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Mississippi River changing at Morganza

Posted on 5/12/11 at 1:05 pm
Posted by bakersman
Shreveport
Member since Apr 2011
5854 posts
Posted on 5/12/11 at 1:05 pm
where is this nonsense coming from? i see several posters on here thinking that the river will change course here. and that morganza failure is likely. the river wants to change course at Old River into the Atchafalya River. that is why the ORCS was put in place. the elevation drop at Old River is what makes the river want to change course here. water only reaches morganza during very high water.

and then there is the talk of not being able to close morganza if it is opened. it's gates weight several tons. do you really think that it is impossible to keep something that weighs that much from falling to the ground?
Posted by Sid in Lakeshore
Member since Oct 2008
41956 posts
Posted on 5/12/11 at 1:06 pm to
The moon landing is a hoax!!!!!!
Posted by AstroTiger
New Orleans Saints Fan
Member since Oct 2007
22967 posts
Posted on 5/12/11 at 1:09 pm to
Posted by tigerfan in bamaland
Back Home now
Member since Sep 2006
61393 posts
Posted on 5/12/11 at 1:09 pm to
quote:

it's gates weight several tons. do you really think that it is impossible to keep something that weighs that much from falling to the ground?


water laughs at several tons...literally. I am not saying it will happen, I am just saying after witnessing the tsunami, I got a lot of respect for the power of water.
Posted by AlxTgr
Kyre Banorg
Member since Oct 2003
84366 posts
Posted on 5/12/11 at 1:12 pm to
quote:

where is this nonsense coming from?

People not understanding the difference between one structure and another, and not giving geography any thought what so ever. It's crazy.
Posted by winner
New Orleans,LA
Member since Jan 2007
2432 posts
Posted on 5/12/11 at 1:13 pm to
Katrina knocked several section of the twinspan into the lake, I image they weigh several tons
Posted by bakersman
Shreveport
Member since Apr 2011
5854 posts
Posted on 5/12/11 at 1:13 pm to
water will not stop the gates from being closed. they will figure out a way to get the gates down.

Posted by DownshiftAndFloorIt
Here
Member since Jan 2011
69177 posts
Posted on 5/12/11 at 1:14 pm to
quote:

bakersman



It's a very real possibility. If the ORCS failed (not that I think it will), the river would jump over and take the atch basin to the gulf.

Also, several tons aint shite against a couple million cubic feet per minute of water.
Posted by bakersman
Shreveport
Member since Apr 2011
5854 posts
Posted on 5/12/11 at 1:17 pm to
quote:

Katrina knocked several section of the twinspan into the lake, I image they weigh several tons


you are missing the point. people are saying that the gates will never ever be able to be closed once opened. im not talking about water washing them away.

if morganza fails(meaning that the levee broke or the gates have fallen due to the force of the water) the river STILL WILL NOT change course here.
Posted by AlxTgr
Kyre Banorg
Member since Oct 2003
84366 posts
Posted on 5/12/11 at 1:17 pm to
quote:

It's a very real possibility. If the ORCS failed (not that I think it will), the river would jump over and take the atch basin to the gulf.
Right, but that's not what this is about. People are talking failure of Morganza and new path there, which is not going to happen.
Posted by bakersman
Shreveport
Member since Apr 2011
5854 posts
Posted on 5/12/11 at 1:21 pm to
i know the ORCS is at risk and that one day it may fail. im talking about people saying that the river will change at MORGANZA if the MORGANZA SPILLWAY fails.

ORCS is inevitable
Posted by DownshiftAndFloorIt
Here
Member since Jan 2011
69177 posts
Posted on 5/12/11 at 1:24 pm to
Gotcha. Thought you just meant the miss couldn't change course.


I think it's just a concern because the gates of the morganza haven't been pressure tested like this since '73.
Posted by TNhillbilly
False River
Member since May 2011
23 posts
Posted on 5/12/11 at 1:24 pm to
Once the river gets back to below ~37' (BR gage) or so, there's no water against the Morganza gates, so worst case they can be close onced the river gets back down to a manageable level. Like others have said, there is a very large chunk of land between the Ms river and the spillway gates. Remember, Old River is just across the forebay from the morganza structure. The river changed course AWAY from that area, leaving this oxbow lake hundreds of years ago because it didn't want to go in that direction.
This post was edited on 5/12/11 at 1:26 pm
Posted by Daigeaux
Mountains of East Tennessee
Member since Jul 2005
6065 posts
Posted on 5/12/11 at 1:25 pm to
Mother Nature is pissed. If she wants to change the course, she'll do it.
Posted by notiger1997
Metairie
Member since May 2009
60787 posts
Posted on 5/12/11 at 1:26 pm to
quote:

i see several posters on here thinking that the river will change course here


Thank you. I've seen the same questions/comments 134 times in the last week.
There needs to be a sticky thread where someone lays out the facts about the river and the morganza spillway.
Posted by choupiquesushi
yaton rouge
Member since Jun 2006
32750 posts
Posted on 5/12/11 at 1:27 pm to
most people could not find
bonne carre, ORCS or morganza on a map...
Posted by nacho24
El Palo Rojo
Member since Jan 2010
6039 posts
Posted on 5/12/11 at 1:33 pm to
quote:

most people could not find
bonne carre, ORCS or morganza on a map...


or spell bonnet carre for that matter
Posted by bakersman
Shreveport
Member since Apr 2011
5854 posts
Posted on 5/12/11 at 1:34 pm to
posted by tgrbaitn08

quote:

However, a morganza failure would be much more catastrophic and the entire nation would never be the same


posted by mgsmith2013

quote:

but if the Morganza fails then life in BR and NOLA as we know it would cease to exist. Long term I'd say it's probably worse loss of life wise to have the morganza fail


there are several others saying the same thing. where do people get this from
Posted by Topwater Trout
Red Stick
Member since Oct 2010
68701 posts
Posted on 5/12/11 at 1:38 pm to
quote:

you are missing the point. people are saying that the gates will never ever be able to be closed once opened. im not talking about water washing them away.


I don't believe it will happen but it isnt just about closing the gates you also have to take into account that an incresse in flow will deepen the channel.
Posted by AlxTgr
Kyre Banorg
Member since Oct 2003
84366 posts
Posted on 5/12/11 at 1:39 pm to
quote:

I don't believe it will happen but it isnt just about closing the gates you also have to take into account that an incresse in flow will deepen the channel.
There is no channel.
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