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Vegas Odds For The Election
Posted on 10/12/20 at 10:55 pm
Posted on 10/12/20 at 10:55 pm
As of now:
Biden: -200
Trump: +170
Is Vegas only looking at polls or something? Based on perceived enthusiasm on the ground for each of these candidates, this line is a bit surprising in its leaning towards Biden.
Maybe I just don't get Vegas lines though...I've never bet on anything before.
Biden: -200
Trump: +170
Is Vegas only looking at polls or something? Based on perceived enthusiasm on the ground for each of these candidates, this line is a bit surprising in its leaning towards Biden.
Maybe I just don't get Vegas lines though...I've never bet on anything before.
9
Posted on 10/12/20 at 10:55 pm to dreigh
What was it in 2016?
Posted on 10/12/20 at 10:55 pm to dreigh
We are 3 weeks out.
Get the money in for now, is the plan.
Get the money in for now, is the plan.
Posted on 10/12/20 at 10:56 pm to tigerfan84
(no message)
This post was edited on 1/11/21 at 4:19 pm
Posted on 10/12/20 at 10:57 pm to dreigh
Lock that money line in 100k on trump to win if not we will be socialisf and the casinos wont stay open to collect the debt. Its a win win
Posted on 10/12/20 at 10:58 pm to tigerfan84
Wider...I would be guessing.
Different year, different circumstances though. I’d expect the incumbent not to be up against this line.
Trump’s ground game has seemed STRONG too, I just don’t see how people are putting their money on Harris/Biden at this point, regardless of political affiliation.
Different year, different circumstances though. I’d expect the incumbent not to be up against this line.
Trump’s ground game has seemed STRONG too, I just don’t see how people are putting their money on Harris/Biden at this point, regardless of political affiliation.
Posted on 10/12/20 at 11:00 pm to gobuxgo5
quote:
I cashed out on Trump at +600 election night
Damn, respect!
Posted on 10/12/20 at 11:12 pm to dreigh
quote:
As of now:
Biden: -200
Trump: +170
Is Vegas only looking at polls or something? Based on perceived enthusiasm on the ground for each of these candidates, this line is a bit surprising in its leaning towards Biden.
Maybe I just don't get Vegas lines though...I've never bet on anything before.
They aren't trying to make a prediction. They are trying to get equal money on each side. It's all about risk mitigation.
If they get a 50/50 split they still win huge.
Posted on 10/12/20 at 11:26 pm to Sisyphus
quote:
They aren't trying to make a prediction. They are trying to get equal money on each side. It's all about risk mitigation. If they get a 50/50 split they still win huge.
Right...but the current line would indicate that many people have bet on Biden, yes?
So then: Are people really so tunnel-visioned as to only focus on MSM polls to influence the bets they place with their hard earned cash?! There is literally NOTHING else I see that indicates a Biden victory.
Posted on 10/12/20 at 11:34 pm to dreigh
quote:
Are people really so tunnel-visioned as to only focus on MSM polls to influence the bets they place with their hard earned cash?!
Fools and their money are soon parted.
Posted on 10/12/20 at 11:35 pm to Big Jim Slade
quote:
Fools and their money are soon parted.
Well said.
Posted on 10/12/20 at 11:48 pm to dreigh
Democrats aren't going to rallies because of the pandemic.
Posted on 10/12/20 at 11:55 pm to CrimsonFever
quote:
Democrats aren't going to rallies because of the pandemic.
So...Dems are just at home...passionately providing poll responses? What’s your point?
Posted on 10/12/20 at 11:57 pm to tigerfan84
quote:
What was it in 2016?
Even a week out it was all in for Hillary, don’t remember the actual odds , but Vegas missed huge.
Posted on 10/12/20 at 11:58 pm to dreigh
That looking at the size of Trumps rallies compared to Biden's is a bad measure of who is gonna win the election.
Democrats are obviously more worried about the pandemic than most Trump supporters.
Democrats are obviously more worried about the pandemic than most Trump supporters.
Posted on 10/13/20 at 12:00 am to CrimsonFever
Democrats had no problems going to huge protests in June.
Stop with the excuses my friend
Stop with the excuses my friend
Posted on 10/13/20 at 12:02 am to CrimsonFever
quote:
Democrats aren't going to rallies because of the pandemic.
I can't tell if you're being sarcastic, but Biden is just not an exciting candidate. He has no energy and keeps messing up names, statistics, etc., on a daily basis. He's hard to watch. If there was no pandemic, there still wouldn't be much excitement in public for him.
This post was edited on 10/13/20 at 12:03 am
Posted on 10/13/20 at 12:04 am to CrimsonFever
quote:
That looking at the size of Trumps rallies compared to Biden's is a bad measure of who is gonna win the election. Democrats are obviously more worried about the pandemic than most Trump supporters.
Yet Democrats have no problem attending “peaceful protests.”
If I’ve learned anything this year, it’s that people will show up in person for whatever fires them up, pandemic be damned.
How do you explain Dems willing to pack the streets in May/June/July...but not show up to support their Democratic nominee...at all?? It can’t be pandemic fear, behavior over the summer simply doesn’t support that.
Posted on 10/13/20 at 12:09 am to HailHailtoMichigan!
Thats a fair point.
I dont think those people support Biden, they may vote for him as a vote against Trump, if they vote at all, but they arent vocal Biden supporters and wouldnt go to his rally.
I dont think those people support Biden, they may vote for him as a vote against Trump, if they vote at all, but they arent vocal Biden supporters and wouldnt go to his rally.
This post was edited on 10/13/20 at 12:15 am
Posted on 10/13/20 at 12:18 am to CrimsonFever
The following 2 points aren’t mutually exclusive and actually are likely reality
1) Biden suffers from severe enthusiasm problems. There are very few Americans who are “Bidensters”, even though there are tons of Obamabots, Trumpkins, sandersistas
2) Biden’s enthusiasm issues don’t matter because so many Americans are voting for him to get Trump out
Biden has the most disjointed political coalition I have ever seen: a skeptical progressive left who sees him as a vehicle to get their policy through
and hordes of right-leaning suburban voters who hate trump’s conduct but also hate socialism, taxes, etc
Josh kraushaar over at National journal asked a good question a few weeks ago
“If biden wins, what happens to his coalition after the common enemy is gone?”
There is zero way to please both AOC and a white rich woman in the suburbs
1) Biden suffers from severe enthusiasm problems. There are very few Americans who are “Bidensters”, even though there are tons of Obamabots, Trumpkins, sandersistas
2) Biden’s enthusiasm issues don’t matter because so many Americans are voting for him to get Trump out
Biden has the most disjointed political coalition I have ever seen: a skeptical progressive left who sees him as a vehicle to get their policy through
and hordes of right-leaning suburban voters who hate trump’s conduct but also hate socialism, taxes, etc
Josh kraushaar over at National journal asked a good question a few weeks ago
“If biden wins, what happens to his coalition after the common enemy is gone?”
There is zero way to please both AOC and a white rich woman in the suburbs
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