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re: Trump internal numbers released! Well.... I don't know what to say

Posted on 11/2/20 at 2:43 pm to
Posted by LSURussian
Member since Feb 2005
127359 posts
Posted on 11/2/20 at 2:43 pm to
quote:

Nothing in that link constitutes the Trump campaign's internal numbers.
Do you mean except for the big headline at the top of the page???
quote:

TRUMP Campaign Manager Releases Internal Swing State Numbers
Posted by SDVTiger
Cabo San Lucas
Member since Nov 2011
75230 posts
Posted on 11/2/20 at 2:43 pm to
quote:

Oh, nice hedge. Convenient how your prediction is utterly unverifiable. California will give all 55 Electoral Votes to Joe Biden and will be by more than a 15% margin.


Congrats on the big win broham
Posted by Indefatigable
Member since Jan 2019
27563 posts
Posted on 11/2/20 at 2:43 pm to
quote:

Screw you. Nothing more than a dickhead. Always have been and always will be.


You know that if you didn't blatantly lie in 90% of your thread titles and your OPs that you wouldn't get as much shite on here, right?
This post was edited on 11/2/20 at 2:45 pm
Posted by Indefatigable
Member since Jan 2019
27563 posts
Posted on 11/2/20 at 2:44 pm to
quote:

Do you mean except for the big headline at the top of the page???


No. I read the headline. Absolutely ZERO information in the article constitutes internal polling numbers. Every single data point is publically available information.
Posted by Jjdoc
Cali
Member since Mar 2016
53630 posts
Posted on 11/2/20 at 2:46 pm to
quote:

You know that if you didn't blatantly lie in 90% of your thread titles and your OPs that you wouldn't get as much shite on here, right?


Moron.

Posted by Pecker
Rocky Top
Member since May 2015
16674 posts
Posted on 11/2/20 at 2:47 pm to
quote:

For GA to be considered just a Lean R really pisses me off.

Thanks Atlanta...

b-b-but Trump is winning over all the black voters, no? You mean they're not #WalkingAway?
Posted by BeefDawg
Atlanta
Member since Sep 2012
4747 posts
Posted on 11/2/20 at 2:47 pm to
quote:

I'll go 15+% win for Biden in California. Easily
LOL, if Biden only gets around 15-20% in a state Hillary got over 30% in, then you must know in your gut that Trump is going to wipe the floor with Biden in every swing-state.

You just let your confidence cat out of the bag, dopey.
Posted by moneyg
Member since Jun 2006
56955 posts
Posted on 11/2/20 at 2:48 pm to
quote:

b-b-but Trump is winning over all the black voters, no? You mean they're not #WalkingAway?


Are you saying that Trump isn't going to win over more black voters than 2016?
Posted by pollopolli
Member since Oct 2020
6 posts
Posted on 11/2/20 at 2:49 pm to
@BillStepien

https://threadreaderapp.com/thread/1323329137734397954.html
https://threadreaderapp.com/thread/1323330666763743232.html

"So there has been a lot of bluster, from pollsters and pundits, about what we should expect tomorrow. President Trump has the momentum in this race and the math available to him to win on Election Day.
President Trump is ahead of where he was in 2016, by a very key measure. It’s the measure that actually matters. Votes cast, and votes left to be cast. You’ve been seeing reports of Democrats being nervous, and well, they should be.

- Let’s start in Ohio, where Joe Biden is wasting a few hours today. Weeks ago the partisan makeup of the electorate was D +10, today it’s D +0.6. Going into E Day in 2016, the gap was D +2.5. Pres. Trump has a projected Election Day votes cast margin of over 400k net votes.

- Pres. Trump rallied in North Carolina this morning. Democrats jumped out to a D +32 advantage during AB only voting. Today it’s D +5.8. Going into Election Day in 2016, the gap was D +9.7. Pres. Trump has a projected Election Day votes cast margin of over 400k net votes.

- Pres. Trump and Biden are then heading to Pennsylvania. Dems have banked A TON of high propensity voters. We have millions of voters left. Pres. Trump’s E Day margin needs to be significant and we project an Election Day votes cast margin of over a million for Pres. Trump.

- Don Jr. is in Arizona today to etch the state into our win column. Weeks ago the makeup of the electorate was D +11.9, today it’s D +1.2. Reminder: going into E Day in 2016, the gap was D +2.5. Pres. Trump has a projected Election Day votes cast margin of over 150k net votes.

- What about Florida? Democrats jumped out to a D +18.8 advantage during AB-only voting. Today it’s D +1. Going into Election Day in 2016, the gap was D +1.4. President Trump has a projected Election Day votes cast margin of over 500k net votes.

- Pres. Trump will head to Kenosha later today. In Wisconsin, weeks ago the partisan makeup of the electorate was D +12.3 - today it’s D +5.9. Going into Election Day in ‘16, the gap was D +9.6. Pres. Trump has a projected Election Day votes cast margin of over 100k net votes.

- Nevada? Democrats jumped out to a D +27.3 advantage during AB only voting. Today it’s D +5. Flashback: going into Election Day in 2016, the gap was D +7.9. President Trump has a projected Election Day votes cast margin of over 50k net votes.

- Like 2016, Pres. Trump will end the day in Michigan. Congrats: Democrats have banked their high propensity voters. We have nearly 2 million voters left. Pres. Trump’s E Day margin needs to be 350k - we project an Election Day votes cast margin of 400k+ for Pres. Trump.

Look, it’s pretty simple - if the voters that we KNOW are still out there for Election Day show up ON Election Day, President Trump has four more years at 1600 Pennsylvania Avenue."
Posted by SDVTiger
Cabo San Lucas
Member since Nov 2011
75230 posts
Posted on 11/2/20 at 2:49 pm to
quote:

LOL, if Biden only gets around 15-20% in a state Hillary got over 30% in, then you must know in your gut that Trump is going to wipe the floor with Biden in every swing-state.



Hes not a smart person
If Trump loses by under 15% that's essentially a yuge W and he probably gets the pop vote
Posted by Indefatigable
Member since Jan 2019
27563 posts
Posted on 11/2/20 at 2:49 pm to
quote:

if Biden only gets around 15-20% in a state Hillary got over 30% in, then you must know in your gut that Trump is going to wipe the floor with Biden in every swing-state.

You just let your confidence cat out of the bag, dopey.


I voted for President Trump, fool And I think he can win.

I just find the OP's constant lying and SDVTiger's trolling about California to be objectionable
Posted by Jjdoc
Cali
Member since Mar 2016
53630 posts
Posted on 11/2/20 at 2:50 pm to
quote:

. Absolutely ZERO information in the article constitutes internal polling numbers.


Your stupid. And a dick.


From the Campaign manager:

Pres. Trump has a projected Election Day votes cast margin of over 100k net votes.

That's internal numbers dumb arse

Pres. Trump’s E Day margin needs to be 350k - we project an Election Day votes cast margin of 400k+ for Pres. Trump.

Internal numbers... DUMBASS



Posted by Pecker
Rocky Top
Member since May 2015
16674 posts
Posted on 11/2/20 at 2:50 pm to
quote:


Are you saying that Trump isn't going to win over more black voters than 2016?

You tell me. Did I say that? Did you read that?
Posted by Pecker
Rocky Top
Member since May 2015
16674 posts
Posted on 11/2/20 at 2:51 pm to
quote:

Hes not a smart person
the irony in this post
Posted by Indefatigable
Member since Jan 2019
27563 posts
Posted on 11/2/20 at 2:52 pm to
quote:

Hes not a smart person
If Trump loses by under 15% that's essentially a yuge W and he probably gets the pop vote



Once again, my point has never been that Trump loses the election.

The only thing you and I have been discussing is where CA's electoral votes go. You keep trolling that they will be awarded to President Trump, which is absolutely never going to happen. Of course your latest caveat that "well, only Election Day votes matter" has relieved you of being totally wrong, I guess.

Nothing about that conversation has anything to do with the overall winner of the Election. Trump's victory or defeat will be totally and completely divorced from the result in California.
Posted by mtopdawg421
Middle GA
Member since Aug 2017
987 posts
Posted on 11/2/20 at 2:52 pm to
quote:

b-b-but Trump is winning over all the black voters, no? You mean they're not #WalkingAway?


You do realize Atlanta is a transplant haven for many liberals that aren't black right?

And as far as Trump winning black voters, he won this ones vote...well half.
Posted by SDVTiger
Cabo San Lucas
Member since Nov 2011
75230 posts
Posted on 11/2/20 at 2:53 pm to
quote:

SDVTiger's trolling about California


Why exactly am I trolling
There was 1,000 boat parade in the harbor yesterday
5k ppl marching in Bev hills
Another 3k in Huntington Beach
Miles long car parade in SVF
Trump signs all over the state

This did not happen in 2016
Sorry you are a moron who hasnt ever been to this state telling me what's going on
Posted by Indefatigable
Member since Jan 2019
27563 posts
Posted on 11/2/20 at 2:53 pm to
quote:

From the Campaign manager:

Pres. Trump has a projected Election Day votes cast margin of over 100k net votes.



quote:

Pres. Trump’s E Day margin needs to be 350k - we project an Election Day votes cast margin of 400k+ for Pres. Trump.


Wait, so the thread you started on "Trump internal numbers" contains ZERO actual internal numbers and two oblique references to turnout based purely on 2016 vote totals? Interesting.
Posted by LSU Patrick
Member since Jan 2009
73659 posts
Posted on 11/2/20 at 2:54 pm to
quote:

So Trump’s pals are more confident in PA than FL?


I think they are expecting a bigger Trump turnout in Florida than Pennsylvania on election day.
Posted by Indefatigable
Member since Jan 2019
27563 posts
Posted on 11/2/20 at 2:55 pm to
quote:

There was 1,000 boat parade in the harbor yesterday
5k ppl marching in Bev hills
Another 3k in Huntington Beach
Miles long car parade in SVF
Trump signs all over the state


There are almost 40 million people in California. You are either trolling or stupid. Because everyone at every event you just cited could vote for Trump and it would still be a rounding error in the CA state totals. Your anecdotal evidence from the reddest part of the population in a deep blue state is meaningless.

No one doubts that there are millions of republicans in California. They ARE outnumbered, by a shite ton.
This post was edited on 11/2/20 at 2:57 pm
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