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The 1.9 million "self deportation" figure is nonsense

Posted on 1/19/26 at 8:29 am
Posted by SirWinston
Kid Rock sucks
Member since Jul 2014
103603 posts
Posted on 1/19/26 at 8:29 am
The number is based on nothing concrete. Its reverse engineered from a bullshite survey. Details below. Actual number of self deportations could be less than 1% of the figure hyped by Noem.

Noem's self-deportation figures are a myth

quote:

The 1.9 million "self-deportation" figure comes from the Department of Homeland Security (DHS) under Secretary Kristi Noem. It is a heckin' massive number, but experts say it is not reliable for a few reasons:

Statistical Flaws: Independent analysts, like those at the Center for Migration Studies, argue the number is based on a flawed interpretation of the Census Bureau’s Current Population Survey.

Broad Definitions: The administration likely includes people who simply changed their living situation to avoid detection, died, or had their legal status changed, rather than people physically leaving the country.

Program Data: While the CBP Home app offers $1,000 and a flight home to encourage people to go, actual reports show only about 25,000 people have used it—not millions.

Critics believe the administration is overstating the "dongs" they're hitting on immigration to show their policies are working, while the actual number of people leaving is likely much lower.


WHY DOES TRUMP ADMIN KEEP DOING THIS TO US?!?


This post was edited on 1/19/26 at 8:47 am
Posted by Jugbow
Member since Nov 2025
3592 posts
Posted on 1/19/26 at 8:29 am to
You’re such a flip flopping attention whore
Posted by el Gaucho
He/They
Member since Dec 2010
58686 posts
Posted on 1/19/26 at 8:31 am to
Why would they self deport? They all get like 10 grand a month in food stamps
Posted by SirWinston
Kid Rock sucks
Member since Jul 2014
103603 posts
Posted on 1/19/26 at 8:33 am to
Im tired of the lies and the MAGA base getting mad at allies for pointing out that Trump administration continues to openly lie to us.

We are still over 10 million illegals in the hole just from Biden and our time as majority party is now over halfway finished.
This post was edited on 1/19/26 at 8:38 am
Posted by Cromulent
Down the Bayou
Member since Oct 2016
3270 posts
Posted on 1/19/26 at 8:33 am to
Do not ever take anything serious from that poster. Troll to the nth degree
Posted by Auburn1968
NYC
Member since Mar 2019
25589 posts
Posted on 1/19/26 at 8:34 am to
Funny story. A guy I know works for the MTA and was driving one of their trucks. An illegal immigrant thought it was an ICE truck and came over wanting to be arrested because he was living on the street and wanted to go home.

Posted by GumboPot
Member since Mar 2009
139529 posts
Posted on 1/19/26 at 8:34 am to
How many have been deported outside of self deportation? About 300K?

Didn't Biden import about 5 million?

Regardless, we have so much more to do.

American baws need this work. Not some illegal that sends most their cash back to China and Guatemala.

The fundamental problem is our very own State Department pays NGOs to recruit and process these illegals. We do it to ourselves. That needs to stop.

And while we are at it we need a moratorium on legal immigration too.
Posted by idlewatcher
Planet Arium
Member since Jan 2012
94301 posts
Posted on 1/19/26 at 8:35 am to
quote:

actual reports show only about 25,000 people have used it—not millions.


I know several people involved in immigration - from attorneys down to illegals themselves.

They are sh*tting bricks that they will get nabbed and there has been a flood of initial immigration attorney meetings to get the paperwork filed so they can stay. It takes awhile naturally, especially if you're messican.
Posted by TX Tiger
at home
Member since Jan 2004
39289 posts
Posted on 1/19/26 at 8:36 am to
Wait, Noem is a lying disingenuous POS?

Here’s my shocked face.
Posted by wackatimesthree
Member since Oct 2019
11661 posts
Posted on 1/19/26 at 8:36 am to
quote:

Didn't Biden import about 5 million?


No, not really.

They cooked the books too.

Posted by SallysHuman
Lady Palmetto Bug
Member since Jan 2025
17226 posts
Posted on 1/19/26 at 8:36 am to
Winnie... your proclamation is based on "experts say" and "likely".

Truth is... you're never going to get an accurate number when dealing with "undocumented"... especially when city and state governments are doing all they can to shield even the existence of these people.


Posted by 4cubbies
Member since Sep 2008
60091 posts
Posted on 1/19/26 at 8:37 am to
Basically everything is bullshite.
Posted by GumboPot
Member since Mar 2009
139529 posts
Posted on 1/19/26 at 8:37 am to
quote:

especially if you're messican.


Mexicans are the least of our problems. At least they assimilate pretty easily.
Posted by GumboPot
Member since Mar 2009
139529 posts
Posted on 1/19/26 at 8:37 am to
quote:

Basically everything is bullshite.
Posted by Kcrad
Diamondhead
Member since Nov 2010
65967 posts
Posted on 1/19/26 at 8:38 am to
What's your source for this groundbreaking opinion piece?
Posted by SirWinston
Kid Rock sucks
Member since Jul 2014
103603 posts
Posted on 1/19/26 at 8:38 am to
Nick Fuentes is the one who first broke this last week.
This post was edited on 1/19/26 at 8:49 am
Posted by Jugbow
Member since Nov 2025
3592 posts
Posted on 1/19/26 at 8:38 am to
He read it in his Portland news paper that his mommy brought to him.
Posted by TX Tiger
at home
Member since Jan 2004
39289 posts
Posted on 1/19/26 at 8:39 am to
You know the rules around here: if you aren’t a fully committed cult member, then you’re a libtard troll.
Posted by Jbird
Shoot the tires out!
Member since Oct 2012
87176 posts
Posted on 1/19/26 at 8:42 am to
Cult
Libtard
troll

Go TX Tireshooter go!
Posted by phaz
Waddell, AZ
Member since Jan 2009
6537 posts
Posted on 1/19/26 at 8:43 am to
A Google search of the first 2 paragraphs showed no results, does a link even exist?

If it was a credible source, Google would have found it
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