21 at 5:40 pm to
Hardie artisan siding? Price increases and shortages. Hardie is actually about to stop manufacturing it for an extended period to catch up supply of regular siding. I’m sure others will follow.
Posted by Strannix
District 11
Member since Dec 2012
48948 posts
Posted on 5/10/21 at 6:48 pm to
Lol a roll of romex is 120 dollars, its not just lumber everything is to the fricking moon.

Posted by Art Vandelay
LOUISIANA
Member since Sep 2005
10702 posts
Posted on 5/11/21 at 6:29 am to
Yeah I heard pvc is crazy also. Add that with the long lead times on windows, doors and appliances why would you even attempt to start a house right now
Posted by shoelessjoe
Member since Jul 2006
9914 posts
Posted on 5/14/21 at 4:59 pm to
Don’t want to jinx it but prices are ticking lower lately. The futures as well is trading much lower the last few days. Hope the trend continues.
Posted by SlidellCajun
Slidell la
Member since May 2019
10436 posts
Posted on 5/14/21 at 5:21 pm to
Down 4.5% today

People just need to stop buying into the craziness and let the supply catch up
Posted by shoelessjoe
Member since Jul 2006
9914 posts
Posted on 5/14/21 at 6:52 pm to
I am looking at the future months as well. Everyday this week has seen a drop in the later months into next year.
Posted by FowlGuy
Member since Nov 2015
1350 posts
Posted on 5/14/21 at 6:56 pm to

Posted by bee Rye
New orleans
Member since Jan 2006
33962 posts
Posted on 5/16/21 at 2:31 pm to
quote:

People just need to stop buying into the craziness and let the supply catch up


Supply has caught up, don’t get it twisted. There is no shortage of lumber right now. The Home Depot in Kenner had more than I have ever seen before
Posted by 3oliv3
Member since Aug 2016
691 posts
Posted on 5/16/21 at 10:04 pm to
Lol I came here to post the exact same thing. Went to rent a tool at HD in Kenner and was amazed by the amount of wood. Stacked floor to ceiling inside and taking up a huge portion of the parking lot too.
Posted by SlidellCajun
Slidell la
Member since May 2019
10436 posts
Posted on 5/17/21 at 5:26 am to
Spoke to a builder last week who told me that people are starting to cancel their home building projects so that could be an indication that a slowdown is amidst.

This guy builds up to 8 semi to full custom homes a year.
Posted by Art Vandelay
LOUISIANA
Member since Sep 2005
10702 posts
Posted on 5/17/21 at 9:39 am to
Price dumped this morning more than $300.
Posted by Salmon
On the trails
Member since Feb 2008
83583 posts
Posted on 5/17/21 at 9:49 am to
so my spring projects that I put on hold might be a go for the fall?

Posted by DumpsterFire
Member since Sep 2012
1450 posts
Posted on 5/17/21 at 10:35 am to
quote:

Price dumped this morning more than $300.


Isn't that just because the futures contracts rolled from May 15th expiration to July 15th? I think the cash market is still pretty strong at the moment.
Posted by shoelessjoe
Member since Jul 2006
9914 posts
Posted on 5/17/21 at 10:45 am to
Cash contract is down. Actually the last few days, all contracts have been down. Don’t know if this is something we will continue to see or if it’s just a bump in the road. Congress has been talking about the need to lift tariffs to help prices fall.
Posted by bbvdd
Memphis, TN
Member since Jun 2009
25006 posts
Posted on 5/17/21 at 10:54 am to
quote:

Rates are going to have an impact, so if we see a pretty good rate hike by year’s end, something will give.


If there is one it will be very late in the year but I wouldn't count on it.

Maybe if the fed would stop buying 20-30bn weekly in MBS and Treasuries.
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