Who to Pull for Saturday

For details about what we need to happen for an SECCG, BCS Bowl, or even NC see the OFFICIAL BCS THREAD

There will be 100 threads about this, so lets get it out of the way. Most games are obvious, but maybe not to everyone. Spare us the "we don't have a shot" or "we don't deserve it" comments. Games are listed in relative order of importance. The SECCG, Automatic BCS bid (top 4 finish), BCS invite, and even the unlikely NC birth are alll considerations

1. AUBURN over ALABAMA. Any chance at an SEC Championship (or a NC for that matter) hinges on a huge Auburn upset.

2. FSU over FLORIDA. Assuming Bama does beat AU, for LSU to receive an at large BCS bowl bid, Florida would need to fall. If LSU sneaks in to the SECCG and has an outside chance at a NC, we would also likely need Florida to lose to FSU.

3. TEXAS A&M versus MISSOURI. Who to pull for here depends on the winner of the iron bowl (and the iron bowl is first). If Auburn pulls off the upset, we need A&M to win to force a 3-way tie in the SEC West – this sending LSU to the SECCG. If Bama wins, then they clinch the SECW – in which case we would want A&M to lose to make sure they don’t get selected for a BCS bowl.

4. OREGON STATE over OREGON. Slightly complicated. If you think we have any chance at a National Title we need Oregon to lose a game. But if you want LSU to go to the Rose Bowl, having Oregon win the Pac 12 and sneak back in to the NC game would be a necessity.

5. USC over NOTRE DAME. A Notre Dame loss would be good for a few reasons. First, it is possible LSU could finish above 1-loss Notre Dame in the BCS – if LSU did win the SEC. Second, the Sugar Bowl might use their at-large to select Notre Dame leaving the Rose or Fiesta to choose an SEC team. My personal opinion is that LSU would be more desirable to those bowls than the Sugar since we have never been.

6. UCLA over STANFORD. If Oregon does beat OSU, we would want Oregon to make the Pac12 CG. That would give them another chance to lose a game and fall behind LSU in the BCS standings. It would also give them a chance to stay in the NC hunt, which would be the only way LSU got to the Rose Bowl.

7. SOUTH CAROLINA over CLEMSON. There is an outside chance that Clemson could pass LSU in the BCS, so this would be good. Plus, any opportunity to make the SEC look good (and the ACC bad) is a good thing.

8. GEORGIA over GEORGIA TECH. If LSU sneaks in the SECCG, the NC dream is alive. Playing and beating a 1-loss, #2 Georgia team would be an important step to that dream

(LOSS) WASHINGTON (28) over WASHINGTON STATE (31). Not really necessary, but that Washington win is starting to look really good. If the BCS standings come down to decimal places, a game like this could play a role.

10. VANDY over WAKE FORREST. Don’t really think this matters, but any chance to make the SEC look better and the ACC worse is good for LSU.


Next week (pending this weeks results): Texas over KSU, Ga Tech over FSU, UCLA over Oregon?, LSU over Georgia