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Negative vs. Positive vs. Realistic

Posted on 8/20/15 at 7:13 pm
Posted by ell_13
Member since Apr 2013
85309 posts
Posted on 8/20/15 at 7:13 pm
Negative: 6-6
Positive: 11-1
Realistic: 8-4

Look about right?

This post was edited on 8/20/15 at 8:44 pm
Posted by chilge1
Baton Rouge
Member since Jan 2009
12137 posts
Posted on 8/20/15 at 7:21 pm to
Negative: 8-4
Positive: 12-0
Realistic: 10-2
Posted by Geaux Tahel
Member since Feb 2006
6651 posts
Posted on 8/20/15 at 7:24 pm to
Negative: 10-2
Postive: 12-0
Realistic: 11-1
Posted by Guava Jelly
Bawston
Member since Jul 2009
11653 posts
Posted on 8/20/15 at 7:26 pm to
Negative: 8-4
Positive: 12-0
Realistic: 10-2





Suicidal: 6-6
Posted by joeytiger
Muh Mom's House
Member since Jul 2012
6037 posts
Posted on 8/20/15 at 7:27 pm to
NEG - 7-5
POS - 12-0
Real - 9-3/10-2
Posted by FlyingTiger06
Bossier City, LA
Member since Nov 2004
1897 posts
Posted on 8/20/15 at 7:29 pm to
quote:

Look about right?


I don't think so.

Negative: 7-5
Positive: 11-1
Realistic: 9-3

I only say 9-3 realistic in a holistic view and knowing that every week in the SEC can lead to losing a game you should win on paper. That said, when looking at each individual game I can't find 3 that we should lose. I think the Auburn game will be a close loss just because it is so early in the season and right after what will be a very physical game against Moo State. Other than that, the Bama game will always be epic and close so we could lose that one (although I certainly hope we break that streak). It is then extremely difficult to pinpoint any other game we would lose. Trouble is that history shows we have found ways to lose games we should win (97 Ole Miss game the week after beating #1 UF comes to mind).
Posted by PeaRidgeWatash
Down by the docks of the city
Member since Dec 2004
15210 posts
Posted on 8/20/15 at 7:29 pm to
Negative 0-12
Positive 15-0
Realistic 15-0
Posted by beauchristopher
new orleans
Member since Jan 2008
66575 posts
Posted on 8/20/15 at 8:35 pm to
6-6 is unrealistic
Posted by LSU Groupee
Member since Oct 2012
4026 posts
Posted on 8/20/15 at 8:43 pm to
quote:

Negative: 6-6


More like stupid.

quote:

Realistic: 8-4


More like negative.

quote:

Postive: 11-1


What's "postive"?
Posted by Placebeaux
Bobby Fischer Fan Club President
Member since Jun 2008
51852 posts
Posted on 8/20/15 at 8:55 pm to
N 7-5
P 10-2
R 9-3
Posted by Lionnation1993
Member since Nov 2013
6103 posts
Posted on 8/20/15 at 9:06 pm to
Gimmies: 4 non conference games Miss State, Florida

Toss ups: At USCe, at Bama, at OM, Ark, A&M, Aub

Think we go 3-3, or 4-2 in toss ups

Realistic: 9-3/10-2
Posted by Patrick_Bateman
Member since Jan 2012
17823 posts
Posted on 8/20/15 at 10:06 pm to
Negative: 7-8 wins
Realistic: 9-10 wins
Positive: 11-12 wins

Although, to be honest, anything from 8-11 wins could be a realistic expectation.
Posted by LSUsuperfresh
Member since Oct 2010
8338 posts
Posted on 8/21/15 at 3:19 am to
quote:

Negative: 6-6
Positive: 11-1
Realistic: 8-4


I'm with you, but I think we improve 1 game on last year and go 9-3. This all hinges on the defense not dropping off at all though, which I'm not certain is a guarantee at this point.
Posted by Purplehaze44
Member since Jun 2015
1434 posts
Posted on 8/21/15 at 3:48 am to
Stupid negative: 6-6
Negative: 7-5 at best
Mostly negative but more realistic:
8-4
Realism: 9-3 but knows 8-4 or 10-2 could happen and realizes it.
Optimistic but still fairly realistic: 10-2
Optimistic: 11-1
Stupid optimistic: 12-0
Posted by lsu2006
BR
Member since Feb 2004
39993 posts
Posted on 8/21/15 at 7:35 am to
Stick to baseball
Posted by a want
I love everybody
Member since Oct 2010
19756 posts
Posted on 8/21/15 at 7:41 am to
quote:

Negative: 6-6 Positive: 11-1 Realistic: 8-4


Sounds about right. I think we'll go 9-3.

People have their purple and gold glasses on this time of year. Regardless of how good we are, the SEC West is stacked! Every single one of those games is a potential loss. It would not surprise me a bit if we lost to AL, Aub, Ole Miss and aTm and maybe Ark and/or SC.
Posted by RedTigerRulz
BFE
Member since Oct 2013
15317 posts
Posted on 8/21/15 at 10:07 am to
quote:

Negative: 6-6


Doesn't compute....I'm labeled a nega-tiger but believe we will finish 11-1. How does that work?
Posted by Tchefuncte Tiger
Bat'n Rudge
Member since Oct 2004
57592 posts
Posted on 8/21/15 at 10:32 am to
The Hat is in deep doo doo if the Tigers go 8-4.
Posted by ShortyRob
Member since Oct 2008
82116 posts
Posted on 8/21/15 at 10:36 am to
quote:

Negative: 6-6


is NOT negative.

It would be catastrophic. We have FOUR rent a wins on the damn schedule.
Posted by Alt26
Member since Mar 2010
28752 posts
Posted on 8/21/15 at 11:01 am to
Negative - 7-5
Realistic - 9-3
Positive - 10-2

Past results are generally a good indicator of future results. LSU's ranking in the preseason poll has generally been a pretty good indicator of where they ultimately finish the regular season (using the Coaches' poll for reference)

2005 - (Preseason) #6, (end of reg season)#3
2006 - (Preseason) #9, (end of reg season)#5
2007 - (Preseason) #2, (end of reg season)#2
2008 - (Preseason) #6, (end of reg season)NR
2009 - (Preseason) #9, (end of reg season)#14
2010 - (Preseason) #16, (end of reg season)#12
2011 - (Preseason) #4, (end of reg season)#1
2012 - (Preseason) #1, (end of reg season)#6
2013 - (Preseason) #13, (end of reg season)#14
2014 - (Preseason) #13, (end of reg season)#24

There really hasn't been a single year in Miles' tenure where LSU greatly exceeded preseason expectations. What past history tells me is that when LSU has a really good team, it is generally known from the outset. Under Miles, every year LSU finished in the top 10 they were ranked in the top 10 to start the season. Of course you could make the argument that may be because the preseason rankings develop some sort of "self fulfilling prophecy" in the minds of the voters.

Looking at this year, LSU is starting ranked #13. 10 years of prior history indicates that they will most likely finish the regular season ranked somewhere between #10-#20. IMO, that puts their final record around 8-4 or 9-3
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