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re: 71% of teams winning 1st game win the series

Posted on 6/26/17 at 9:52 pm to
Posted by SelaTiger
Member since Aug 2016
18321 posts
Posted on 6/26/17 at 9:52 pm to
That's very true. LSU has never lost in the finals. Why didn't ESPN bring that up?
Posted by Lsu71881
Monroe,La
Member since Jan 2015
333 posts
Posted on 6/26/17 at 9:54 pm to
Posted by SeekGreatness
Member since Nov 2015
3489 posts
Posted on 6/26/17 at 9:54 pm to
With Walker not injured we would win it in 2. Tonight was better than expected.
This post was edited on 6/26/17 at 9:55 pm
Posted by tigernut777
Member since Aug 2009
167 posts
Posted on 6/26/17 at 9:55 pm to
I hate when stat guys pull up these figures in finals. Doesn't mean sh*t!! This logic is why people get taken at casinos. Just cause the last 20 roulette numbers have been red, the next one is still a 50/50 chance. We have our 2 studs guys coming up guys!!! Geaux Tigers!
Posted by Purple Spoon
Hoth
Member since Feb 2005
18041 posts
Posted on 6/26/17 at 9:57 pm to
if we lose the next two throwing Poche and Lange then Fla deserves it
Posted by lsufan1971
Zachary
Member since Nov 2003
18523 posts
Posted on 6/26/17 at 9:58 pm to
29% don't
Posted by Comp721
Member since Oct 2009
1585 posts
Posted on 6/26/17 at 10:00 pm to
quote:

So we faced 7% chances of beating OSU and did it twice.

Well that's not how that works at all, but yeah
Posted by Bill W Tiger
LSU Alumnus
Member since May 2008
1097 posts
Posted on 6/26/17 at 10:00 pm to
Yes but.....29% don't!
Posted by Mike Honcho
North Dallas
Member since Oct 2007
2928 posts
Posted on 6/27/17 at 10:40 am to
Since 2015, 100% of the teams that have won the first game have lost the series!
Posted by LSUGrad9295
Baton Rouge
Member since May 2007
33695 posts
Posted on 6/27/17 at 12:16 pm to
quote:

71% of teams winning 1st game win the series
Regression to the mean suggests we've got this.


And how many of those Game 1 losers had their 2 aces left to throw Game 2? ESPN (mainly Karl Ravech) shoved that stat down our throats a million times last night, but failed to mention the part about us having our aces ready to throw...and failed to mention that the last 2 years the team down 0-1 won the series. But ESPN gonna ESPN. A stat is a stat.
Posted by ffishstik
Baton Rouge
Member since Dec 2007
4129 posts
Posted on 6/27/17 at 12:53 pm to
Yes, 10 of the last 14 champions won the first game of the series, but out of those, 7 of the 10 had swept their side of the bracket and had their top pitchers available for the finals. Having your top guys available is the key. Also, since we're trotting out stats:

- LSU has never lost a championship game in Omaha
- Florida has never won a championship game in Omaha
- The team to lose game one has won the series the past two years
Posted by LaBR4
Baton Rouge
Member since Sep 2005
51310 posts
Posted on 6/27/17 at 12:55 pm to
Posted by Scoob
Near Exxon
Member since Jun 2009
20564 posts
Posted on 6/27/17 at 12:56 pm to
Also- 11 of 14 teams winning Game 2 (78%), which is higher than the amount of game 1 winners, have won the series.
Posted by TDsngumbo
Alpha Silverfox
Member since Oct 2011
41896 posts
Posted on 6/27/17 at 1:00 pm to
Pretty sure Hillary had a 94% chance of winning.
Posted by slackster
Houston
Member since Mar 2009
85484 posts
Posted on 6/27/17 at 1:01 pm to
quote:


Also- 11 of 14 teams winning Game 2 (78%), which is higher than the amount of game 1 winners, have won the series.


Little known fact - 100% of Game 3 winners have won the series.
Posted by LigerFan
Member since Jan 2014
2723 posts
Posted on 6/27/17 at 1:03 pm to
78.5% of teams that win the second game win the series.
Posted by Palm Beach Tiger
Orlando, Florida
Member since Jan 2007
29879 posts
Posted on 6/27/17 at 1:04 pm to
Well if we win game 2 then 50% of teams that are 1 and 1 go on to win game 3!!!! Lol.
Posted by Ace Midnight
Between sanity and madness
Member since Dec 2006
89780 posts
Posted on 6/27/17 at 1:11 pm to
I'm beyond being tired of hearing this stat and now want to both defy it and change it.
Posted by tigerpawl
Can't get there from here.
Member since Dec 2003
22467 posts
Posted on 6/27/17 at 1:15 pm to
Def a calculated gamble last night. Better deliver the goods tonight. Somebody tell KR he's not on a movie set.
Posted by Schmelly
Member since Jan 2014
14536 posts
Posted on 6/27/17 at 1:20 pm to
71% of the teams that lose didn't throw junk in game 1 & counter with poche & Lange in 2&3
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