What would you assess this team's chances are of 1) making to Omaha 2) winning the CWS?

It's April 8th -- plenty of time to go on a magical run! Look at 2008.

Unless they get much better not very high. They're not a good baseball team right now and this is one of the worst teams defensively I've seen in awhile. Partly the pitching struggles are related to this.

Some numbers are way inflated in pitchers because of how bad defense is. They know this in back of their minds and press more. This is why you seeing so many mental collapses from pitchers or they just struggle mentally.

They could easily get much better and make a run. Right now though, if it ended today, yeah, no. We wouldn't host a regional and might not make it out of a regional.

10%

2%

Impossible to say at this point.

This team isn't like teams in the past where they just look lost on the road and dominant at home. Obviously, post season baseball in the box is different, and we don't normally lose those series, but I'm not sure how much that really matters with this team.

They have to be healthy. You need Serna/Stanfield/Dardar to play every day if you want this team to maximize its potential. You also need Cooper Moore back. If they don't get Moore back, I put chances at Omaha around 10%.

Based on history of the Johnson era, the bullpen is likely to come around at some point. It hasn't been as bad as most on this board make it seem, outside of some midweek games/arms and Rizy. Williams looks better. Garcia seems to be coming around. Fontenot has turned out to be a piece. Sheerin can be dominant. Guidry just showed you he can go 4 innings without huge K numbers and still be effective.

If this team has a healthy Cooper Moore, and an effective Casan Evans, they can beat anybody in the country, especially in a 3 game set. In other words, they can reach Omaha. I just don't know if they have the extended pitching to make a run, especially if they lose a game.

Who knows though. I'd like them to be a little more effective in manufacturing runs as opposed to relying on the long ball, especially as you get into bigger parks like TDA.

I'll give it a 25% chance at Omaha and 5% chance at winning it all. My answer could change drastically in a month.

LSU is not as good as it was last season, but much like last season, no team seems to be the clear dominant team, so anything can happen.

I know it seems like it's all falling apart sometimes, but both pitching and hitting are much closer to being good than they may appear. Fielding is a bit of a conundrum, though.

If we can find a bit more consistency on the mound and a bit more patience at the plate, it will pay dividends. Fielding may partially be a function of pressing when the other two seem to be iffy in a game; we can hope it gets better if the other two do.

ETA 25% cws, 8% natty. Those numbers were scientifically pulled for my anus, not to be confused with Uranus.

Same as Ole Miss in early April 2022. They were dead in the water.

we all saw how Jay's experiment to simulate regional play went at the beginning of the season. Right now I'm not sure they can win 4 games in a row to make it out of regional play. Esp if they get in as a 2 or 3 seed.

So to answer OP
1) less than 10%
2) less than 1%

Hope like hell I'm wrong!

I keep waiting for them to wake up and put it together, Turns out they’re just not a good team. Zero chance they make Omaha.

To make Omaha
20% the way they play now.
40% if they improve defensively
60 % if they improve defensively and hitting
83% if they improve defensively, hitting and pitching.
To win the CWS...
96% if they improve defensively, hitting, pitching and luck.