- My Forums
- Tiger Rant
- LSU Recruiting
- SEC Rant
- Saints Talk
- Pelicans Talk
- More Sports Board
- Coaching Changes
- Fantasy Sports
- Golf Board
- Soccer Board
- O-T Lounge
- Tech Board
- Home/Garden Board
- Outdoor Board
- Health/Fitness Board
- Movie/TV Board
- Book Board
- Music Board
- Political Talk
- Money Talk
- Fark Board
- Gaming Board
- Travel Board
- Food/Drink Board
- Ticket Exchange
- TD Help Board
Customize My Forums- View All Forums
- Show Left Links
- Topic Sort Options
- Trending Topics
- Recent Topics
- Active Topics
Started By
Message
Nate Crawfishing on Twitter
Posted on 11/8/16 at 10:33 am
Posted on 11/8/16 at 10:33 am
5
Posted on 11/8/16 at 10:34 am to rds dc
link?
Posted on 11/8/16 at 10:34 am to StarSaint
Posted on 11/8/16 at 10:35 am to rds dc
The left is going to burn this guy at the stake tonight 
Posted on 11/8/16 at 10:37 am to rds dc
quote:
2) Undecideds are MUCH higher than normal. So risk of a polling error -- in either direction -- is higher than usual
Per silver
The problem with 538 is garbage in garbage out. With poll manipulation that equals 538 manipulation
Posted on 11/8/16 at 10:37 am to When in Rome
Does that teeet show Hillary winning undecideds 48-41%
Posted on 11/8/16 at 10:39 am to LSUGrrrl
No it's saying there are 12.5% undecided voters
Posted on 11/8/16 at 10:40 am to When in Rome
quote:
Nate Silver ?@NateSilver538 54m54 minutes ago
2) Undecideds are MUCH higher than normal. So risk of a polling error -- in either direction -- is higher than usual.
Posted on 11/8/16 at 10:41 am to Damone
So basically, he is trying to cover all possibilities and cover his arse? 
Posted on 11/8/16 at 10:44 am to HailToTheChiz
No, he's trying to explain probability to a math averse general public.
Posted on 11/8/16 at 10:45 am to LSUGrrrl
quote:
Does that teeet show Hillary winning undecideds 48-41%
I think he shows a Clinton overall lead, Trump behind a few points, and 12.5% undecided at this point. I would assume that's why he's explaining the uncertainty of the undecided vote. A CYA moment for sure.
Posted on 11/8/16 at 10:47 am to graychef
Undecideds favor folks who didn't want to admit to voting for "literally Hitler". Trump MAGAs this.
Posted on 11/8/16 at 10:50 am to HailToTheChiz
Nah, Nate's saving grace is that he lives by the polls and dies by the polls. If Trump wins, he can simply point to turnout, undecideds, margin of error, etc. in polls to explain it away.
Posted on 11/8/16 at 10:51 am to Damone
quote:
Nah, Nate's saving grace is that he lives by the polls and dies by the polls. If Trump wins, he can simply point to turnout, undecideds, margin of error, etc. in polls to explain it away.
i mean yes, but his model has a lot of things built into it. if it looks like hillary cruises to victory and PEC or upshot looks better, he looks bad.
Posted on 11/8/16 at 10:59 am to When in Rome
quote:
3) Basically, these 3 cases are equally likely
a—Solid Clinton win
b—Epic Clinton blowout
c—Close call, Trump *probably* wins Elect. Coll.
Posted on 11/8/16 at 11:03 am to Hawkeye95
His model is telling him something bad...it's CYA time
Posted on 11/8/16 at 11:04 am to rds dc
What's crawfishing? Sounds like butt stuff
Posted on 11/8/16 at 11:05 am to Damone
quote:
Undecideds are MUCH higher than normal. So risk of a polling error -- in either direction -- is higher than usual.
Undecides will NOT vote for Crooked. WIll be 10-1 for Trump I guarantee it!
Posted on 11/8/16 at 11:06 am to rds dc
Crawfishing?
His tweet corresponds exactly to 538. Hillary with a two thirds or 67% chance of winning.
His tweet corresponds exactly to 538. Hillary with a two thirds or 67% chance of winning.
Page 1 of 2
Back to top
Follow TigerDroppings for LSU Football News