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re: Oil Spill and Offshore Fishing (Latest Developments)

Posted on 5/1/10 at 10:07 pm to
Posted by Taxing Authority
Houston
Member since Feb 2010
57517 posts
Posted on 5/1/10 at 10:07 pm to
quote:

Could it possible that that number could be over 100,000 bbls a day?
No.
This post was edited on 5/1/10 at 10:08 pm
Posted by TigerDog83
Member since Oct 2005
8347 posts
Posted on 5/1/10 at 10:09 pm to
quote:

So if the estimates of 5000bpd is accurate what would be the estimate if the well was free flowing around or outside of the BOP?


Unless they have an idea of AOF that's probably impossible to know. The only limits to volume would be the annulus, drill pipe ID, and casing ID.
This post was edited on 5/1/10 at 10:14 pm
Posted by tgrbaitn08
Member since Dec 2007
146214 posts
Posted on 5/1/10 at 10:12 pm to
quote:

Probably not much different. The only thing restricting flow now is a kink in the riser. If it bridged over and came around the casing the flow would probably be less. More restrictive than flowing through nice clean pipe as it is now.



I think you're wrong
Posted by tiger91
In my own little world
Member since Nov 2005
36817 posts
Posted on 5/1/10 at 10:14 pm to
Found this link on the Poli Board

Engineer/oilfield guys, will this help as it says it should????? Thoughts?
Posted by tgrbaitn08
Member since Dec 2007
146214 posts
Posted on 5/1/10 at 10:16 pm to
quote:


Found this link on the Poli Board

Engineer/oilfield guys, will this help as it says it should????? Thoughts?



This doensnt do anything to stop the flow, it only breaks it down.
Posted by tiger91
In my own little world
Member since Nov 2005
36817 posts
Posted on 5/1/10 at 10:17 pm to
Right but wouldn't that at least help to protect the coastlines?
Posted by Taxing Authority
Houston
Member since Feb 2010
57517 posts
Posted on 5/1/10 at 10:20 pm to
quote:

I think you're wrong
Quite possible. Explain.
Posted by GeauxDeep
Houston
Member since Aug 2006
27 posts
Posted on 5/1/10 at 10:20 pm to
quote:

quote:


Probably not much different. The only thing restricting flow now is a kink in the riser. If it bridged over and came around the casing the flow would probably be less. More restrictive than flowing through nice clean pipe as it is now.





I think you're wrong


Are we thinking on the lines of channeling around the entire well bore?
Posted by tgrbaitn08
Member since Dec 2007
146214 posts
Posted on 5/1/10 at 10:22 pm to
quote:



Are we thinking on the lines of channeling around the entire well bore?



Yes, free flowing unrestricted out of the well bore.
Posted by Taxing Authority
Houston
Member since Feb 2010
57517 posts
Posted on 5/1/10 at 10:23 pm to
quote:

Are we thinking on the lines of channeling around the entire well bore?
That's about the only way I could see the flow regime changing. We know from pics on the USCG it's leaking from the drill string, as well as from the casing as it is. Remove the BOP and not much changes, assuming the BOP isn't partially closed. Unless I'm missing something...
This post was edited on 5/1/10 at 10:24 pm
Posted by TigerDog83
Member since Oct 2005
8347 posts
Posted on 5/1/10 at 10:24 pm to
quote:

Are we thinking on the lines of channeling around the entire well bore?


That certainly would change things.
Posted by tgrbaitn08
Member since Dec 2007
146214 posts
Posted on 5/1/10 at 10:25 pm to
quote:

That's about the only way I could see the flow regime changing. We know from pics on the USCG it's leaking from the drill string, as well as from the casing as it is. Remove the BOP and not much changes, assuming the BOP isn't partially closed. Unless I'm missing something...


I'm no engineer so I dont know, maybe someone will more knowledge could chime in on this.
Posted by tiger91
In my own little world
Member since Nov 2005
36817 posts
Posted on 5/1/10 at 10:25 pm to
I wish I understood like .1% of what you guys are saying ... HOW MANY MORE THINGS CAN THEY TRY TO CLOSE THIS DAMN FLOW?????
Posted by lsugradman
Member since Sep 2003
8629 posts
Posted on 5/1/10 at 10:27 pm to
quote:

Could it possible that that number could be over 100,000 bbls a day?


Hell no.
Posted by tgrbaitn08
Member since Dec 2007
146214 posts
Posted on 5/1/10 at 10:30 pm to
quote:


Hell no.


Then what?
Posted by lsugradman
Member since Sep 2003
8629 posts
Posted on 5/1/10 at 10:31 pm to
What do you mean?
Posted by lsugradman
Member since Sep 2003
8629 posts
Posted on 5/1/10 at 10:33 pm to
quote:

Don't know what choke was used for the test. But at that depth, back pressure would be 2,100-2,200 psi?


Not sure what you mean by back pressure (wellhead pressure??) but reservoir pressure at that depth was likely somewhere around 15000psi
This post was edited on 5/1/10 at 10:40 pm
Posted by tgrbaitn08
Member since Dec 2007
146214 posts
Posted on 5/1/10 at 10:34 pm to
quote:

What do you mean?



Answer this question....

quote:

So if the estimates of 5000bpd is accurate what would be the estimate if the well was free flowing around or outside of the BOP?
Posted by lsugradman
Member since Sep 2003
8629 posts
Posted on 5/1/10 at 10:39 pm to
quote:

So if the estimates of 5000bpd is accurate what would be the estimate if the well was free flowing around or outside of the BOP?


Highly unlikely that the well was flowing outside of the wellhead/BOP. If that were the case the ROV would clearly to be able to see that. Its likely leaking from a couple places in the damaged riser. The sum of all those leaks is likely 5000bopd
Posted by Oyster
North Shore
Member since Feb 2009
10224 posts
Posted on 5/1/10 at 10:40 pm to
Its not flowing outside the BOPs.
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