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re: Signs the inflated real estate market is cooling
Posted on 7/25/18 at 12:37 pm to cokebottleag
Posted on 7/25/18 at 12:37 pm to cokebottleag
Its qualifying and supply
All the homes are at 700-1mil they need to be remodeled and that is over FHA Lending limts
Not many people are dropping 500k and paying 4-5kmnth mortgage with taxes/insurance for SoCal
We are going to get hard within 6-12mnths
All the homes are at 700-1mil they need to be remodeled and that is over FHA Lending limts
Not many people are dropping 500k and paying 4-5kmnth mortgage with taxes/insurance for SoCal
We are going to get hard within 6-12mnths
Posted on 7/25/18 at 12:44 pm to SDVTiger
quote:
We are going to get hard within 6-12mnths
I really hope that it doesn't take that long for you guys out there.
![](https://images.tigerdroppings.com/Images/Icons/Iconcheers.gif)
Blue pill time?
Posted on 7/25/18 at 12:46 pm to cokebottleag
The Chinese, and I've had to deal with a shite ton of them, are more into the residential land development aspects of all this than they are actually into the homes themselves.
The Chinese like to invest in the land, see through the entitlement process, curb and gutter and then sell-off the lots to builders.
They are big investors in some of the large home builders in the country like Pulte and Schumacher ... but the Chinese are not home builders per se.
Now, commercial is another story. Plus they are really into the islands these days ... both coasts including Hawaii, Turk Cacos, Bahamas, etc.
The Chinese like to invest in the land, see through the entitlement process, curb and gutter and then sell-off the lots to builders.
They are big investors in some of the large home builders in the country like Pulte and Schumacher ... but the Chinese are not home builders per se.
Now, commercial is another story. Plus they are really into the islands these days ... both coasts including Hawaii, Turk Cacos, Bahamas, etc.
Posted on 7/25/18 at 12:47 pm to roadGator
quote:
I really hope that it doesn't take that long for you guys out there.
We are down 11% in SD this month but its all fugazi
quote:
Blue pill time?
Never
Posted on 7/25/18 at 12:52 pm to SDVTiger
quote:
We are going to get hard within 6-12mnths
Read again.
![](https://images.tigerdroppings.com/Images/Icons/Iconcheers.gif)
Posted on 7/25/18 at 1:00 pm to HailHailtoMichigan!
Everything
quote:said
HailHailtoMichigan!
Posted on 7/25/18 at 1:03 pm to cokebottleag
it's not just the big city markets that are over priced. The Baton Rouge market the last couple of years has been overpriced also. With new homes starting at $160sqft the price per income is crazy . I had a first hand seat in 2008 for the mortgage crash and 10yrs later i am still a mortgage loan officer. I have been warning people for 2 years that this market is due to correct and its starting. With lots of inventory coming on the market it's going to drive prices down over the next 2 years.
Posted on 7/25/18 at 1:07 pm to cokebottleag
There is so much inventory in the Houston market that they can't keep up this pace for much longer.
Posted on 7/25/18 at 1:07 pm to cokebottleag
The housing market is insane. I can't believe there were people in Dallas that had 25% increases in value in 2017.
Posted on 7/25/18 at 1:12 pm to Stuckinthe90s
quote:
Ugh I know, I have my home up for sale and am really hoping it goes before the bottom drops out. If so, its going to line up perfectly with my next purchase in 6-18 months.
I'm lined up for another property in 1 to 1.5 years too
Posted on 7/25/18 at 2:08 pm to cokebottleag
quote:
Main factors cited are an increase in interest rates and lack of new buyers, even as inventory is continuing to rise.
This was expected. It will still be a while, however, before home prices decrease. Developers/builders won't lower their prices until they realize that interest rates going up is slowing home buying.
Posted on 7/25/18 at 2:10 pm to cokebottleag
Not surprising.
The vast majority of the housing "crash" in 2007/08 was limited to a few states:
Cali
NY
Nevada
AZ
Florida
other states suffered, but it was far more limited. Hell, BR was hardly impacted.
The vast majority of the housing "crash" in 2007/08 was limited to a few states:
Cali
NY
Nevada
AZ
Florida
other states suffered, but it was far more limited. Hell, BR was hardly impacted.
Posted on 7/25/18 at 2:12 pm to cokebottleag
Can North Dallas prices crash too please?
Posted on 7/25/18 at 4:20 pm to udtiger
quote:Mid-Atlantic coastal property values were cut in half
The vast majority of the housing "crash" in 2007/08 was limited to a few states:
Cali
NY
Nevada
AZ
Florida
other states suffered, but it was far more limited. Hell, BR was hardly impacted.
Posted on 7/25/18 at 4:43 pm to cokebottleag
All housing markets aren’t created equal. The market in California isn’t indicative of the market in say Dallas, Nashville, Atlanta, Charlotte, etc.
Look at all the extra that comes with being a homeowner in California like high property taxes high income taxes, high insurance, higher gas prices, higher cost of living in general. People are fleeing California and taking their huge equity and paying cash for homes in Texas, Florida, and Tennessee and still have money left over for a nest egg. People are leaving high tax states like California, New York, and New Jersey for places with no state income tax like Texas, Florida, Tennessee, and Nevada.
Look at all the extra that comes with being a homeowner in California like high property taxes high income taxes, high insurance, higher gas prices, higher cost of living in general. People are fleeing California and taking their huge equity and paying cash for homes in Texas, Florida, and Tennessee and still have money left over for a nest egg. People are leaving high tax states like California, New York, and New Jersey for places with no state income tax like Texas, Florida, Tennessee, and Nevada.
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