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re: Serious Prediction Trump or Biden?

Posted on 7/19/20 at 12:52 pm to
Posted by memphis tiger
Memphis, TN
Member since Feb 2006
20720 posts
Posted on 7/19/20 at 12:52 pm to
quote:


It's going to be closer than a lot of people think. There is a lot of hate for Trump and a push to get people to vote from mostly Democrats, at least from what you see in the news and media


It’s going to be close because no matter what Trump does CA, NY, IL, WA and OR or going blue. That’s a lot of electoral votes that republicans have zero chance at.
Posted by Keltic Tiger
Baton Rouge
Member since Dec 2006
19480 posts
Posted on 7/19/20 at 12:52 pm to
Trump supporters historically do not poll accurately as many are that silent majority & want to keep it that way. 2016 proved that polls are meaningless.
Posted by memphis tiger
Memphis, TN
Member since Feb 2006
20720 posts
Posted on 7/19/20 at 12:53 pm to
quote:

I have little doubt that Biden will win the popular vote.


I’m not sure. If Trump wins I think get gets no the the popular vote and electoral vote this time.

There isn’t much excitement for Biden and I think a lot of moderate Dems just stay home this time.
Posted by gthog61
Irving, TX
Member since Nov 2009
71001 posts
Posted on 7/19/20 at 12:56 pm to
quote:

I don’t trust polls but I absolutely trust gamblers and betting odds. The betting odds are not looking good for Trump right now.



Do tell us what makes bettors political experts

Did they have the 2016 election pegged from start to finish?
Posted by memphis tiger
Memphis, TN
Member since Feb 2006
20720 posts
Posted on 7/19/20 at 12:56 pm to
quote:

It would help if the covid numbers would start decreasing in the next few weeks.


And that’s exactly why Dems want more testing. Because more testing means more positive results.

Who cares if most of those positive tests are completely asymptomatic. They will still spin it as people dying because of Trump.
Posted by Route 66
Member since May 2020
15 posts
Posted on 7/19/20 at 12:56 pm to
Voted for Trump once...never again. He said...you knew I was a snake when you took me in. Well, he definitely turned out to be just that. Having a clown run the Big Top has proven to be an American disaster. Wake up y’all.
Posted by FlexDawg
Member since Jan 2018
12844 posts
Posted on 7/19/20 at 12:57 pm to
You shouldn’t have to ask this question. Only insecure people think Biden will win.
Posted by MusclesofBrussels
Member since Dec 2015
4572 posts
Posted on 7/19/20 at 1:00 pm to
Uncle Joe is about to put a whipping on Trump
Posted by Pisco
Mayfield, Kentucky
Member since Dec 2019
3809 posts
Posted on 7/19/20 at 1:00 pm to
Trump landslide. Polls vastly underestimate the secret support he has. Trump supporters are not participating in mail-in surveys, robocalls, online polls. I’ve yet to see a Biden sign compared to the amount of Trump 2020 flags and hats.

Everybody has to understand the media is trying to pump up their election ratings. If it was a landslide they were predicting, nobody would watch. The media has an agenda. I’m telling you that the closer it gets to November, the polls will tighten up and then they can say it’s a dead heat. When he wins, they’ll say it was within the margin of error.

My prediction: Trump wins handily. GOP hangs on to Senate by slim margin. Dems hold house but by single digits.
Posted by memphis tiger
Memphis, TN
Member since Feb 2006
20720 posts
Posted on 7/19/20 at 1:01 pm to
quote:

Trump will win, and I cannot wait for the debates.


There won’t be any debates. The Dems know that the best chance Biden has is to hide and not get on a stage with Trump where he might go off script.
Posted by Janky
Team Primo
Member since Jun 2011
35957 posts
Posted on 7/19/20 at 1:02 pm to
quote:

Route 66
Member since May 2020
4 posts


Posted by Redleg Guy
Member since Nov 2012
2536 posts
Posted on 7/19/20 at 1:05 pm to
quote:

There won’t be any debates.

Exactly, who needs the debates more? The answer is easy, Trump needs the debates more which means Biden’s team will either not do them (which the media will support) or negotiate them in a way to completely benefit Biden.
Posted by snizzle
Metairie
Member since Dec 2012
436 posts
Posted on 7/19/20 at 1:08 pm to
Trump will win easily. People vote for their check books and the economy was booming before this Covid bs. It's going to be awesome once he doesn't have to worry about re-election.
Posted by Bass Tiger
Member since Oct 2014
46686 posts
Posted on 7/19/20 at 1:13 pm to
If the debates take place with a live audience and no questions are given in advance to Biden I believe Trump gets over 340 electoral votes.....if they manage to keep Biden in the basement it gonna be a close election.
Posted by memphis tiger
Memphis, TN
Member since Feb 2006
20720 posts
Posted on 7/19/20 at 1:21 pm to
quote:


Exactly, who needs the debates more? The answer is easy, Trump needs the debates more which means Biden’s team will either not do them (which the media will support) or negotiate them in a way to completely benefit Biden.


I’m wouldn’t say that Trump needs the debates. I would say Biden’s team is terrified of debates.
Posted by boogiewoogie1978
Little Rock
Member since Aug 2012
17169 posts
Posted on 7/19/20 at 1:21 pm to
Trump has Hillary level hate so that will carry Biden
Posted by Eli Goldfinger
Member since Sep 2016
32785 posts
Posted on 7/19/20 at 1:28 pm to
quote:

I don’t trust polls but I absolutely trust gamblers and betting odds.


Is there any way to look at the odds for 2016?
Posted by hogcard1964
Illinois
Member since Jan 2017
10780 posts
Posted on 7/19/20 at 1:38 pm to
Trump and it won't be as close as a lot of people think. The average American can see what's going on within the country and should realize that this isn't what America should look like.

Does everyone remember during one of these shart show debates when the question asked; 'Should undocumented immigrants be given free health care?' The inbred raised his arm.
Posted by CrimsonShadow
Montgomery
Member since Nov 2015
1278 posts
Posted on 7/19/20 at 1:42 pm to


TRUMP with at least 65%, possibly 75%.

Posted by Wednesday
Member since Aug 2017
15559 posts
Posted on 7/19/20 at 1:45 pm to
Trump
Minor win on popular vote
Larger EC Margin
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