Cocaine Mitch doesn’t have the votes yet, as of this morning

That's fine, put em on record

quote:

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according to people with direct knowledge

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REEEEEEEEEEEEEEE

It's CNN, so you have to take this with a grain of salt. However, it is a terrible deal when you have Democrat senators who are more afraid of the thug from New York than their own voters.

Cocaine Mitch will have no mercy on their souls if they vote no

They keep this up and it will be a red tsunami wave.

quote:

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Bottom line: Republicans do not have the votes as of dawn Friday morning, according to people with direct knowledge.

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• Murkowski can go ahead and make her self sacrifice in the name of #metoo. We may get to watch a political suicide in live TV
• No one can argue Kavanaugh on the merits as a judge
• there was no corroboration to the false allegations of Dr. Ford and others
• the senators that vote no were always going to vote no as they are liberals or liberals in sheep’s clothing

My bet is when the rubber hits the road he will have the votes.

Heitkamp being a no is only because she is toast either way.

Collins and Murkowski would be complete fools to vote no. There just isn't enough there to justify a no vote.

Collins is in Class II which means she is up for re-election in 2020 when Trump will be running for re-election. Maine is a funny state, but Collins will likely need Trump to campaign with her or face a primary challenge.

If the Senate goes the way its looking in 2018 Collins frankly becomes expendable in 2020 and can be challenged in the primary.

Murkowski just got re-elected so she is a bit more of a wild card because at the end of the day she won't be held accountable for this particular vote. It won't look good for her body of work, but there is a lot of time for her to recover.

Flake is a yes he really can't walk back from getting his requested additional investigation, saying he didn't hear "any additional corroboration" and then vote no.

With Collins and Flake that makes it 50, Manchin will follow so that is 51. Then I think Murkowski becomes a yes making 52. After that, one more at risk D (would have said McCaskill a few weeks ago but she's toast; could be Stabenow depending on her internals) will jump on board making it 53. The only question I have is if some of the other Ds running will swing moving the total past 53. It could happen, but I don't think so.

If I were advising the President I would get a large rally in Michigan tonight...

Given the closeness, there’s no scenario where Manchin could vote no and keep his seat lol