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New Years 6 Bowls Projections (Based on AP; will be updated Tuesday after release of CFP)

Posted on 11/12/18 at 11:58 am
Posted by jlovel7
NOT Louisiana
Member since Aug 2014
23727 posts
Posted on 11/12/18 at 11:58 am
Playoff:
Cotton Bowl:
#1 Alabama*
#4 Michigan*

Orange Bowl:
#2 Clemson*
#3 Notre Dame

New Years 6:
Sugar:
#5 UGA
#6 Oklahoma*

Rose:
#8 Washington State*
#9 Ohio State

Fiesta:
At Large
At Large

Peach:
At Large
At Large

At Large Pool:
#7 WVU
#10 LSU
#11 UCF (G5 Champion)
#12 Syracuse

No big shakeups this week compared to last. As a reminder, all bowl projections are based off of rankings only. These bowls no longer choose their participants, but are assigned them based on the contracts established in 2014. It breaks down like this for anyone who is unfamiliar.

Top 4 are assigned to the Playoff which rotates every year. This year the Rose and Sugar are non playoff bowls so their participants are the top NON PLAYOFF ranked Big Ten and Pac 12 teams and SEC and Big 12 teams respectively. The Peach and Fiesta bowls are picked from the remaining pools of at large teams. Which match ups will get assigned by the playoff committee is essentially just a guess at this point. The only change this week was Syracuse moved into the Top 12 and Kentucky fell out. So Syracuse takes their place in the pool of at larges. UCF is actually ranked high enough that they would be an at large team even without being the Group of Fives automatic qualifier.

Again because I see this a lot on the board, NY6 Bowls have no say on which teams they get. It is based strictly on final CFP ranking.

ETA (Clarification): The bowl selection is based solely on highest playoff rankings in the case of the auto bids to the Sugar and Rose Bowl (and the Orange Bowl when it is not a playoff bowl). Once those auto bids are taken care of the highest ranked non playoff teams remaining get at large selections until there are no more spots. Where the at large teams are sent is based on what the committee thinks will be the best match up/location for those teams.

ETA: MY personal opinion of what would happen based on these rankings. UCF would be sent to the Fiesta as they were just in the Peach Bowl last year. Hopefully they'd be matched up against Syracuse and then LSU would be paired with WVU in the Peach Bowl (I know the Fiesta Bowl would be new but I just find it unlikely they'd willingly send UCF to the same bowl two years in a row). I want whatever scenario puts us up against another bigger program. Syracuse and UCF in my opinion would be clunkers and not very interesting no matter where the game is. Plus my brother goes to WVU and I want bragging rights (neither of us were associated with our schools in 2010 and 2011 when the teams played).
This post was edited on 11/12/18 at 2:39 pm
Posted by TopWaterTiger
Lake Charles, LA
Member since May 2006
11959 posts
Posted on 11/12/18 at 12:01 pm to
Wouldn't mind to see LSU v. W.V.
Posted by hsgeoboy
Member since Aug 2017
1115 posts
Posted on 11/12/18 at 12:03 pm to
I refuse to believe that Georgia will be ranked higher than LSU after they get demolished by Bama. Sugar Bowl baby!!
Posted by Kool Kaliper
Mansfield, TX
Member since Nov 2018
2840 posts
Posted on 11/12/18 at 12:03 pm to
LSU v. UCF great matchup
Posted by Tigerstark
Parts unknown
Member since Aug 2011
6838 posts
Posted on 11/12/18 at 12:26 pm to
Are the bowls still able to trade with each other assuming schools agree?
Posted by Brettesaurus Rex
Baton Rouge
Member since Dec 2009
38261 posts
Posted on 11/12/18 at 12:32 pm to
quote:

LSU v. UCF great matchup

People would hate this but we'd finally get a chance to shut their playoff talk up.
Posted by BarnHater
Member since May 2015
7510 posts
Posted on 11/12/18 at 12:33 pm to
Wonder how far we move up after beating Arkansas. This could get very interesting.
Posted by The Baker
This is fine.
Member since Dec 2011
18694 posts
Posted on 11/12/18 at 12:35 pm to
(no message)
This post was edited on 1/10/21 at 4:29 pm
Posted by rutiger
purgatory
Member since Jun 2007
21727 posts
Posted on 11/12/18 at 12:38 pm to
quote:

I refuse to believe that Georgia will be ranked higher than LSU after they get demolished by Bama. Sugar Bowl baby!!


Uga will be 11-2
Lsu will be 10-2

If uga doesnt get blown about by bama, they WILL be ranked higher than lsu.
Posted by jlovel7
NOT Louisiana
Member since Aug 2014
23727 posts
Posted on 11/12/18 at 12:42 pm to
quote:

Are the bowls still able to trade with each other assuming schools agree?


No. Because all selections are made by the committee.

ETA: I'm not 100% sure on this so if someone knows for sure feel free to correct me.
This post was edited on 11/12/18 at 12:43 pm
Posted by OystermanTiger
Jacksonville, Fl.
Member since Mar 2015
625 posts
Posted on 11/12/18 at 12:44 pm to
Michigan will slip up(OSU?;Northwestern?)and maybe LSU will finally get a game against them.
Posted by BayouBengals03
lsu14always
Member since Nov 2007
99999 posts
Posted on 11/12/18 at 12:45 pm to
quote:

Uga will be 11-2
Lsu will be 10-2

If uga doesnt get blown about by bama, they WILL be ranked higher than lsu.

Meh.

Definitely not a forgone conclusion like you are making it seem.

LSU would still have a tougher strength of schedule AND a head-to-head victory. One extra win doesn’t magically make their resume better.

LSU would be ranked higher than UGA in this scenario. We’d go to the Sugar Bowl.
Posted by OKTGR580
Baton Rouge to Houston, TX
Member since Apr 2018
6318 posts
Posted on 11/12/18 at 12:47 pm to
quote:

I refuse to believe that Georgia will be ranked higher than LSU


You probably also refused to believe LSU would get beat by 29 points in Death Valley too
Posted by OKTGR580
Baton Rouge to Houston, TX
Member since Apr 2018
6318 posts
Posted on 11/12/18 at 12:51 pm to
Is the fiesta bowl not possible? I understand it’s CFP rankings based but it seems like an SEC team is almost guaranteed a slot in the peach bowl. I’d like to see the fiesta bowl. It’s something different and out west. Might be cool to see LSU vs West Virginia in the desert.
Posted by jlovel7
NOT Louisiana
Member since Aug 2014
23727 posts
Posted on 11/12/18 at 12:53 pm to
quote:

Michigan will slip up(OSU?;Northwestern?)and maybe LSU will finally get a game against them.



They'd have to be the #2 non playoff Big Ten team. The odds of Ohio State and Michigan fitting into spots 5-12 is slim. But I wouldn't be opposed to that scenario.
Posted by jlovel7
NOT Louisiana
Member since Aug 2014
23727 posts
Posted on 11/12/18 at 1:04 pm to
quote:

Is the fiesta bowl not possible? I understand it’s CFP rankings based but it seems like an SEC team is almost guaranteed a slot in the peach bowl. I’d like to see the fiesta bowl. It’s something different and out west. Might be cool to see LSU vs West Virginia in the desert.



It's definitely possible. We are (based on current rankings) in the At Large pool. So we would be placed in either the Fiesta Bowl or the Peach bowl. However if we jump UGA in the Final Rankings we are guaranteed the Sugar Bowl based on the current contracts. I believe most people are under the impression that if this doesn't happen and we remain an at large that we will be placed in the Peach Bowl with UCF. Although UCF was there last year so maybe they'll be placed in the Fiesta. Either way UCF is my least desired opponent along with Syracuse (who we just played twice in the last 4 years).
This post was edited on 11/12/18 at 1:06 pm
Posted by DeathValley85
Member since May 2011
18795 posts
Posted on 11/12/18 at 1:06 pm to
quote:

If uga doesnt get blown about by bama, they WILL be ranked higher than lsu.




All caps doesn’t make you right doofus.
Posted by rutiger
purgatory
Member since Jun 2007
21727 posts
Posted on 11/12/18 at 1:12 pm to
quote:

If uga doesnt get blown about by bama, they WILL be ranked higher than lsu.




All caps doesn’t make you right doofus.



You’re right, we’ll probably lose to a&m and it wont matter.
Posted by bencoleman
RIP 7/19
Member since Feb 2009
37887 posts
Posted on 11/12/18 at 1:14 pm to
quote:

Wouldn't mind to see LSU v. W.V.


So we might actually get to see LSU roll WV. That would be a good day.
Posted by LSUERDOC
Member since Jul 2013
2608 posts
Posted on 11/12/18 at 2:25 pm to
Lol. UCF will push our shite in and make Orgeron look more like the buffoon he is. So would WVU.

Be careful what you wish for.

All this talk is for naught because A&M beats us this year and we will be headed to another bullshite bowl.
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