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re: Swing states, what the polls are showing

Posted on 8/23/20 at 8:51 am to
Posted by uppermidwestbama
Member since Nov 2014
2097 posts
Posted on 8/23/20 at 8:51 am to
quote:

Either MN is off, or WI is off.


Likely MN's is wrong. WI's I bet isn't that far off from being correct, but it will be closer than the poll data shows.
Posted by SDVTiger
Cabo San Lucas
Member since Nov 2011
74788 posts
Posted on 8/23/20 at 8:53 am to
Trump is gonna win Cali and NY
Posted by uppermidwestbama
Member since Nov 2014
2097 posts
Posted on 8/23/20 at 8:54 am to
quote:

You are going to be so unhappy on Nov 4th.

Trump will win all 57 states.


I'm not going to be unhappy regardless of who wins. I view them all being the same party anyways - just with radicals far left and far right. There's really no big difference between the two parties when you break everything down into what actually transpires, not just spoken words on campaign trails.
Posted by IslandBuckeye
Boca Chica, Panama
Member since Apr 2018
10067 posts
Posted on 8/23/20 at 8:57 am to
quote:

Playing around with this map you can see how hard it is going to be for Trump to win.


So this is how you spend your weekend?

Hopes and dreams.

Looking forward to seeing you here in November. Stay hydrated. The volume of your tears could lead to health issues.

ETA: aren't you the guy that posted "the election results will not matter"? If so you spend in inordinate amount of time on something that will not matter. Even more sad.
This post was edited on 8/23/20 at 9:00 am
Posted by SCLibertarian
Conway, South Carolina
Member since Aug 2013
36357 posts
Posted on 8/23/20 at 8:58 am to
quote:

Florida - Biden +8

This right here is all you need to know this poll is absolute bullshite.
Posted by awestruck
Member since Jan 2015
10988 posts
Posted on 8/23/20 at 8:59 am to
Convention bump...

... numbers will change next week and next convention.


And then after the other bump levels out the polls might begin to be substantive.
Posted by awestruck
Member since Jan 2015
10988 posts
Posted on 8/23/20 at 9:00 am to
might
Posted by tiggerthetooth
Big Momma's House
Member since Oct 2010
61446 posts
Posted on 8/23/20 at 9:00 am to
That interview with Debbie Dingell lacks so much self-awareness.


The gem:

quote:

Dingell: I got yesterday, from somebody, something called a confession. [Editor’s note: It was a viral, anonymous social-media post.] I used to think I was pretty much just a regular person. But I was born white into a two-parent household, which now labels me as privileged, racist, and responsible for slavery. I’m a fiscal and moral conservative, which by today’s standards makes me a fascist because I plan a budget. But I now find out that I’m not here because I earned it, but because I was advantaged … I think and I reason, and I doubt much of what the mainstream media tells me, which makes me a right-wing conspiracy nut. I’m proud of my heritage and our inclusive American culture. It makes me a xenophobe.




quote:

That’s what I’m worried about. This letter right here is what worries me.

Godfrey: What do you mean?

Dingell: Donald Trump is trying to divide us with fear and hatred. And he’s using [these] wedge issues. I went to a neighborhood the other day and counted 100 Blue Lives Matter signs.




Her last statement pretty much reveals her mindset.

The Democrat rhetoric for 5+ years now has been mega anti-white. Then she hears someone express their views on that rhetoric and she immediately goes into blaming Donald Trump....

How can these people be so unaware? They seem to struggle deeply with self-reflection. They have no even a smidgeon of a thought that THEY could be the problem.

This why we call it TDS, because you have to deliberately ignore so many prevalent factors to conclude everything is Donald Trump's fault and nothing is your fault and Democrats are actually perfect, they just need to get that message out there better.
This post was edited on 8/23/20 at 9:02 am
Posted by Quidam65
Q Continuum
Member since Jun 2010
19316 posts
Posted on 8/23/20 at 9:01 am to
Utah =/= "swing state". Nor Virginia.
Posted by DougsMugs
Georgia
Member since Aug 2019
8239 posts
Posted on 8/23/20 at 9:02 am to
Trump might take NYC. That will be earth shaking.

Biden is having to run a ton of ads in NYC because of his internal polling.
Posted by Bayoubred
Parts Unknown
Member since Jan 2011
3425 posts
Posted on 8/23/20 at 9:05 am to
Uhmmm??? With everything, including the entire Rust Belt in Biden's favor on that map, he only wins by 8. If he loses ANY STATE off that map then Biden is toast!

TRUMP by a landslide. period.
Posted by viceman
Huntsville, AL
Member since Aug 2016
30688 posts
Posted on 8/23/20 at 9:07 am to
quote:

what the polls are showing

Posted by Vols&Shaft83
Throbbing Member
Member since Dec 2012
69953 posts
Posted on 8/23/20 at 9:15 am to
quote:

Virginia - Biden +11


Lol at VA still being considered a swing state

NOVA has turned that state into an automatic Democrat win. Which is sad because the rest of the state is solid RED with the exception of Richmond and Petersburg.

A republican candidate could be winning by 15% with every precinct counted, except those in Fairfax, Manassas, and Alexandria, and still lose.
Posted by the808bass
The Lou
Member since Oct 2012
111758 posts
Posted on 8/23/20 at 9:15 am to
quote:

Arizona - Biden +9
Florida - Biden +8


The pollsters don’t even believe those numbers.
Posted by Eli Goldfinger
Member since Sep 2016
32785 posts
Posted on 8/23/20 at 9:15 am to
Any poll categorizing Utah as a swing state is a joke.
Posted by RuLSU
Chicago, IL
Member since Nov 2007
8122 posts
Posted on 8/23/20 at 9:16 am to
quote:

Trump is gonna win Cali and NY



I guess we’ll just wait and see on that.
Posted by Vols&Shaft83
Throbbing Member
Member since Dec 2012
69953 posts
Posted on 8/23/20 at 9:18 am to
quote:

Trump might take NYC.


Not a chance in hell.
Posted by the808bass
The Lou
Member since Oct 2012
111758 posts
Posted on 8/23/20 at 9:20 am to
My god. It’s a ghost.
Posted by Vols&Shaft83
Throbbing Member
Member since Dec 2012
69953 posts
Posted on 8/23/20 at 9:22 am to
quote:

My god. It’s a ghost.


He lives

Posted by NC_Tigah
Carolinas
Member since Sep 2003
124542 posts
Posted on 8/23/20 at 9:24 am to
quote:

Likely MN's is wrong
IAW 2016 results/accuracy, the polling firm responsible for the MN numbers runs the most credible survey in operation today.
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