re: Utah, Big 12 champ or Bama for final 4th spot?

quote:

---

These aren't longshots either.

---

not a single one is a longshot, but combined it's incredibly incredibly unlikely. i like it, though.

dare i say, georgia, if it's even relatively close. we would be ahead of all those teams heading into the final weekend and we'd be playing the highest ranked opponent.

Everyone will bitch and moan, but if Oregon beats Utah and Bama beats Auburn (especially if it’s decisive or a blowout) in Jordan-Hare then Bama probably gets in, even over a 1 loss Oklahoma. OU just hasn’t looked great against their schedule, they’ve struggled too much. Bama would have the eye test and the better loss, whereas OU would have a conference title. Committee probably leans Bama. Now if Oklahoma blows out Oklahoma State and Baylor that may change.

I don’t even care if Bama goes to the playoffs this year. We don’t have the roster with our injuries to win and I don’t think we’d even be very competitive with the other three who I view as elite.

That said, have you watched any of these other near elite teams they are talking about?

Utah has been playing with fire for weeks against mediocre (and I use that term generously) teams. They lack any sort of team speed and would get shredded by Bama even post Tua. They are west coast Wisconsin.

Oklahoma is just not very good. They’ve gone to a 60-70% run based attack because as Bama knew two years ago, Jalen is a one read QB. He’s basically a wishbone guy and Riley has had to throw out 75% of his playbook like Kiffin did to make him functional. They have been scratching out wins against basement B12 teams and have a borderline bad loss to KState with their premier win being Baylor in an improbable comeback.

Bama will have to beat Auburn to be in the conversation, but if they do they would be favored on a neutral field against Utah or OU significantly with their only loss being against the #1 team in the country by one score.

There are only three elite teams after Tuas injury, but of the near elite teams, Bama if healthy on the DL has a better argument to be in than the others.

quote:

---

Utah but they’ll lose to Oregon in the PAC-12 title game.

---

Utah's defense is stout, they have only allowed more than 7 points once (Washington) since the start of October.

Utah if they win out.

One loss OU, Baylor, Bama is a coin flip.

quote:

---

Everybody goes on and on about Georgia,

---

Who goes on and on about Georgia?

quote:

---

don’t see how you put Alabama over Oklahoma. As long as there’s a one loss conference champ they’re getting in.

---

Especially a tua-less team

The mulligumps crushed their vaunted opponent this weekend, Western Carolina.

They should be bumped to 2.

The metrics used for SOS are actually a complete joke in most cases. That’s why ESPN and Sagarin have LSU behind Bama in their rankings.

Bama has literally played one team with a pulse. Their best win to date is a 4 loss A&M. Think about that.

Baylor gets shafted for a weak OOC but Bamas is nearly as bad.