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Started By
Message
re: Hurricane Earl - Mexico Bound
Posted on 7/31/16 at 9:42 pm to NorthEndZone
Posted on 7/31/16 at 9:42 pm to NorthEndZone
quote:
It is one of those systems that looks much better on sat than it probably is. The mid-level speed appears to have slowed down which has allowed the convection to consolidate. But as you mentioned, the surface circulation is either still weak or non-existent at this time.
The visible sat in the morning will tell the real story.
If the deep convection tonight can consolidate a LLC then it will probably be up between 16 and 17N and it looks like the 00z models were set around 15N. That might be enough to keep it out of Honduras?
2
Posted on 7/31/16 at 9:54 pm to rds dc
It sure does appear to have a slightly more northward component of motion/consolidation over the last few hours.
If it does make it up to 17N, that will put whatever it becomes closer to the more populated Belize City and Chetumal or even Costa Maya and Tulum.
If it does make it up to 17N, that will put whatever it becomes closer to the more populated Belize City and Chetumal or even Costa Maya and Tulum.
Posted on 7/31/16 at 10:18 pm to rds dc
almost closed circulation
impressive system so far - i'm not paying attention to any models yet.
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