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re: Signs the inflated real estate market is cooling

Posted on 7/25/18 at 12:37 pm to
Posted by SDVTiger
Cabo San Lucas
Member since Nov 2011
75053 posts
Posted on 7/25/18 at 12:37 pm to
Its qualifying and supply
All the homes are at 700-1mil they need to be remodeled and that is over FHA Lending limts

Not many people are dropping 500k and paying 4-5kmnth mortgage with taxes/insurance for SoCal
We are going to get hard within 6-12mnths

Posted by roadGator
Member since Feb 2009
141537 posts
Posted on 7/25/18 at 12:44 pm to
quote:

We are going to get hard within 6-12mnths



I really hope that it doesn't take that long for you guys out there.















Blue pill time?
Posted by scrooster
Resident Ethicist
Member since Jul 2012
38017 posts
Posted on 7/25/18 at 12:46 pm to
The Chinese, and I've had to deal with a shite ton of them, are more into the residential land development aspects of all this than they are actually into the homes themselves.

The Chinese like to invest in the land, see through the entitlement process, curb and gutter and then sell-off the lots to builders.

They are big investors in some of the large home builders in the country like Pulte and Schumacher ... but the Chinese are not home builders per se.

Now, commercial is another story. Plus they are really into the islands these days ... both coasts including Hawaii, Turk Cacos, Bahamas, etc.
Posted by SDVTiger
Cabo San Lucas
Member since Nov 2011
75053 posts
Posted on 7/25/18 at 12:47 pm to
quote:

I really hope that it doesn't take that long for you guys out there.



We are down 11% in SD this month but its all fugazi

quote:

Blue pill time?


Never
Posted by roadGator
Member since Feb 2009
141537 posts
Posted on 7/25/18 at 12:52 pm to
quote:

We are going to get hard within 6-12mnths


Read again.
Posted by Wtodd
Tampa, FL
Member since Oct 2013
67543 posts
Posted on 7/25/18 at 1:00 pm to
Everything
quote:

HailHailtoMichigan!
said
Posted by hawkeye007
Member since Feb 2010
5915 posts
Posted on 7/25/18 at 1:03 pm to
it's not just the big city markets that are over priced. The Baton Rouge market the last couple of years has been overpriced also. With new homes starting at $160sqft the price per income is crazy . I had a first hand seat in 2008 for the mortgage crash and 10yrs later i am still a mortgage loan officer. I have been warning people for 2 years that this market is due to correct and its starting. With lots of inventory coming on the market it's going to drive prices down over the next 2 years.
Posted by jrodLSUke
Premium
Member since Jan 2011
22369 posts
Posted on 7/25/18 at 1:07 pm to
There is so much inventory in the Houston market that they can't keep up this pace for much longer.
Posted by DallasTiger11
Los Angeles
Member since Mar 2004
11861 posts
Posted on 7/25/18 at 1:07 pm to
The housing market is insane. I can't believe there were people in Dallas that had 25% increases in value in 2017.
Posted by FrenchToast
The French Kitchen
Member since Jan 2016
1810 posts
Posted on 7/25/18 at 1:10 pm to
Posted by MrCarton
Paradise Valley, MT
Member since Dec 2009
20231 posts
Posted on 7/25/18 at 1:12 pm to
quote:

Ugh I know, I have my home up for sale and am really hoping it goes before the bottom drops out. If so, its going to line up perfectly with my next purchase in 6-18 months.


I'm lined up for another property in 1 to 1.5 years too
Posted by BugAC
St. George
Member since Oct 2007
53092 posts
Posted on 7/25/18 at 2:08 pm to
quote:

Main factors cited are an increase in interest rates and lack of new buyers, even as inventory is continuing to rise.



This was expected. It will still be a while, however, before home prices decrease. Developers/builders won't lower their prices until they realize that interest rates going up is slowing home buying.
Posted by udtiger
Over your left shoulder
Member since Nov 2006
99807 posts
Posted on 7/25/18 at 2:10 pm to
Not surprising.

The vast majority of the housing "crash" in 2007/08 was limited to a few states:

Cali
NY
Nevada
AZ
Florida

other states suffered, but it was far more limited. Hell, BR was hardly impacted.
Posted by 50_Tiger
Dallas TX
Member since Jan 2016
40339 posts
Posted on 7/25/18 at 2:12 pm to
Can North Dallas prices crash too please?

Posted by NC_Tigah
Carolinas
Member since Sep 2003
124675 posts
Posted on 7/25/18 at 4:20 pm to
quote:

The vast majority of the housing "crash" in 2007/08 was limited to a few states:

Cali
NY
Nevada
AZ
Florida

other states suffered, but it was far more limited. Hell, BR was hardly impacted.
Mid-Atlantic coastal property values were cut in half
Posted by Jake_LaMotta
Coral Gables
Member since Sep 2017
5700 posts
Posted on 7/25/18 at 4:43 pm to
All housing markets aren’t created equal. The market in California isn’t indicative of the market in say Dallas, Nashville, Atlanta, Charlotte, etc.

Look at all the extra that comes with being a homeowner in California like high property taxes high income taxes, high insurance, higher gas prices, higher cost of living in general. People are fleeing California and taking their huge equity and paying cash for homes in Texas, Florida, and Tennessee and still have money left over for a nest egg. People are leaving high tax states like California, New York, and New Jersey for places with no state income tax like Texas, Florida, Tennessee, and Nevada.
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