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re: Storm Tracking Thread: Post Tropical Storm Hermine

Posted on 8/23/16 at 1:55 pm to
Posted by slackster
Houston
Member since Mar 2009
87780 posts
Posted on 8/23/16 at 1:55 pm to
quote:

It actually landfalls as a sub 940mb hurricane.


Obviously a long, long way away, but that could be a severe Category 4 or even 5 storm at that pressure.
Posted by USEyourCURDS
Member since Apr 2016
12353 posts
Posted on 8/23/16 at 1:56 pm to
So, it is absolutely not a good thing? or?
Posted by dukke v
PLUTO
Member since Jul 2006
207857 posts
Posted on 8/23/16 at 1:56 pm to
If it goes that way?????? Awful. The models are too far out.
Posted by rds dc
Member since Jun 2008
20302 posts
Posted on 8/23/16 at 1:57 pm to
This is starting to get a Joaquin feel. The Euro was all alone on that one with even the Euro EPS being against it and ended up being right. The 00z Euro EPS favored a weaker and more east solution. The 12z Euro said thanks but no thanks.
Posted by GEAUXmedic
Premium Member
Member since Nov 2011
41600 posts
Posted on 8/23/16 at 1:58 pm to
quote:

@MJVentrice The fate of #99L is absolutely fascinating. We have another battle brewing between the Euro and GFS. Euro usually is king here
Posted by Sid in Lakeshore
Member since Oct 2008
41956 posts
Posted on 8/23/16 at 1:59 pm to
quote:

except of course for the ECMWF.. just got a look at the 12z... it's got a fully formed system coming into Florida for the third straight run.




Damnit.......
Posted by GEAUXmedic
Premium Member
Member since Nov 2011
41600 posts
Posted on 8/23/16 at 1:59 pm to
quote:

except of course for the ECMWF.. just got a look at the 12z... it's got a fully formed system coming into Florida for the third straight run.



4th run consistently moving west too
This post was edited on 8/23/16 at 2:00 pm
Posted by ForeverLSU02
Albany
Member since Jun 2007
52242 posts
Posted on 8/23/16 at 1:59 pm to
Posted by Sid in Lakeshore
Member since Oct 2008
41956 posts
Posted on 8/23/16 at 2:00 pm to
quote:

GEAUXmedic



Damint, stop posting those..... I have a Florida trip to worry about.
Posted by Sid in Lakeshore
Member since Oct 2008
41956 posts
Posted on 8/23/16 at 2:02 pm to
quote:

Right up Mobile bay



Hurricane Ivan, Part II.
Posted by GEAUXmedic
Premium Member
Member since Nov 2011
41600 posts
Posted on 8/23/16 at 2:02 pm to
From someone on our weather forum:

quote:

just spoke with Larry Cosgrove, he said it is euro and more then likely is accurate, but we need another 3 or 4 runs, and feels it will shift a bit more west.


Larry is a private sector meteorologist from TX.
Posted by deuce985
Member since Feb 2008
27660 posts
Posted on 8/23/16 at 2:03 pm to
I see a strong cold front coming down from the north this week. I'm guessing it's not at all possible for that reach as far down as Louisiana? Sure would be nice to cool things down at this point in the year and probably push that away.

For the people just following the system the reason it's worrying for Louisiana is it has not shifted anywhere east...the models constantly push it further and further west which is a threat for us. Even without direct impact hits where it hits is everything for us when it comes to receiving the rain that we don't need...
This post was edited on 8/23/16 at 2:07 pm
Posted by Theboot32
Member since Jan 2016
2445 posts
Posted on 8/23/16 at 2:08 pm to
so this will be Hermine if it continues correct?
Posted by Fun Bunch
New Orleans
Member since May 2008
119757 posts
Posted on 8/23/16 at 2:09 pm to
quote:

feels it will shift a bit more west.


FML
Posted by ihometiger
Member since Dec 2013
12475 posts
Posted on 8/23/16 at 2:11 pm to
What's a little rain event going to do?
Posted by LSU2001
Cut Off, La.
Member since Nov 2007
2388 posts
Posted on 8/23/16 at 2:11 pm to
Parts of that model sure look a lot like a 2005 storm that shall not be named
Posted by iron banks
Destrehan
Member since Jul 2014
3940 posts
Posted on 8/23/16 at 2:12 pm to
Agreed way too far away for model accuracy but the end of Aug always sends a shiver up your spine with any system in the Gulf
Posted by deuce985
Member since Feb 2008
27660 posts
Posted on 8/23/16 at 2:12 pm to
And it has consistently done it constantly the past few days so don't be surprised to see Louisiana in the crosshairs. I'd get ready now if I was you guys just to be safe because if it keeps going westward good luck getting the supplies you need after the floods here. Most stores around me are closed because they got flooded.
Posted by lockthevaught
Member since Jan 2013
2483 posts
Posted on 8/23/16 at 2:15 pm to
quote:

Parts of that model sure look a lot like a 2005 storm that shall not be named


Hurricane Voldemort
This post was edited on 8/23/16 at 2:16 pm
Posted by TigerstuckinMS
Member since Nov 2005
33687 posts
Posted on 8/23/16 at 2:19 pm to
quote:

Parts of that model sure look a lot like a 2005 storm that shall not be named


Oh, you mean the most intense storm ever measured in the Gulf of Mexico that devastated a large portion of Louisiana? Hurricane Rita.
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