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Started By
Message
re: Tigers a 9.50 pt favorite over Bulldogs
Posted on 9/14/14 at 7:49 pm to harry coleman beast
Posted on 9/14/14 at 7:49 pm to harry coleman beast
I do
0
Posted on 9/14/14 at 7:50 pm to Will Cover
Vegas is right more often than not. Obviously, there are outliers. But in general, they know what they're doing... they have to.
Posted on 9/14/14 at 7:50 pm to Sampson
quote:
Will, what is the most you've ever seen a line drop for a CFB game without something major happening (injury,suspension,coaching change)?
A while back, before the internet was extremely popular and not many line services were well known, I've seen a sports handicapper, DOC Sports (I believe) release their BIG 10 game of the year. DOC Sports was well known for their strong plays in the BIG 10.
Line moved more than 10 points that Saturday morning.
Can't remember if his pick won or lost. I know I would have played to middle the game and I may have - really don't remember as it has been probably 15 years ago?
This post was edited on 9/14/14 at 7:51 pm
Posted on 9/14/14 at 7:51 pm to MOT
quote:-2 would be my guess. It's a tough place to play.
ame question I had to hcb, what do you think the line would be in Starkville?
quote:I never knew last year would turn into what it did. I plan on making this year much better and useful.
Also, looking forward to the countdown.
Posted on 9/14/14 at 7:52 pm to ell_13
Have to take account the cowbell factor
Posted on 9/14/14 at 7:52 pm to madcap
Seriously, you do. See above.
Posted on 9/14/14 at 7:52 pm to harry coleman beast
quote:
eta: the 2011 team was only favored by 3.5 in starkville. This MSU team is better and this lsu team is a lot worse. I dont get the line at all tbh.
It's in BR not Starkville. That's a 6 point swing in the line, bringing it to 9.5 for the 2011 Tigers. So, they're saying the delta between the teams is close to that of 2011, with the 2011 Tigers gettinf another half point.
Remember also, that they're tring to anticipate the betting not the outcome.
Posted on 9/14/14 at 7:53 pm to ell_13
quote:
-2 would be my guess
With State or LSU favored?
Posted on 9/14/14 at 7:53 pm to MOT
quote:
With State or LSU favored?
LSU
Posted on 9/14/14 at 7:54 pm to MOT
LSU, sorry.
Posted on 9/14/14 at 7:55 pm to ell_13
I think Mississippi St is an unknown with their really weak schedule so far
Posted on 9/14/14 at 7:55 pm to madcap
So is LSU, TBH
Posted on 9/14/14 at 7:55 pm to Bulldog288
quote:
I see it going down to 5 or 6. LSU isn't last years LSU
LSU is at least as good as last year.
Posted on 9/14/14 at 7:56 pm to ell_13
quote:
LSU, sorry
Then this line shouldn't seem off to you. Remove State's hfa in your scenario, and you get to 5 or 6 on a neutral. Then add the hfa to LSU and you get where we're at now.
Posted on 9/14/14 at 7:56 pm to madcap
We are not unknown! We are national championship contenders 
Posted on 9/14/14 at 7:57 pm to Will Cover
holy shite. Well I bet you this game gets down to -6.5 before kickoff baw Posted on 9/14/14 at 7:57 pm to MOT
quote:Am I wrong in assuming 3+- in home/away? I don't bet, really. But a 6 point swing from home/away seems like a bunch.
Remove State's hfa in your scenario, and you get to 5 or 6 on a neutral. Then add the hfa to LSU and you get where we're at now.
Posted on 9/14/14 at 7:58 pm to Bulldog288
quote:
We are not unknown! We are national championship contenders
Since 1942, how many times has Mississippi State won the SEC championship?
Posted on 9/14/14 at 7:58 pm to Will Cover
Posted on 9/14/14 at 7:59 pm to Sampson
quote:
Well I bet you this game gets down to -6.5 before kickoff baw
Won't happen. Keep your money. Line won't cross that 7 number.
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