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re: Way too early 2018 CFP Predictions- let's have them baws

Posted on 4/2/18 at 7:40 am to
Posted by Hook Em Horns
350000 posts
Member since Sep 2010
15159 posts
Posted on 4/2/18 at 7:40 am to
Why in God's name would anybody be picking texas? We have no oline, our qb is prolly still concussied. Now our running game should be okay. Defense lost a bunch of people. But our secondary is going to be great for a long time.
Posted by Open Your Eyes
Member since Nov 2012
9252 posts
Posted on 4/2/18 at 9:52 am to
quote:

How do you know Ohio St or Wisconsin would not have won the playoffs this year? Or Oklahoma St in 2011? Maybe USC and Pete Carroll would have more titles if they were given 2nd chances.


This is a fun game to play.

How do you know Ohio St or Wisconsin wouldn't have lost by 50 points last year had they been in the playoffs?

Or Oklahoma st in 2011?

Maybe USC and Pete carrol would've had more epic choke jobs if they were given second chances.

And just to continue your absurdity, how do you know any of the other 120+ d1 teams that didn't get selected would not have won the playoffs last year? Or in any other year? Maybe x coach at y school would have more championships if they were given second chances.

quote:

Alabama’s resume last year was pathetic, no other team gets in that finishes 2nd in their division with a best win over a 9-3 team that lost to Troy


They only have so much control over their resume. It's not their fault Florida state and Lsu turned out to be terrible. But you know, it is possible for the best team in the country to play a shite schedule, and still be the best team in the country.
Posted by ReauxlTide222
St. Petersburg
Member since Nov 2010
83852 posts
Posted on 4/2/18 at 9:53 am to
quote:

Fla st (Francois wins heisman)


Florida State is arse cheeks
Posted by Open Your Eyes
Member since Nov 2012
9252 posts
Posted on 4/2/18 at 9:57 am to
quote:

So we use resume for some teams but “eyeball” test for others.


Losing by 40+ points to an unranked team is as "eyeball test" as it gets.

quote:

That pretty much proves my point, they will go out of their way to put Alabama in if they don’t win the SEC.


If it was the other way around and clemson completely dominated Alabama in the playoff, you might have a point. But they didn't and your point is non existent because Alabama proved to be a correct choice.

Your real point is you're a typical Lsu fan that's obsessed with Alabama.

quote:

Best division in what? The SEC?


How else could his point possibly be interpreted?

quote:

Their best regular season win was a 9-3 team that lost to Troy. The record of their SEC opponents was 25-38.


And?
Posted by H-Town Tiger
Member since Nov 2003
59193 posts
Posted on 4/2/18 at 10:07 am to
quote:

And just to continue your absurdity, how do you know any of the other 120+ d1 teams that didn't get selected would not have won the playoffs last year? Or in any other year?


You completely missed the point, saying Alabama won there fore they deserved to be in is what’s absurd. If we use “best team” which is just the eyeball test, it’s completely arbitrary. I’m not the one that used that standard

quote:

It's not their fault Florida state and Lsu turned out to be terrible


This too is an absurd argument that can also be used for Wisconsin BTW is it their fault the B1G West blows? That’s irrelevant the point is the schedule was bad If we use subjective data and my contention is no one else would get in with that resume.

quote:

But you know, it is possible for the best team in the country to play a shite schedule, and still be the best team in the country.


Sure and they should be undefeated and win their division and conference otherwise they didn’t do anything on the field to merit being included in the playoffs, it just becomes arbitrary

quote:

Maybe USC and Pete carrol would've had more epic choke jobs if they were given second chances.
.

Their record in bowl games and against ranked teams indicates otherwise. In 2003, 2007 and 2008 they had the same # of loses as at least 1 of the teams in the BCS CG. What kept them out? Oh yeah SOS, was it their fault the Pac12 stunk or Notre Dame fell off? The same standard needs to be applied to every one
This post was edited on 4/2/18 at 10:14 am
Posted by Open Your Eyes
Member since Nov 2012
9252 posts
Posted on 4/2/18 at 10:35 am to
quote:

You completely missed the point,


I didn't at all. Your point was just completely terrible.

I noticed you completely ignored what I mentioned the real point is, that you're just a typical Lsu fan obsessed with hating Alabama.

quote:

saying Alabama won there fore they deserved to be in is what’s absurd.


I said Alabama proved they were a correct selection because they proved to be the best team. You keep using this "deserve" word when that is not the standard that has been set and is just as arbitrary as the eyeball test

quote:

If we use “best team” which is just the eyeball test, it’s completely arbitrary. I’m not the one that used that standard


I know you're not. The committee is. And their decision was vindicated.

If you really cared about this best vs deserved, eyeball test, schedule nonsense, you would be bitching about Ohio st going in 2016 when they didn't win a conference or division title, lost to the team that did win the conference, and got blown out in the playoff, therefore proving they were a poor selection.

But you're not doing that because they're Ohio st, not Alabama. And all you really care about is being obsessed with Alabama.

quote:

This too is an absurd argument


You keep using this absurd word to describe events that have already happened. Seems like your take on things is what is actually absurd.

quote:

Wisconsin BTW is it their fault the B1G West blows?


Not at all. But it's funny you didn't feel the need to bring that up when suggesting they deserved a playoff spot instead of Alabama. I wonder why that is. Could it be because the real point here is that you're a typical Lsu fan obsessed with Alabama? I think so.

quote:

That’s irrelevant the point is the schedule was bad If we use subjective data and my contention is no one else would get in with that resume.


Your contention is incorrect because it happened the previous year. Did you forget this, or just hope everyone else did? I guess it doesn't really matter. Just further proof that the real point here is you're a typical Lsu fan obsessed with Alabama.

quote:

Sure and they should be undefeated and win their division and conference otherwise they didn’t do anything on the field to merit being included in the playoffs


Where can I find that stipulation on the list of requirements to be selected for the playoffs?

quote:

it just becomes arbitrary


Unlike which schools you pick and choose to focus your angst towards, right?

Oh, and good luck getting people/media/recruits/whoever to think "arbitrary" when they see those 2011 and 2017 trophies in Alabama's trophy case.

quote:

Their record in bowl games and against ranked teams indicates otherwise.


Oh, so now it's ok to use hindsight and completed results to determine whether or not a team would've been the correct choice for the playoff/championship game? Tell me, is there any other team besides Alabama that you won't give this benefit to?

quote:

In 2003, 2007 and 2008 they had the same # of loses as at least 1 of the teams in the BCS CG. What kept them out?


I'm not going back to look at all of the final bcs rankings and results from those years. But I do believe one of the years was when they lost to 40+ underdog Stanford. That alone justified keeping them out that year if everything else was even relatively close to being equal.

quote:

The same standard needs to be applied to every one


at the irony dripping from that statement, coming from you.

Posted by Bham Bammer
Member since Nov 2014
14529 posts
Posted on 4/2/18 at 12:42 pm to
quote:

Alabama will be in guaranteed, we’ve seen in 2011 and again last year no matter what happens during the season the “eyeball” test will get them a pass.

The fact that they are one of the actual best teams doesn't hurt either.
Posted by TheLastTallyGator
Member since Mar 2018
18 posts
Posted on 4/2/18 at 1:13 pm to
1: Georgia
2: Clemson
3: USC
4: Alabama

Georgia wins National Title
This post was edited on 4/2/18 at 1:14 pm
Posted by mizzoubuckeyeiowa
Member since Nov 2015
35809 posts
Posted on 4/2/18 at 4:56 pm to
quote:

Maybe USC and Pete carrol would've had more epic choke jobs if they were given second chances.




They were 6 out of 7 in BCS games...and the games they won - they blew out their opponent...

And the one game they lost - they lost by 3 points to one of the greatest performances ever from a team averaging 50+ points a game with VY.

In 2008 they lost at Oregon State by 6 points...and weren't allowed a DO-OVER like Alabama gets every year...like their losses don't count.

So instead of facing Florida in the BCS title game instead of Chokelahoma, USC just ended up blowing out Penn State in the Rose Bowl for another BCS blowout win.

2004 Rose Bowl 28-14
2005 Orange Bowl 55-19
2006 Rose Bowl 32-18
2007 Rose Bowl 49-17
2008 Rose Bowl 38-24

This post was edited on 4/2/18 at 5:00 pm
Posted by Open Your Eyes
Member since Nov 2012
9252 posts
Posted on 4/2/18 at 6:19 pm to
quote:

mizzoubuckeyeiowa


There's an entire post of yours in this thread that has been responded to, yet you choose one quote from a response to someone else?

quote:

They were 6 out of 7 in BCS games...and the games they won - they blew out their opponent...


Bcs games? Far as I can tell this thread title says playoff predictions and the entire thread has been about playoff/national championship games. You know, the games that actually matter.

Usc was 1-1* in those games, and will go down in the history books as 0-1.

quote:

And the one game they lost - they lost by 3 points to one of the greatest performances ever from a team averaging 50+ points a game with VY.


They were deemed the greatest team in the history of college football prior to the game being played, and proceeded to lose the game. Aka, epic choke job.

quote:

In 2008 they lost at Oregon State by 6 points


Correct, when as the nearly consensus #1 team in the country they were 26 point favorites and couldn't stop a 5'6 150 lb freshman running back from gashing them straight up the middle. Aka, epic choke job.

quote:

and weren't allowed a DO-OVER like Alabama gets every year...like their losses don't count.


Every year you say? Please list the do-overs Alabama received in 2008, 2009, 2010, 2012, 2013, 2014, 2015, and 2016.

quote:

So instead of facing Florida in the BCS title game instead of Chokelahoma, USC just ended up blowing out Penn State in the Rose Bowl for another BCS blowout win.




Wake me up when you want to start talking about games that actually matter again.
This post was edited on 4/2/18 at 6:24 pm
Posted by Buckeye06
Member since Dec 2007
23167 posts
Posted on 4/2/18 at 6:31 pm to
They don’t play in the B1G east...
Posted by starsandstripes
Georgia
Member since Nov 2017
11897 posts
Posted on 4/2/18 at 7:46 pm to
It'll be sort of like 2012 all over again.

Bama undefeated #1 overall
UGA loses to Bama in SECCG but undefeated otherwise, they are #2 overall
LSU, oops just kidding
Florida, only loss is to UGA, in OT in Jax #3 overall
Florida St, destroys Clemson, only loss is to UF, #4 overall

CFP decided by a 200 mile radius. Ratings disaster. Selection criteria changed going into 2019.

ETA Playoff games as follows
Bama smokes the Gators
UGA gets by FSU
Rematch and Bama wins soundly.
Kirby will cry. Saban wins 4 in a row with Tua at QB then retires as king of the universe.

Side note - Harbaugh gets fired and Ohio St looks like garbage most of the season except against UM and OU drops unexpected game in a weak schedule, as does UW.
This post was edited on 4/2/18 at 7:50 pm
Posted by Jenar Boy
Elsewhere
Member since Aug 2013
12589 posts
Posted on 4/2/18 at 9:59 pm to
Alabama
Clemson
Wisconsin
UW
This post was edited on 4/2/18 at 10:13 pm
Posted by yurintroubl
Dallas, Tx.
Member since Apr 2008
30164 posts
Posted on 4/3/18 at 2:42 am to
quote:

Why in God's name would anybody be picking texas? We have no oline, our qb is prolly still concussied. Now our running game should be okay. Defense lost a bunch of people. But our secondary is going to be great for a long time.

THIS

I think anybody picking UT/Okie(regular or lite) hasn't done their homework.

IMO - WVU has a real shot to dark horse the NY6/CFP this year (if their key players stay healthy). Yes - They've lost some guys on D... but their O has a chance to be scary good.
Posted by H-Town Tiger
Member since Nov 2003
59193 posts
Posted on 4/3/18 at 10:39 am to
quote:

You completely missed the point, I didn't at all. Your point was just completely terrible.


Clearly you do not....

quote:

I said Alabama proved they were a correct selection because they proved to be the best team.

quote:

And their decision was vindicated.

quote:

Ohio st going in 2016 when they didn't win a conference or division title, lost to the team that did win the conference, and got blown out in the playoff, therefore proving they were a poor selection.


my point is you can’t use the results to justify the selection, that’s circular logic, 20/20 hindsight. We can’t know that when picking the teams
so you can’t use it to justify the selection. Justify the selection on the infonwe had BEFORE the playoffs.
quote:

You keep using this "deserve" word when that is not the standard that has been set and is just as arbitrary as the eyeball test


Correct, it’s my opinion that the standard should be most deserving rather than best because deserving can be somewhat quantified and applies the same to all. Win your conference or at least division and have the better schedule. There will always be some subjectivity, there’s no way around it in college sports given the # of teams and varying schedules but IMO it’s better than just saying “best” which is generally 100% opinion and is here backed up with 20/20 hindsight. There are many times when the “best” team didn’t win the championship.
This post was edited on 4/3/18 at 10:42 am
Posted by castorinho
13623 posts
Member since Nov 2010
82099 posts
Posted on 4/3/18 at 10:49 am to
quote:

IMO - WVU has a real shot to dark horse the NY6/CFP this year (if their key players stay healthy). Yes - They've lost some guys on D... but their O has a chance to be scary good.
west Virginia has been a dark horse these past few years and we're still waiting.
Posted by H-Town Tiger
Member since Nov 2003
59193 posts
Posted on 4/3/18 at 11:10 am to
quote:

I noticed you completely ignored what I mentioned the real point is, that you're just a typical Lsu fan obsessed with hating Alabama.


No, that’s just your view as a typical insecure Alabama fan (on display thru out your response re UCS). This is also a cop out as you just dismiss any argument against Alabama but simply saying the non Bama fan is “obsessed” or “jealous” or whatever anything to avoid the actual argument.

quote:

you would be bitching about Ohio st going in 2016


Well we weren’t talking about Ohio State but no they shouldn’t have been in the CFB playoffs in 2016 because they didn’t win their conference or division, though they did have 3 wins over top 10 teams which is 3 more than 2017 Alabama had.
And if you think it should be “best” teams, who was playing better than USC at the end of 2016? Should they have been in?

ETA: tOSU did not get in the 2015 CFB if we’re going eyeball test or best teams clearly they should have been in, so no they don’t get the same special treatment

quote:

Not at all. But it's funny you didn't feel the need to bring that up when suggesting they deserved a playoff spot instead of Alabama. I wonder why that is. Could it be because the real point here is that you're a typical Lsu fan obsessed with Alabama? I think so.


Again we see the one with the obsession is you. I never said Wisconsin deserved to be in the playoffs last year imo they did not because they did not win their conference (though unlike Alabama they at least one their division). I just used them as an example since they were in the discussion last and do show (imo) how different teams are given a pass based on their name and the name of their conference without bothering to look at the actual conference schedule or quality of the teams they are actually playing and just the rep.

quote:

Your contention is incorrect because it happened the previous year. Did you forget this, or just hope everyone else did? I guess it doesn't really matter. Just further proof that the real point here is you're a typical Lsu fan obsessed with Alabama.
.

Repeating a false assumption multiple times doesn’t make it true. But This also shows you really don’t get the point and just want to whine about someone daring to say Alabama gets special treatment.

If you get past your obsession here I was talking about the SCHEDULE. And while yes 2016 tOSU got into the playoffs (just to be clear I don’t think they should have) without winning their division just like 2017 Alabama the respective schedules were not the same. 16 Ohio State was 3-1 vs top 10 (final playoff rankings) 17 Bama was 0-1. The 16 B1GE was better than the 17 SECW
This post was edited on 4/3/18 at 11:19 am
Posted by H-Town Tiger
Member since Nov 2003
59193 posts
Posted on 4/3/18 at 11:15 am to
quote:

Losing by 40+ points to an unranked team is as "eyeball test" as it gets


No it’s resume, ie something they actually did,

quote:

If it was the other way around and clemson completely dominated Alabama in the playoff, you might have a point. But they didn't and your point is non existent because Alabama proved to be a correct choice.


I’ve covered this but again here is 20/20 hindsight. We can’t possibly know the results of the playoffs when picking the teams for the playoffs. My argument is the same before and after.

quote:

Best division in what? The SEC? How else could his point possibly be interpreted?


I would think he means the best division in CFB, which the SECW has been but probably wasn’t in 2017.

quote:

Their best regular season win was a 9-3 team that lost to Troy. The record of their SEC opponents was 25-38. And?


It means their schedule wasn’t that difficult. Their SEC East opponents were 1-15 in the SEC which is 0-14 excluding their game against each other.
Posted by loweralabamatrojan
Lower Alabama
Member since Oct 2006
13136 posts
Posted on 4/3/18 at 9:59 pm to
quote:

Why in God's name would anybody be picking texas? We have no oline, our qb is prolly still concussied. Now our running game should be okay. Defense lost a bunch of people. But our secondary is going to be great for a long time.


There's talent on that team. There's a good coach at the helm. He's had his time to get his shite together, I think if you keep Sam as your starter and let him get his reps in, you guys will be OK.

It's just a hunch.

Posted by mizzoubuckeyeiowa
Member since Nov 2015
35809 posts
Posted on 4/3/18 at 10:13 pm to
quote:


Bcs games? Far as I can tell this thread title says playoff predictions and the entire thread has been about playoff/national championship games. You know, the games that actually matter.


The thread was about playoffs and chances.

And the fact is...some clown said USC choked in the post-season.

When they were 6 out of 7 in BCS games.

So chances are if USC was given more chances and do-overs, they probably would be like Alabama today.

Once they got in the game, USC rocked.

It's all about politics and getting in the game.

And the premise was that Bama has proved their inclusion in the playoffs.

Shite, a lot of teams could prove their inclusion in a two-game playoff.

It's all about opportunity and second-chances.

Bama has proved the regular season doesn't matter. Which is the lost charm of college football...that the regular season is the playoff.
This post was edited on 4/3/18 at 10:15 pm
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