Your Saints 1st round draft pick odds - pre FA

Obviously before free agency it's hard to predict anything, but what's your gut telling you the Saints will do, taking into account who is likely to be available at pick 8. I'm gonna say

40% Love
30% Downs
20% Bain
10% other (Tate, Delane, Lemon, Tyson)

I just don't believe Reese, Styles, or Bailey will be available at #8. I'd take any of those if they slide. One or all of my 3 may be gone as well, but I think 2 of the 3 are likely there.

I don't think they pass on most analysts #1 player in Love if he's there, positional value be damned. But there's at least a 50% chance he's gone before we pick.

Downs seems like a safe pick and is more likely to be available, could really fill a need assuming Alontae leaves as expected.

I have no idea how Staley feels about Bain's arm length. I know DA would never have drafted him, but he was arguably the best defensive player in college football last year, T. Rex or no. Pass rushers are so valuable, if Staley loves him he could get picked over Downs.

I don't see the Saints drafting a WR at 8, the value at that position seems better in the 2nd round. Mansoor Delane could be a wildcard.