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The Iranians Cannot Overthrow the Regime Without Weapons

Posted on 3/2/26 at 5:52 am
Posted by IMSA_Fan
Member since Jul 2024
630 posts
Posted on 3/2/26 at 5:52 am
I agree with the article’s central argument that the Iranian people are unlikely to overthrow the regime without access to weapons or meaningful external support, given the state’s monopoly on force and willingness to use it. History shows that unarmed protest movements struggle to defeat entrenched authoritarian systems backed by loyal security apparatuses. While the desire for freedom inside Iran is real and admirable, any serious discussion of regime change has to grapple with the hard reality of power, force, and the regime’s capacity for violent suppression.

LINK
Posted by Mike da Tigah
Bravo Romeo Lima Alpha
Member since Feb 2005
61541 posts
Posted on 3/2/26 at 5:56 am to
Gee, I wonder where we can get some firearms and ammo.
Posted by Victor R Franko
Member since Dec 2021
2921 posts
Posted on 3/2/26 at 5:57 am to
I'm just a country boy trying to put gas in the truck and beans on the table, But I think the plan is.....

The regular Iranian army, is to melt in with the people and use their arms to help defeat the IRGC. In addition, the people and regular army are ratting out where IRGC is holding arms and ammunition for bombing. The bombing we're currently seeing, and will see is mop up of the bad guys. Destroying all Iran's war toys and IRGC.
Posted by RCDfan1950
United States
Member since Feb 2007
39173 posts
Posted on 3/2/26 at 6:11 am to
And a pretty darn astute country boy at that. “Ratting out” is key as those unchallenged A-10s flying overhead will make mulch of any remaining resistance. At some point, a fair vote will be the answer. Who can or will deny that? Outside of our Dem Party muh Democracy Dem Party.
Posted by Victor R Franko
Member since Dec 2021
2921 posts
Posted on 3/2/26 at 6:17 am to
Whatever IRGC survive this destruction, the Iranian people need to go all Aldo Raine on dey arse.
Posted by Barstools
Atlanta
Member since Jan 2016
11502 posts
Posted on 3/2/26 at 6:17 am to
The regime has already been overthrown, though.
Posted by prplhze2000
Parts Unknown
Member since Jan 2007
57608 posts
Posted on 3/2/26 at 6:49 am to
Germans
Posted by SlowFlowPro
With populists, expect populism
Member since Jan 2004
471618 posts
Posted on 3/2/26 at 6:51 am to
quote:

The regime has already been overthrown, though.

No. We have created voids by killing meat suits. The regime still exists, but is waiting on who fills those voids of that regime.
Posted by thetempleowl
dallas, tx
Member since Jul 2008
16008 posts
Posted on 3/2/26 at 6:56 am to
I suspect different western intelligence agencies and Israeli intelligence are already there and setting things up.

Posted by SlowFlowPro
With populists, expect populism
Member since Jan 2004
471618 posts
Posted on 3/2/26 at 6:58 am to
quote:

I suspect different western intelligence agencies and Israeli intelligence are already there and setting things up.


Arming groups in the ME who are fighting our enemies in the ME at the time of the arms transfer has been a successful philosophy, I reckon.
Posted by ArHog
Gulf Coast
Member since Jan 2008
38954 posts
Posted on 3/2/26 at 7:08 am to
You boy Obama sent 1.7 billion to Iran, how'd that work out as well.
Posted by SlowFlowPro
With populists, expect populism
Member since Jan 2004
471618 posts
Posted on 3/2/26 at 7:09 am to
quote:

You boy Obama


wut
Posted by ArHog
Gulf Coast
Member since Jan 2008
38954 posts
Posted on 3/2/26 at 7:10 am to
quote:

wut


My bad, you voted for Trump three times, right?


Posted by SDVTiger
Cabo San Lucas
Member since Nov 2011
96357 posts
Posted on 3/2/26 at 7:11 am to
He claims he voted for Kanye which means JB
Posted by SlowFlowPro
With populists, expect populism
Member since Jan 2004
471618 posts
Posted on 3/2/26 at 7:12 am to
quote:

you voted for Trump three times, right?

Nope

Never voted for Trump or Obama...or Biden
Posted by deltadummy
Member since Mar 2025
2119 posts
Posted on 3/2/26 at 7:15 am to
quote:

My bad, you voted for Trump three times, right?



Just FYI, there are people that can vote for a dem one year and a pub the next year, or never vote for a pub or a dem. They don't play the game of "I only have two choices".

Those people are called "folks with more than two brain cells".

Unfortunately, they are the VAST minority in this country.
Posted by ArHog
Gulf Coast
Member since Jan 2008
38954 posts
Posted on 3/2/26 at 7:18 am to
quote:

deltadummy




quote:

Those people are called "folks with more than two brain cells".


Checks out
Posted by Victor R Franko
Member since Dec 2021
2921 posts
Posted on 3/2/26 at 7:22 am to
quote:

Arming groups in the ME who are fighting our enemies in the ME at the time of the arms transfer has been a successful philosophy, I reckon.

Let the rabbit have the gun for a little while, huh? How 'bout it?
Posted by Mid Iowa Tiger
Undisclosed Secure Location
Member since Feb 2008
24335 posts
Posted on 3/2/26 at 8:08 am to
There are only so many truly loyal folks even in the Kuds force and guard. If the semi-loyal folks see the tide changing they’re likely to melt away with their weapons. In the regular army the loyalists are even fewer.

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