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re: How bad are we thinking the crash will be?

Posted on 2/25/21 at 9:01 pm to
Posted by el Gaucho
He/They
Member since Dec 2010
53554 posts
Posted on 2/25/21 at 9:01 pm to
Are you talking to girls bro? That’s cringe
Posted by castorinho
13623 posts
Member since Nov 2010
82099 posts
Posted on 2/25/21 at 9:04 pm to
quote:

I’m thinking Dow 25,000
23%. Meh. I'll take it
Posted by RedStickBR
Member since Sep 2009
14577 posts
Posted on 2/25/21 at 9:46 pm to
quote:

When Money Dies
The Downfall of Money


Grant Williams mentioned both of those on End Game Ep. 14. I’ll also be reading them.
Posted by oklahogjr
Gold Membership
Member since Jan 2010
36786 posts
Posted on 2/25/21 at 9:57 pm to
quote:

I’m thinking Dow 25,000, NASDAQ 10,000 may be a real possibility

You'd have to ask husssss
Posted by SlidellCajun
Slidell la
Member since May 2019
10648 posts
Posted on 2/25/21 at 10:01 pm to
We’re at @1.6% on the 10 year note currently which is 50 basis points higher than it was just a month ago. This is a fast rise and that is a concern.
Also, Today, the 10 year yield exceeded the dividend yield of the S&P 500. A significant mark.

Just 3 years ago, The 10 year note was 3% so we’re
Well off of that.

As the yield increases, we’re going to see stocks run into selling pressure with the biggest gains most vulnerable.

If we hit anywhere near the 3% mark again, I’d expect a correction of plus 20% as retirement money flows to the safer alternative to equities. Not an entirely bad thing really.

I’d be looking into value stocks in this environment
This post was edited on 2/26/21 at 7:02 am
Posted by geauxpurple
New Orleans
Member since Jul 2014
12776 posts
Posted on 2/25/21 at 10:17 pm to
Who knows, but Dow at 25,000? I would not even consider that a major crash. A correction maybe.
Posted by SlidellCajun
Slidell la
Member since May 2019
10648 posts
Posted on 2/26/21 at 6:49 am to
Correction is defined as a drop up to 10% so a drop to 25,000 while not earth shattering, is more than a correction.

I guess since it was just last may that we were at 25,000, it wouldn’t seem like such a big deal and maybe more like a correction.

Posted by Mr.Perfect
Louisiana
Member since Mar 2013
17444 posts
Posted on 2/26/21 at 8:02 am to
Fair point but I would argue at least some relationship as people now expect real guidance and not the covid bogie guidance
Posted by el Gaucho
He/They
Member since Dec 2010
53554 posts
Posted on 2/26/21 at 8:05 am to
Are you still holding on to your pennies baw?
Posted by Mr.Perfect
Louisiana
Member since Mar 2013
17444 posts
Posted on 2/26/21 at 5:31 pm to
Been holding your wife more recently
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