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Minimum Wage - Change my mind, or point me somewhere that can

Posted on 1/21/21 at 11:40 am
Posted by AUjim
America
Member since Dec 2012
3809 posts
Posted on 1/21/21 at 11:40 am
I believe pretty firmly that a $15/hour minimum wage is fool's gold. I'm more than happy to be wrong about that, I just can't seem to find an unbiased, or at least a 2 sided, nuanced discussion regarding the subject that seeks to be intellectually honest about its net effect.

Is it not obvious that companies just pass those expenses on to consumers in the form of higher prices, resulting in actual less spending power for most other people?
Isn't that what we experience now? Hasn't inflation severely outpaced real wages for quite some time?

If you've got some links/podcasts/books or your own qualified opinions, I'd love to hear them.


Posted by Nguyener
Kame House
Member since Mar 2013
21057 posts
Posted on 1/21/21 at 11:44 am to
quote:

or your own qualified opinion


I wrote this up the other day:

Raising the minimum wage devalues my labor while artificially overvaluing less skilled labor which in reality leads to inflation, less available jobs, small businesses that can’t compete, etc. increasing the minimum wage does nothing but hurt everyone who currently makes minimum wage

The current minimum wage is 7.25. So here’s an example to help you understand:

I own a local grocery store.

I have 1 parking lot attendant- $8 per hour
3 cashiers - $10 per hour
1 customer service cashier - $12 per hour
1 floor manager- $15 per hour

A total of $65 per hour operating cost.

All of my employees are happy currently, I pay more than minimum wage to everyone, I’m generous with raises for those who stay a few years, and I have competitive pricing to the big stores and carry some local brands.

The government suddenly raised the minimum wage to $15.

Now suddenly I’m required to pay every single employee I have the managers rate. I can’t afford that, so here’s what I have to do just to keep my business a float:

Parking lot attendant: fired
1 cashier: fired
2 cashier: $15 per hour
1: customer service cashier: $15 an hour
1: Floor manager: $20 per hour

While that looks like raises on paper you have to view it in reality:

I fired two employees and the employees I kept actually got a pay decrease relative to minimum wage instead of the great money they were making and that hurts in the long run as the economy inflates to meet the difference.

In your perfect world I would fire no one and this would happen after the increase, considering relative value to minimum wage:

have 1 parking lot attendant- $16 per hour
3 cashiers - $20 per hour
1 customer service cashier - $25per hour
1 floor manager- $32 per hour

Now my operating costs went from $65 per hour to $133 per hour due to government imposed regulations and I’m somehow just supposed to eat a double in my operating costs? Most of not all small businesses are not operating on margins anywhere near that. But the big box stores can float it out.

So I either raise my prices and alienate my customers and eventually close due to the inability to compete with Walmart.

Or I fire 2 employees and effectively give everyone else a pay decrease.

Or I just close my store and find a new job somewhere. Probably as a manger at Walmart.

Or what often happens and is terrible for communities is I fire all of my skilled labor and managers and just do those jobs myself. Now there is no room for raises or growth and I run a business full of minimum wage unskilled labor with no opportunity for improvement.
This post was edited on 1/21/21 at 11:45 am
Posted by Tigerb869
Member since Feb 2017
323 posts
Posted on 1/21/21 at 11:46 am to
Couldn't have said it any better myself.
This post was edited on 1/21/21 at 11:47 am
Posted by tenderfoot tigah
Red Stick
Member since Sep 2004
11552 posts
Posted on 1/21/21 at 12:01 pm to
quote:

Couldn't have said it any better myself.


Good luck getting a Democrat on your side. They think someone who picks up buggies at a grocery store should make a wage large enough for a family of 4. There should no longer be starter jobs. A buggy boy should make fireman salary.
Posted by lynxcat
Member since Jan 2008
25165 posts
Posted on 1/21/21 at 12:06 pm to
This should be added to the MTB "sticky" references. Great post.
Posted by tigersfan1989
Baton Rouge
Member since Oct 2018
1265 posts
Posted on 1/21/21 at 12:09 pm to
Is the proposed pay increase done all at once or is it a phased in minimum wage increase over a certain time period? The biggest thing I see here is it hasn’t been touched in over 10 years so it hasn’t even kept up with inflation.
This post was edited on 1/21/21 at 12:12 pm
Posted by HoldenOversoul
South Carolina
Member since Oct 2012
520 posts
Posted on 1/21/21 at 12:11 pm to
quote:

They think someone who picks up buggies at a grocery store should make a wage large enough for a family of 4


$15/hour would be what, a little less than $30,000 per year? I'm not sure many folks would be comfortable trying to live off of that.
Posted by jimbeam
University of LSU
Member since Oct 2011
75703 posts
Posted on 1/21/21 at 12:11 pm to
quote:

So I either raise my prices and alienate my customers and eventually close due to the inability to compete with Walmart.
It’s almost like this is the plan
Posted by BigOrangeVols
Knoxville
Member since Jul 2015
3082 posts
Posted on 1/21/21 at 12:12 pm to
I have no economic background but would it make more sense to replace minimum wage with something like a minimum proportional wage? Where a business' minimum wage is determined by its revenue and has a minimum floor. Would that work to curb the Walmarts of the world from profiteering off underpaid labor that the taxpayer then has to subsidize without penalizing the mom-and-pop places that operate on razor-thin margins? And have it be on a sliding scale based on location (Ie not the same in NYC as somewhere in the Boonies).

My personal opinion is that no one working a full-time job should be below the poverty line or reliant on government subsidy - that to me is a failing. So ultimately you want something in place that prevents worker exploitation without hindering entrepreneurism. I do think the federal minimum wage doesn't adequately incorporate all those external factors into figuring the wage for a given area/company but I also don't view that as an excuse to allow companies to undercompensate their labor.
This post was edited on 1/21/21 at 12:14 pm
Posted by jimbeam
University of LSU
Member since Oct 2011
75703 posts
Posted on 1/21/21 at 12:14 pm to
quote:

My personal opinion is that no one working a full-time job should be below the poverty line or reliant on government subsidy
Should dependents be factored into this equation?

Also you do realize that the poverty line is $12,760 for individuals, which is less than minimum wage equivalent
This post was edited on 1/21/21 at 12:16 pm
Posted by tigersfan1989
Baton Rouge
Member since Oct 2018
1265 posts
Posted on 1/21/21 at 12:14 pm to
quote:

My personal opinion is that no one working a full-time job should be below the poverty line or reliant on government subsidy - that to me is a failing


I had this exact same argument on the politics board and got shredded to pieces on this statement
Posted by AUjim
America
Member since Dec 2012
3809 posts
Posted on 1/21/21 at 12:18 pm to
quote:

The biggest thing I see here is it hasn’t been touched in over 10 years so it hasn’t even kept up with inflation.


I'd argue that there are a many, many folks that have salaries that have not kept up with inflation, not just the folks making 7.25/hour.

The employee portion of health insurance premiums and housing alone (in my area and company at least) have required significantly more than a "standard" 2% cost of living increase.
This post was edited on 1/21/21 at 12:21 pm
Posted by BigOrangeVols
Knoxville
Member since Jul 2015
3082 posts
Posted on 1/21/21 at 12:18 pm to
If they're working full-time I would assume yes? Or potentially that's a subset that's a part of the proportional minimum wage? If you're a dependent you fall within a separate compensation bracket? Idk - again, not an economist.

My use of the "poverty line" may not be up to snuff but I think $12,000 is insanely low - that's essentially the median rent of a 1-br in the US alone. I would think all of that would be important to factor into the minimum proportional wage I referenced.
This post was edited on 1/21/21 at 12:26 pm
Posted by tgdk11
Member since Nov 2017
2071 posts
Posted on 1/21/21 at 12:24 pm to
Not a bad argument or approach, but doubling it forces prices that people have grown accustomed to, for any form of goods or services, to be increased by that weighted amount to eat the cost. A 18 yr old summer job shouldn't be forced to pay 15/hr if it doesn't take skill, simply effort or is a basic skill. The same way flipping a burger isn't a 31,200 salary career. They are stepping jobs, that help you as your progress, either with schooling or gaining experience and proving worth and skillets over time. This will encourage people to settle to be a batista, fast food worker, cause why not, their making 31k with no education or skilled background. And they'll get money back on taxes and still qualify for a good bit of government assistance.
Posted by tigersfan1989
Baton Rouge
Member since Oct 2018
1265 posts
Posted on 1/21/21 at 12:26 pm to
It’s a pretty tough situation. If you require companies to pay a higher wage they will close shop and move operations to a country they can pay pennies an hour to do work. The pay gap between lower income and upper income is getting bigger and bigger. Why is it that wal mart can pay so little and result in employees getting government assistant but they can find millions of dollars for executive bonuses and perks? And then the government gives a bail out to these companies using tax payer dollars. Yes ideally you would have high schoolers working the minimum wage jobs but you can’t have a high schooler stocking shelves in the middle of the day on a weekday they are in school. Full time working people still need to fill these jobs as they can’t all be filled with high schoolers. High schoolers can’t be makin those mcspicy arse burners during lunch rush at McDonald’s they are in school.
This post was edited on 1/21/21 at 12:57 pm
Posted by AUjim
America
Member since Dec 2012
3809 posts
Posted on 1/21/21 at 12:27 pm to
It just seems that the way we currently think about minimum wage is far too simple and doesn't even begin to address many issues...

I get and completely agree with the excellent grocery store example above, and I want to say that I tend to believe firmly in the free market...

BUT...Listening to Eric Weinstein and Glenn Beck the other day really challenged me on that. Maybe PURE free markets are incredibly successful, but thats obviously not how we operate, so I'm trying to think through and process all that.

It should be noted.....what I have a hard time reconciling are the wage gaps of top company officers and their front line employees, when said front line employees have to depend on any type of government assistance....which is basically the taxpayers subsidizing vacation homes, etc for those execs...
This post was edited on 1/21/21 at 12:30 pm
Posted by Chucktown_Badger
The banks of the Ashley River
Member since May 2013
36821 posts
Posted on 1/21/21 at 12:30 pm to
quote:

tgdk11


I agree. In short, what happens when the cost of goods adjusts accordingly and the buying power of that $15/hr minimum wage becomes the same as the current minimum wage? Do we go another round of "everyone needs to be paid more because they're scraping by" and raise it yet again, thus causing a vicious cycle of raises, inflation, raises, etc?
Posted by Chucktown_Badger
The banks of the Ashley River
Member since May 2013
36821 posts
Posted on 1/21/21 at 12:31 pm to
quote:

which is basically the taxpayers subsidizing vacation homes, etc for those execs...


Explain this part to me. How are taxpayers subsidizing things for execs?
Posted by bod312
Member since Jul 2015
846 posts
Posted on 1/21/21 at 12:42 pm to
quote:

Isn't that what we experience now? Hasn't inflation severely outpaced real wages for quite some time?


No.

Previous Post Showing Real Median Income
Posted by rintintin
Life is Life
Member since Nov 2008
17058 posts
Posted on 1/21/21 at 12:45 pm to
quote:

I have no economic background but would it make more sense to replace minimum wage with something like a minimum proportional wage? Where a business' minimum wage is determined by its revenue and has a minimum floor.


Basing anything off of revenue is shortsighted. What most people dont realize is even these huge multi-billion dollar businesses have minuscule margins. They profit off of their immense scale, which ultimately means lower prices for consumers.

Guess who are the biggest patrons of the Walmarts of the world? Low income people.

Forcing them to raise operating expenses (e.g. wages) proportionally to other industries with higher margins would ultimately result in them raising prices, thus negatively effecting the very people min-wage proponents are trying to help.

Not to mention result in less employment as they move to more automation.
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