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Started By
Message
239,822 African American voters over the age of 65 have already voted in Georgia.
Posted on 11/2/20 at 4:14 pm
Posted on 11/2/20 at 4:14 pm
Tweeter
Tom Bonier (@tbonier) Tweeted:
239,822 African American voters over the age of 65 have already voted in Georgia. That's 124% of the total 2016 turnout for African American seniors.
More Latino voters have already voted in Georgia (106,292) than voted in the entire 2016 election in the state (96,465).
Meanwhile, white non-college educated voters in Georgia lag behind their 2016 total vote by 439,513 votes.
I’m sure all those over 65 African American votes were filled out by the owner.
Tom Bonier (@tbonier) Tweeted:
239,822 African American voters over the age of 65 have already voted in Georgia. That's 124% of the total 2016 turnout for African American seniors.
More Latino voters have already voted in Georgia (106,292) than voted in the entire 2016 election in the state (96,465).
Meanwhile, white non-college educated voters in Georgia lag behind their 2016 total vote by 439,513 votes.
I’m sure all those over 65 African American votes were filled out by the owner.
35
Posted on 11/2/20 at 4:15 pm to HogBalls
Maybe GA is in play for the Dems
Posted on 11/2/20 at 4:15 pm to HogBalls
This doesn’t jive at all what what I’m seeing - black vote is down over all so his Hispanic - this is shady if true
Posted on 11/2/20 at 4:15 pm to HogBalls
I’m sure they will throw out most of those
Posted on 11/2/20 at 4:15 pm to HogBalls
That doesn't sound like voter suppression to me
Posted on 11/2/20 at 4:15 pm to HogBalls
that's not a good sign
Posted on 11/2/20 at 4:16 pm to HogBalls
Wouldn't that be the demographic that can remember TRUE voter suppression?
Posted on 11/2/20 at 4:17 pm to HogBalls
It's a little scary in that it seemed strange to me how long the networks held up the Georgia call in 2016. Trump won it fairly easily yet it was called very late (and very quietly) in the night.
All the people we've been trusting on this board though say not to worry about GA.
Also - if GA somehow did flip b/c of unprecedented older AA turnout it still wouldn't be a deathknell so long as Trump wins 2 out of the Upper Midwest 4 (PA, MI, WI, MN).
It really doesn't make sense though - we took and survived their best shot with an AA woman heading up their ticket in a strong blue election with no Trump on the ballot in 2018 and survived. I can't imagine losing with Trump at the top of the ticket.
Also we fended off a challenge in 2016/17 with a bad candidate (Handel) over a good candidate (Ossoff) in the immediate aftermath of the REEEEEEEEsist rage right in the EXACT area of suburban women that we were supposed to get slaughtered with.
All the people we've been trusting on this board though say not to worry about GA.
Also - if GA somehow did flip b/c of unprecedented older AA turnout it still wouldn't be a deathknell so long as Trump wins 2 out of the Upper Midwest 4 (PA, MI, WI, MN).
It really doesn't make sense though - we took and survived their best shot with an AA woman heading up their ticket in a strong blue election with no Trump on the ballot in 2018 and survived. I can't imagine losing with Trump at the top of the ticket.
Also we fended off a challenge in 2016/17 with a bad candidate (Handel) over a good candidate (Ossoff) in the immediate aftermath of the REEEEEEEEsist rage right in the EXACT area of suburban women that we were supposed to get slaughtered with.
This post was edited on 11/2/20 at 4:29 pm
Posted on 11/2/20 at 4:18 pm to HogBalls
Who is that guy, and why should I believe him?
Posted on 11/2/20 at 4:18 pm to HogBalls
So they weren’t motivated enough to get out and vote for a black woman for Governor but they were for this election?
One of two things going on here:
1. Massive fraud
2. The difference in those voting in 2016 and this time is the number voting for Trump.
#1 is way more likely.
One of two things going on here:
1. Massive fraud
2. The difference in those voting in 2016 and this time is the number voting for Trump.
#1 is way more likely.
Posted on 11/2/20 at 4:19 pm to HogBalls
But muh Blexit!
Posted on 11/2/20 at 4:19 pm to HogBalls
Stacy Abrams mobilized her base.
Posted on 11/2/20 at 4:22 pm to HogBalls
Maybe were overthinking this a bit? Could it be as simple as white non college educated voters are the demographic lost likely to
Vote on Election Day?
Vote on Election Day?
Posted on 11/2/20 at 4:23 pm to HogBalls
quote:
white non-college educated voters
Are voting on Election Day. That is my only takeaway from these numbers
Posted on 11/2/20 at 4:24 pm to HogBalls
This board says Georgia is safe, right?
Lose Georgia and we have to have Michigan to offset and still win Wisconsin or Minny or Penn.
Lose Georgia and we have to have Michigan to offset and still win Wisconsin or Minny or Penn.
Posted on 11/2/20 at 4:26 pm to HogBalls
239K blacks over 65? You know they have been lied to and promised so many things by Dems over the last 50 years that they are probably ready to support someone that has actually done some things for the black community.
Posted on 11/2/20 at 4:27 pm to HogBalls
Target Smart CEO is probably lying.
Posted on 11/2/20 at 4:29 pm to HogBalls
Guys,
I’ve been traveling to GA for work for 10 years. I was in ATL metro in 16 and there weren’t near the number of Hillary signs than there are of Biden signs. Even Wealthy suburbs like Druid Hills were loaded with Biden signs.
I’m not making a prediction that GA turn Blue. I’m just telling you Biden will get more votes than HRC did in 16
I’ve been traveling to GA for work for 10 years. I was in ATL metro in 16 and there weren’t near the number of Hillary signs than there are of Biden signs. Even Wealthy suburbs like Druid Hills were loaded with Biden signs.
I’m not making a prediction that GA turn Blue. I’m just telling you Biden will get more votes than HRC did in 16
Posted on 11/2/20 at 4:37 pm to HogBalls
THis is very bad news for Trump. I know his share of black voters is looking better but it’s the younger black generations that are more open to voting R. The elderly blacks are solidly on the D plantation and will never leave
Posted on 11/2/20 at 4:42 pm to HogBalls
This is pretty misleading.
It compares “already voted” AA metrics to “vote total” uneducated whites metrics in a covid 19 era.
I would expect AAs over the age of 65 to have voted more by now as they are a high risk demo and are voting early. Their total may not go up much on Election Day. Granted, their total is up entirely versus 2016.
However, the tweet declines to tell us how “lagging behind 440k the 2016 total” compares to early voting for uneducated whites. For all we know, it may be up insanely high from 2016.
Roughly 1.6m uneducated whites voted in Georgia in 2016. If they’re off 440k from their total, that means 1.1-1.2m have already voted in a demographic that typically shows up heavily on Election Day.
I can’t find any data describing just how much of that particular demographic shows up on Election Day, but I’d imagine they’ll make up ground.
It compares “already voted” AA metrics to “vote total” uneducated whites metrics in a covid 19 era.
I would expect AAs over the age of 65 to have voted more by now as they are a high risk demo and are voting early. Their total may not go up much on Election Day. Granted, their total is up entirely versus 2016.
However, the tweet declines to tell us how “lagging behind 440k the 2016 total” compares to early voting for uneducated whites. For all we know, it may be up insanely high from 2016.
Roughly 1.6m uneducated whites voted in Georgia in 2016. If they’re off 440k from their total, that means 1.1-1.2m have already voted in a demographic that typically shows up heavily on Election Day.
I can’t find any data describing just how much of that particular demographic shows up on Election Day, but I’d imagine they’ll make up ground.
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